Overdue-Catalyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$619

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

107

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$106

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-20 03:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

42% 49% -$483

Politics

27% 41% +$110

Crypto

27% 36% -$181

Sports

4% 33% -$66

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-29	-$24	97¢	$-29	-$5	05-03 19:17
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-25	-$14	98¢	$-25	-$11	05-03 19:17
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-19	-$12	94¢	$-17	-$6	05-07 17:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-18	-$13	92¢	$-17	-$4	05-03 19:06
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	-33	-$17	50¢	$-16	+$0	05-03 19:17
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	-23	-$13	10¢	$-2	+$11	05-03 19:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	6	$1.3K	861	861	+0	Yes	+$104	05-13 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	680	680	+0	Yes	+$305	05-09 15:05
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	2	$820	766	766	+0	No	-$54	05-07 17:49
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	4	$743	454	454	+0	$80k	+$163	05-04 04:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	10	$655	625	675	-50	No	-$34	05-22 20:45
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$528	400	400	+0	open	—	05-17 17:40
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	3	$371	275	275	+0	Yes	+$30	05-29 15:18
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	6	$316	416	112	+304	No	-$244	05-29 15:19
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	1	$300	790	0	+790	No	-$300	06-18 19:01
fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	1	$228	300	0	+300	Over	+$72	06-18 01:04
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	3	$222	430	430	+0	No	-$136	06-18 19:01
fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	1	$204	225	0	+225	Under	-$204	06-20 03:11
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$196	200	200	+0	No	-$80	05-26 18:59
fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	2	$193	164	164	+0	Under	-$10	06-19 01:15
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	2	$180	300	300	+0	70k	-$24	05-27 19:25
will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	2	$160	250	250	+0	No	-$90	06-05 17:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	5	$158	106	124	-19	open	—	05-07 17:56
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	3	$156	366	366	+0	No	-$137	05-22 19:38
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$155	207	0	+207	Yes	+$52	04-13 19:58
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$152	400	400	+0	No	-$88	06-18 01:02
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	1	$150	200	0	+200	Yes	+$50	05-13 16:37
will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	2	$147	150	150	+0	No	-$69	06-18 19:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$145	103	103	+0	Yes	-$22	06-04 02:35
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	2	$131	200	200	+0	No	-$97	05-22 19:38
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$130	200	0	+200	Yes	+$70	06-15 05:29
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	1	$105	170	0	+170	Yes	+$65	06-19 19:00
nba was gsw 2026 03 27 spread home 12pt5	6	$105	61	56	+5	Wizards	+$9	03-28 04:05
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	2	$102	106	106	+0	No	+$34	06-13 17:22
fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	1	$100	141	0	+141	Over	+$41	06-20 00:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$99	109	109	+0	Yes	-$1	05-07 17:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 03:11:26	fifwc tur par 2026 06 19 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	225	91¢	$204	0x152884…
06-20 01:10:07	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x28bb03…
06-20 00:59:50	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x16a625…
06-19 19:00:08	Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	170	62¢	$105	0x0a4f8a…
06-19 01:21:35	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	108	83¢	$90	0x9973d3…
06-19 01:15:29	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	164	56¢	$92	0xe0aa36…
06-19 01:10:49	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	164	62¢	$101	0x3a796e…
06-18 19:03:26	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x095f13…
06-18 19:02:05	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	150	26¢	$39	0x36474c…
06-18 19:01:59	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	430	10¢	$43	0xa5b6fa…
06-18 19:01:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	790	38¢	$300	0xc763f3…
06-18 01:04:01	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x657525…
06-18 01:02:59	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	400	8¢	$32	0x4db943…
06-15 15:58:07	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	130	55¢	$72	0x5ee704…
06-15 15:56:16	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0xfd86d3…
06-15 05:29:24	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	150	72¢	$108	0x0db512…
06-15 05:29:00	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xd49a83…
06-15 02:36:34	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	65	68¢	$44	0x5678e0…
06-15 02:36:04	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0xcad8c5…
06-15 02:33:06	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	25	54¢	$14	0x53a856…
06-15 02:26:19	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xa37ed0…
06-15 01:31:01	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xab2dcb…
06-15 01:16:01	ufc kyl3 bon 2026 06 14	Kyle Daukaus	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x09dc5e…
06-15 01:10:04	Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	300	36¢	$108	0xfdef8e…
06-15 00:57:34	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0xc0f590…
06-13 17:24:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe5a5bf…
06-13 17:24:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0x348e35…
06-13 17:22:55	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	SELL	106	64¢	$68	0x0a6a5c…
06-05 17:13:36	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0x1c26fc…
06-05 17:12:49	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$36	0xca834c…
06-04 02:38:15	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	147	35¢	$51	0xbda6c5…
06-04 02:37:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x26da5b…
06-04 02:37:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xdccb9a…
06-04 02:35:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	103	60¢	$62	0xa0fb12…
06-04 01:28:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x2f2587…
06-04 01:27:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x786b3e…
06-03 04:59:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x67a64d…
06-03 04:59:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0xa31912…
05-29 15:19:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	83¢	$199	0xb350ea…
05-29 15:18:50	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	275	73¢	$201	0xe1c3f9…
05-29 15:18:41	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $640?	Yes	SELL	190	3¢	$5	0xe5ba78…
05-29 00:43:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x885792…
05-29 00:42:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	110	33¢	$36	0x5cee12…
05-28 06:44:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x23635d…
05-28 04:26:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xfbc367…
05-28 04:24:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0x32d8dd…
05-28 04:24:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0xec457e…
05-28 04:22:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$10	0x066a4a…
05-27 19:33:41	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $640?	Yes	BUY	190	38¢	$72	0x76cbc2…
05-27 19:25:36	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	300	26¢	$78	0x741f25…
05-26 20:49:39	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	39¢	$25	0x6f447f…
05-26 20:49:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xf8cf01…
05-26 19:06:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7d0dd1…
05-26 19:04:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc310b4…
05-26 19:00:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x9081ba…
05-26 19:00:03	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x4595c1…
05-26 18:59:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xa36334…
05-25 20:00:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	83¢	$46	0xdcbbfc…
05-25 19:59:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xf31e34…
05-25 19:57:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0x6a15e2…
05-24 00:42:25	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x3e75b2…
05-24 00:39:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x02252c…
05-22 20:45:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x26dbe8…
05-22 20:40:23	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x0ae21e…
05-22 19:40:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	617	51¢	$315	0xc5c031…
05-22 19:38:47	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$17	0xf87625…
05-22 19:38:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	SELL	366	3¢	$10	0xed53e2…
05-22 19:38:38	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	137	8¢	$10	0x7fc55b…
05-22 00:27:57	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	81	50¢	$41	0xfbeef7…
05-22 00:15:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	36	50¢	$18	0x0fc286…
05-22 00:09:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	218	50¢	$110	0x39eb68…
05-22 00:07:14	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	137	20¢	$27	0x11c100…
05-21 19:01:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	80	52¢	$42	0x0122fe…
05-21 18:15:59	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	177	52¢	$92	0xafca8a…
05-17 17:41:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xb6d1d2…
05-17 17:40:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	65¢	$260	0x9d6423…
05-13 16:39:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	66	40¢	$27	0xb621a9…
05-13 16:37:07	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x9205e9…
05-13 16:35:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x4b9382…
05-13 16:35:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xfcacd5…
05-09 15:14:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0xa867d0…
05-09 15:13:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0xd0e27b…
05-09 15:12:53	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	101	62¢	$63	0x5366b3…
05-09 15:12:53	Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	174	62¢	$108	0x3178e7…
05-09 15:10:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	33	51¢	$17	0xd93fea…
05-09 15:05:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	680	100¢	$679	0x748a77…
05-08 18:37:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	680	55¢	$374	0x74df64…
05-08 18:37:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	551	68¢	$375	0x3b56fb…
05-08 18:31:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x711ae3…
05-07 17:57:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	139	66¢	$91	0x8c080d…
05-07 17:56:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x23dde4…
05-07 17:56:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	52	76¢	$40	0xf0bd53…
05-07 17:56:43	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	79	60¢	$47	0x6f41eb…
05-07 17:56:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	423	64¢	$270	0xee6f27…
05-07 17:56:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	109	45¢	$49	0x7853c9…
05-07 17:56:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	68¢	$71	0xeccb0a…
05-07 17:53:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x6bb55b…
05-07 17:53:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x7e96a7…
05-07 17:53:13	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	79	61¢	$48	0x4e9761…
05-07 17:53:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	78¢	$40	0x17638d…