Vital-Underwriting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$41

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

19.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,248

lifetime

Volume

$49.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-24 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

58% 100% +$1

Politics

40% 0% $-42

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	46	$3.8K	3,132	2,697	+435	open	—	03-02 17:38
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	47	$2.2K	1,382	1,381	+1	open	—	03-08 22:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	123	$1.2K	5,845	5,647	+198	open	—	03-19 08:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	22	$1.1K	1,330	1,464	-134	open	—	02-28 19:34
will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	6	$986	500	500	+0	open	—	03-03 12:44
will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	7	$959	500	500	+0	open	—	03-03 20:48
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	13	$950	515	515	+0	open	—	03-08 21:10
iran closes its airspace by june 15	17	$768	584	584	+0	open	—	06-07 22:49
will us or israel strike iran on march 9 2026	13	$700	370	410	-40	open	—	03-08 20:47
lal mal esp 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	3	$638	322	322	+0	open	—	03-15 14:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	35	$623	383	324	+59	open	—	04-14 23:05
mex san maz 2026 02 15 total 4pt5	5	$604	339	339	+0	open	—	02-16 01:16
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$594	340	380	-40	open	—	02-28 06:31
atp lehecka fritz 2026 03 24	3	$592	304	304	+0	open	—	03-24 18:58
sea nap lec 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	2	$564	302	302	+0	open	—	03-14 18:41
epl sun bri 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	3	$561	285	285	+0	open	—	03-14 16:50
epl che new 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	2	$553	288	288	+0	open	—	03-14 20:07
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	6	$547	277	276	+0	open	—	03-14 16:26
sea int ata 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	2	$520	271	271	+0	open	—	03-14 15:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	26	$500	1,071	1,001	+70	open	—	03-04 00:26
lal gir bil 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	11	$498	271	271	+0	open	—	03-14 14:39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	26	$457	781	328	+453	open	—	02-28 21:38
acn egy ben 2026 01 05 total 3pt5	3	$436	219	219	+0	open	—	01-05 17:55
uwcl oly wob 2026 04 02 total 4pt5	36	$427	401	73	+328	open	—	04-02 20:42
acn egy ben 2026 01 05 egy	5	$397	250	250	+0	open	—	01-05 17:35
sea com rom 2026 03 15 total 4pt5	8	$396	204	204	+0	open	—	03-15 18:52
will israel strike greater beirut on march 4 2026	9	$370	287	129	+158	open	—	03-03 22:44
wta cristia marcink 2026 02 16	2	$343	173	173	+0	open	—	02-16 17:06
wta costoul paquet 2026 02 16	2	$337	170	170	+0	open	—	02-16 16:42
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	24	$335	244	262	-18	open	—	05-11 13:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:56:14	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	4¢	$26	0xc556c3…
06-24 14:56:02	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x268a3a…
06-15 03:48:27	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xa18451…
06-15 03:48:12	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0x597f18…
06-15 03:44:12	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x12c961…
06-15 03:43:03	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x528225…
06-15 03:18:00	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x986a92…
06-15 03:16:06	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	35	67¢	$23	0x56314f…
06-15 03:09:45	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xc1d768…
06-15 03:09:28	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3462fa…
06-15 03:09:24	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xd750f4…
06-14 21:22:19	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x0d77ba…
06-14 21:19:18	btc updown 15m 1781471700	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x681c16…
06-14 21:19:15	btc updown 15m 1781471700	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x115dd5…
06-14 21:17:48	btc updown 15m 1781471700	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4368d1…
06-14 21:17:25	btc updown 15m 1781471700	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x39052f…
06-14 21:17:19	btc updown 15m 1781471700	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xd0a0b6…
06-14 21:09:12	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x04b651…
06-14 21:09:06	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xd5852e…
06-14 21:08:00	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x26ba36…
06-14 21:07:09	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Up	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x93aa9d…
06-14 21:06:43	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x682fe4…
06-14 21:06:12	btc updown 15m 1781470800	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x027173…
06-14 20:59:13	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8ec3f3…
06-14 20:59:03	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xac5145…
06-14 20:58:58	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6d0c46…
06-14 20:58:43	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x3094bb…
06-14 20:58:27	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x7fbfce…
06-14 20:57:10	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xadbbbd…
06-14 20:57:10	btc updown 15m 1781469900	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x737d1a…
06-14 18:57:15	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x6c7ae2…
06-14 18:52:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xa27761…
06-14 18:52:21	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x443491…
06-14 18:52:21	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	78	95¢	$74	0x0bb2ab…
06-14 18:49:07	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Under	SELL	115	90¢	$103	0xd7e5c0…
06-14 18:41:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa1c57f…
06-14 18:31:13	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x42dd65…
06-14 18:25:51	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	SELL	120	81¢	$97	0x2d6c5b…
06-14 18:10:51	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x655e8d…
06-14 17:52:45	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x82d4a7…
06-14 17:51:46	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x61def1…
06-14 17:48:24	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	170	56¢	$95	0x29bd8b…
06-14 17:41:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd2ac97…
06-14 17:40:36	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	30	45¢	$14	0x32e316…
06-14 17:25:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xc24bbf…
06-14 17:22:34	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0xb6756e…
06-14 17:22:34	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x958acb…
06-14 17:12:58	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x13cb61…
06-14 17:12:36	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x294a65…
06-14 16:21:39	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0x05462e…
06-14 16:18:19	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xda1e92…
06-14 16:18:16	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb2e440…
06-14 16:17:13	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd9c9df…
06-14 16:17:13	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xb508e9…
06-14 16:17:12	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xc58dec…
06-14 16:11:55	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x547d74…
06-14 16:11:52	btc updown 15m 1781453700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbb6614…
06-14 16:10:37	btc updown 15m 1781452800	Up	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x8f4cea…
06-14 16:08:07	btc updown 15m 1781452800	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x8ec70a…
06-14 16:07:13	btc updown 15m 1781452800	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6851ff…
06-14 14:36:55	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2613bd…
06-14 14:34:18	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8e9496…
06-14 14:34:12	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2dee7f…
06-14 14:33:13	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x53188a…
06-14 14:32:49	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$3	0xccee73…
06-14 14:31:21	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x69ed85…
06-14 14:29:10	btc updown 15m 1781447400	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf6980…
06-14 14:28:16	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7d90c4…
06-14 14:27:30	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x91a2c8…
06-14 14:26:51	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc904c9…
06-14 14:26:48	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc6eaff…
06-14 14:19:18	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xad08f2…
06-14 14:19:18	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x65fec3…
06-14 14:17:04	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x9bd1dd…
06-14 14:16:54	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x890d61…
06-14 14:16:40	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x99214a…
06-14 14:15:27	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc74d01…
06-14 14:15:24	btc updown 15m 1781446500	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x77bef5…
06-14 14:13:57	btc updown 15m 1781445600	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x51a748…
06-14 14:12:48	btc updown 15m 1781445600	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x7aee21…
06-14 14:08:33	btc updown 15m 1781445600	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x891e46…
06-14 14:08:22	btc updown 15m 1781445600	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5efa6e…
06-14 02:12:01	btc updown 5m 1781403000	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x9f4a26…
06-14 02:11:34	btc updown 5m 1781403000	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8ab313…
06-14 02:09:43	btc updown 5m 1781402700	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x254442…
06-14 02:09:31	btc updown 5m 1781402700	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3ffae1…
06-14 02:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781402700	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7ffdf8…
06-14 02:09:00	btc updown 5m 1781402700	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x583ba5…
06-14 02:08:39	btc updown 5m 1781402700	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2c6bbc…
06-14 02:08:33	btc updown 5m 1781402700	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x494370…
06-14 00:11:31	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x707199…
06-13 22:35:43	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf5d496…
06-13 22:35:43	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xe25292…
06-13 22:35:43	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x9c42cf…
06-13 22:25:36	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x176742…
06-13 21:28:40	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x811d16…
06-13 21:28:34	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 5pt5	Under	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x64e951…
06-13 19:20:49	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x2c32ea…
06-13 19:18:57	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x881349…
06-13 19:18:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xb8e826…