Salty-Task — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

347

Trades

699

lifetime

Volume

$6.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$488

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-07 11:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 95% -$13

Other

29% 82% -$9

Tech

0% 67% +$0

Politics

0% 93% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	+500	$467	97¢	$486	+$19	06-11 04:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	-1	-$1	94¢	$-1	$0	05-29 18:37
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-1	-$1	84¢	$-1	$0	09-05 13:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	110	$730	5,620	5,620	+0	open	—	06-09 15:51
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	35	$630	205,122	205,122	+0	No	$0	02-25 03:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$560	550	50	+500	open	—	06-11 04:17
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	163	$527	103,000	97,478	+5,521	No	-$17	03-22 04:21
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	7	$502	10,243	10,242	+1	No	+$0	01-27 16:29
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	1	$307	307	0	+307	No	+$0	02-28 17:22
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	4	$158	141	17	+124	No	+$0	01-26 16:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 7	2	$148	148	0	+148	No	+$0	01-06 18:42
bitcoin above 102k on january 14	1	$132	132	0	+132	No	+$0	01-12 18:39
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	2	$126	31,579	31,579	+0	No	+$0	02-11 03:11
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	01-12 18:39
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 12 18	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	01-17 16:18
will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 14	1	$95	95	0	+95	No	+$0	01-12 18:42
will bnb reach 800 in february	1	$69	69	0	+69	No	+$0	02-27 12:04
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	4	$63	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-25 10:29
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?	2	$59	40	40	+0	No	-$6	05-24 04:04
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?	3	$31	40	40	+0	Yes	+$0	05-22 21:17
will ethereum dip to 2800 january 12 18	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-17 16:19
will bitcoin reach 100k december 29 january 4	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	01-03 18:40
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3200 on february 6	2	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	02-06 09:05
bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-04 13:37
will bitcoin reach 90k february 2 8	6	$21	10,514	10,514	+0	No	+$0	02-07 03:09
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$21	10	11	-1	No	+$0	01-24 11:27
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$20	10,000	10,000	+0	No	+$0	01-26 14:23
will ethereum reach 2900 february 2 8	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-07 03:09
will the price of bitcoin be less than 84000 on january 13	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-12 18:41
bitcoin above 82k on january 14	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	01-12 18:39
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	03-02 15:50
will the price of bitcoin be between 100000 102000 on january 13	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-12 18:41
bitcoin above 90k on february 6	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	02-06 09:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-07 11:47:30	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa7cc12…
09-05 13:44:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb612c2…
09-05 13:43:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x908adb…
09-05 13:43:10	Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x3658c1…
08-16 12:19:46	will bitcoin reach 66k august 10 16 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a0457…
08-16 12:18:36	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a13cb…
08-09 13:04:58	bitcoin above 58k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xecf7af…
08-09 13:04:33	bitcoin above 58k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3f15d6…
08-09 13:04:16	bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8fab8e…
07-24 12:52:15	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 24	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6a559…
07-24 12:51:54	will ethereum dip to 1400 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb5e31…
07-24 12:51:33	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa76c99…
07-24 12:51:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1b0e6…
07-24 12:50:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb1dcb2…
07-24 12:50:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 25?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bb4a0…
07-24 12:50:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c885e…
07-24 12:48:42	bitcoin above 74k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e431b…
07-24 12:48:21	bitcoin above 72k on july 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde6e8d…
07-24 12:46:27	bitcoin above 70k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b9a16…
07-24 12:46:04	bitcoin above 68k on july 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03c63a…
07-12 11:18:26	bitcoin above 72k on july 15 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4e203…
07-12 11:18:01	bitcoin above 72k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x342a8f…
07-12 11:17:47	bitcoin above 70k on july 13 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1c4d6c…
07-12 11:17:25	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf0d393…
07-03 10:42:47	Will GRVT launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x91e06c…
06-26 15:36:05	will tsla reach 427 50 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd57929…
06-26 15:35:43	will nvda reach 236 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f3f5a…
06-26 15:35:05	will spy reach 765 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6143dd…
06-19 08:59:08	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	495	0¢	$0	0x957902…
06-19 08:56:46	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4cd3fe…
06-19 08:13:55	bitcoin above 58k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3263ea…
06-11 04:17:40	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xae8128…
06-11 00:03:57	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x1bd6c7…
06-09 15:51:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,442	7¢	$95	0x435d60…
06-08 07:00:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x676d35…
06-08 07:00:34	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	6¢	$9	0xb4bbde…
06-08 07:00:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	6¢	$9	0x455374…
06-08 07:00:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xf9c2e3…
06-08 07:00:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	6¢	$7	0x1acd0e…
06-08 07:00:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	6¢	$9	0xbb726e…
06-08 07:00:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	6¢	$8	0xc232f5…
06-08 07:00:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x0ed477…
06-08 07:00:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x241cb4…
06-08 06:58:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x1a3d73…
06-08 06:58:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x94f7a9…
06-08 06:58:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xf95bfa…
06-08 06:57:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x86ca98…
06-08 06:57:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xe4c0fd…
06-08 06:56:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbd1378…
06-08 06:55:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x2c3dbf…
06-08 06:55:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x37fd01…
06-08 06:54:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x957160…
06-08 06:54:31	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x14cfd3…
06-08 06:54:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x849447…
06-08 06:54:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x35df5b…
06-08 06:53:16	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	6¢	$9	0x70171e…
06-08 06:53:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	6¢	$7	0xb8d838…
06-08 06:53:13	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xdc2961…
06-08 06:53:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xb8d1dd…
06-08 06:53:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x7e1215…
06-08 06:53:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	6¢	$7	0x9e6478…
06-08 06:52:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	6¢	$8	0x587858…
06-05 08:12:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	6¢	$2	0x14fb7d…
06-05 08:10:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0xb3badd…
06-05 08:08:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x0ed890…
06-05 08:04:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xe23ca4…
06-05 08:04:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0xbbd585…
06-05 08:02:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0x988021…
06-05 08:02:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0x8a92c1…
06-05 08:00:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x59c162…
06-05 08:00:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xccc5a2…
06-05 07:59:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0x0e0591…
06-05 07:58:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	6¢	$5	0x543970…
06-05 07:57:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	280	6¢	$18	0x51372c…
06-05 07:55:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0xe6b536…
06-05 07:51:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xc4ec66…
06-05 07:51:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	66	6¢	$4	0xefc8e5…
06-05 07:46:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x204354…
06-05 07:46:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$3	0x4698b5…
06-05 07:44:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	6¢	$5	0x9a5c1e…
06-05 07:41:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x7c287d…
06-05 07:36:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x24b131…
06-05 07:36:27	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x17b27c…
06-05 07:25:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x026aa6…
06-05 07:25:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x6eb283…
06-05 07:21:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x55e0ab…
06-05 07:21:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x8079b3…
06-05 07:19:42	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xcdfe9b…
06-05 07:19:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x0814da…
06-05 07:18:21	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xd18184…
06-05 07:17:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x56dc2e…
06-04 13:37:33	bitcoin above 74k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x29ebfb…
06-03 08:03:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	399	7¢	$26	0x6af3a5…
06-02 07:35:14	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,042	6¢	$68	0x9f788c…
06-02 02:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3add74…
06-01 15:43:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	6¢	$25	0x286a1e…
06-01 15:42:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x915ef0…
06-01 13:18:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	7¢	$12	0x99bb9d…
06-01 13:18:09	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x9e50da…
06-01 13:15:35	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x17b6a9…