Overdue-Catalyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$395

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$6.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-05 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

35% 33% +$291

Other

34% 100% +$104

Crypto

24% — —

Sports

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	6	$1.3K	861	861	+0	Yes	+$104	05-13 16:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	680	680	+0	Yes	+$305	05-09 15:05
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	4	$743	454	454	+0	open	—	05-04 04:20
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$383	0	766	-766	open	—	05-07 17:49
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$235	240	112	+128	open	—	05-29 15:19
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$196	200	200	+0	open	—	05-26 18:59
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	2	$180	300	300	+0	open	—	05-27 19:25
will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	2	$160	250	250	+0	open	—	06-05 17:12
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$155	207	0	+207	open	—	04-13 19:58
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	1	$150	200	0	+200	open	—	05-13 16:37
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	2	$146	366	0	+366	open	—	05-13 16:39
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	1	$114	200	0	+200	open	—	05-17 17:41
nba was gsw 2026 03 27 spread home 12pt5	6	$105	61	56	+5	open	—	03-28 04:05
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	3	$99	48	103	-55	open	—	06-04 02:35
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	7	$98	239	239	+0	open	—	04-08 15:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	4	$81	110	110	+0	open	—	05-29 00:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$78	47	52	-4	open	—	03-26 20:51
Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $640?	2	$78	190	190	+0	open	—	05-29 15:18
nba sas mil 2026 03 28 spread away 17pt5	1	$77	148	0	+148	open	—	03-28 19:00
nhl nj car 2026 03 28	2	$68	106	0	+106	open	—	03-28 21:37
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$59	63	62	+0	open	—	04-10 18:51
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	3	$58	167	0	+167	open	—	06-04 02:38
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$54	200	0	+200	open	—	06-04 01:27
mls sje sea 2026 03 15 sje	1	$50	104	0	+104	open	—	03-15 22:53
wbc jap ven 2026 03 14	2	$47	36	36	+0	open	—	03-15 04:11
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	05-26 19:00
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$41	52	0	+52	open	—	03-22 16:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	04-13 20:06
nba sac lac 2026 03 14 total 231pt5	2	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	03-15 04:48
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	3	$35	45	45	+0	open	—	05-28 04:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 17:13:36	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	No	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0x1c26fc…
06-05 17:12:49	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	250	14¢	$36	0xca834c…
06-04 02:38:15	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	147	35¢	$51	0xbda6c5…
06-04 02:37:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x26da5b…
06-04 02:37:49	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xdccb9a…
06-04 02:35:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	103	60¢	$62	0xa0fb12…
06-04 01:28:49	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x2f2587…
06-04 01:27:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x786b3e…
06-03 04:59:21	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x67a64d…
06-03 04:59:00	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in June?	Yes	BUY	250	50¢	$125	0xa31912…
05-29 15:19:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	240	83¢	$199	0xb350ea…
05-29 15:18:41	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $640?	Yes	SELL	190	3¢	$5	0xe5ba78…
05-29 00:43:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	80¢	$37	0x885792…
05-29 00:42:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	110	33¢	$36	0x5cee12…
05-28 06:44:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x23635d…
05-28 04:26:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xfbc367…
05-28 04:24:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0x32d8dd…
05-28 04:24:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	32¢	$36	0xec457e…
05-28 04:22:07	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	45	21¢	$10	0x066a4a…
05-27 19:33:41	Will Meta (META) finish week of May 25 above $640?	Yes	BUY	190	38¢	$72	0x76cbc2…
05-27 19:25:36	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	SELL	300	26¢	$78	0x741f25…
05-26 19:06:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7d0dd1…
05-26 19:04:29	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc310b4…
05-26 19:00:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x9081ba…
05-26 18:59:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xa36334…
05-25 19:59:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xf31e34…
05-24 00:42:25	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	90k	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x3e75b2…
05-24 00:39:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x02252c…
05-22 00:07:14	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	137	20¢	$27	0x11c100…
05-17 17:41:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $410 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0xb6d1d2…
05-13 16:39:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	66	40¢	$27	0xb621a9…
05-13 16:37:07	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x9205e9…
05-13 16:35:59	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x4b9382…
05-13 16:35:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xfcacd5…
05-09 15:13:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0xd0e27b…
05-09 15:05:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	680	100¢	$679	0x748a77…
05-08 18:37:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	680	55¢	$374	0x74df64…
05-08 18:37:12	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	551	68¢	$375	0x3b56fb…
05-08 18:31:14	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x711ae3…
05-07 17:57:06	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	139	66¢	$91	0x8c080d…
05-07 17:56:31	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in May?	Yes	BUY	423	64¢	$270	0xee6f27…
05-07 17:49:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	766	50¢	$383	0xd66cf6…
05-04 04:20:20	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	454	100¢	$453	0xe3db81…
05-03 19:17:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	9¢	$0	0xc70fce…
05-03 19:17:44	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	28¢	$0	0xa449b0…
05-03 19:17:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xcb9f97…
05-03 19:13:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x791091…
05-03 19:12:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xda9647…
05-03 19:12:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x5f7270…
05-03 19:12:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x100c86…
05-03 19:12:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x68d128…
05-03 19:12:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xed336d…
05-03 19:06:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	28¢	$9	0x92a543…
05-03 19:06:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	9¢	$7	0x4e6f9d…
05-03 19:06:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0xdd0058…
04-14 16:55:42	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	262	66¢	$173	0x5a5fb8…
04-14 16:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xffd699…
04-14 16:32:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x487e20…
04-13 20:10:19	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	170	61¢	$104	0x18bc92…
04-13 20:08:59	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0xa8513a…
04-13 20:06:09	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xe490cf…
04-13 20:06:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0x692415…
04-13 19:58:15	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	177	77¢	$136	0x3bad3c…
04-10 18:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	24	81¢	$20	0x200176…
04-10 18:51:11	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	62	30¢	$19	0x07d2e7…
04-08 15:08:01	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	34	16¢	$5	0xf69001…
04-08 14:57:03	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	63	65¢	$40	0x967308…
04-08 14:56:39	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0xca5f2e…
04-08 14:55:39	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x8c5e16…
04-08 14:55:11	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x6e8138…
04-08 14:54:59	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0xd99722…
04-08 14:54:51	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	145	21¢	$30	0xca9e28…
04-08 10:38:37	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	239	21¢	$50	0x17755f…
04-08 04:41:37	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x2447bf…
04-08 04:38:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x02a8b8…
04-08 04:37:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd4f796…
04-08 03:58:19	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x4902c5…
04-08 03:56:23	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xdbe0ec…
04-08 03:56:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xeae93f…
04-08 03:56:17	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xc2cfa6…
04-08 03:50:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb4ef25…
04-08 03:45:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xaf7503…
04-08 03:44:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x91181c…
04-08 01:36:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	40	66¢	$26	0x479f6c…
04-08 01:35:15	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x87e12c…
04-08 01:34:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xfb5a09…
04-08 01:32:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x06d6f8…
04-08 01:26:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6b4d63…
04-07 14:23:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x51fbc1…
04-05 20:29:15	nhl car ott 2026 04 05	Hurricanes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd469aa…
04-05 03:57:33	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc34f37…
04-04 23:18:41	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x350a4a…
04-02 21:20:19	nba min det 2026 04 02	Timberwolves	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x214f97…
04-02 01:45:25	nhl stl lak 2026 04 01	Kings	BUY	52	57¢	$30	0xf59b8e…
04-02 01:45:25	nhl ana sj 2026 04 01	Ducks	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdb1e8e…
04-01 23:08:17	nba atl orl 2026 04 01 spread away 2pt5	Magic	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x00779e…
04-01 19:13:09	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xd18da1…
04-01 19:13:07	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	31	34¢	$10	0x967312…
04-01 19:11:51	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0xd19b42…
04-01 19:11:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x86ab6a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	60	$658.7K	47,529	06-09 21:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	57	$1.01M	17,909	06-09 23:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	56	$22.7M	36,108	06-09 23:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	55	$119.6K	1,219	06-08 20:50
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	47	$124.8K	1,747	06-09 18:58
Improbable-Entry 0x7e80…631b	47	$65.0K	1,155	06-09 20:54
Well-Documented-Peek 0x94bb…c320	45	$52.0K	1,847	06-09 17:19
Cautious-Compliance 0xd3de…fe0e	45	$5.03K	555	05-29 02:02