Grubby-Sofa — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

100

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$25.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$197

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 11-02 12:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

74% 100% +$76

Crypto

18% 100% +$12

Politics

5% 100% +$11

Tech

4% 75% -$117

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 12?	3	$1.7K	875	875	+0	No	+$2	05-14 07:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$886	895	0	+895	No	+$9	05-19 10:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$883	888	0	+888	No	+$5	05-18 08:39
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$879	880	0	+880	No	+$1	05-16 17:51
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 11?	1	$875	877	0	+877	No	+$2	05-11 10:06
Will Solana dip to $30 April 27-May 3?	1	$870	871	0	+871	No	+$1	05-01 08:22
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	3	$869	873	0	+873	No	+$3	05-16 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$866	874	0	+874	No	+$8	04-30 05:49
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	1	$845	846	0	+846	No	+$1	05-01 00:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	4	$617	320	320	+0	No	+$3	07-13 14:39
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	1	$558	559	0	+559	No	+$1	05-26 07:36
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$524	525	0	+525	No	+$2	05-21 12:40
Will Solana reach $130 May 4-10?	1	$380	381	0	+381	No	+$1	05-06 04:40
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$371	371	0	+371	No	+$0	05-21 13:03
dtrump out as president by september 30	1	$354	358	0	+358	No	+$4	09-03 06:11
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$351	351	0	+351	No	+$0	05-14 07:46
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	6	$351	353	0	+353	No	+$2	05-30 18:31
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	1	$345	347	0	+347	No	+$2	06-13 11:48
Will XRP reach $2.00 May 4-10?	3	$336	337	0	+337	No	+$1	05-06 04:39
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	1	$311	311	0	+311	No	+$0	08-02 15:53
will wti dip to 45 by august 10 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	No	+$0	08-11 09:54
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	1	$299	300	0	+300	No	+$1	05-30 07:52
trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	08-15 21:03
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	07-21 18:13
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	1	$297	300	0	+300	No	+$3	06-20 10:50
Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on June 4?	1	$280	280	0	+280	No	+$0	06-02 09:03
open above 1pt5 on july 24 2026	1	$255	255	0	+255	Yes	+$0	07-21 15:09
Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?	1	$250	250	0	+250	No	+$0	05-30 07:53
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	1	$241	241	0	+241	No	+$0	09-05 14:41
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	1	$237	239	0	+239	No	+$2	07-12 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 12:39:52	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7572c9…
11-02 12:39:31	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 2 – Nov 6?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$201	0x896ec2…
10-26 08:31:50	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x9cd1a5…
10-26 08:30:59	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 26 above $10?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x908862…
10-26 08:30:45	Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 26 above $120?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x459811…
10-21 13:59:29	Will Khamenei post 50-54 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$123	0x1e96e8…
10-21 13:59:06	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xe37bd8…
10-13 11:39:22	Will Solana dip to $40 October 12-18?	No	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xed4056…
10-13 06:52:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x3d1850…
09-27 01:35:35	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$229	0xe32ecb…
09-22 05:30:34	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x122702…
09-22 05:30:19	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf5ae5e…
09-15 06:53:30	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xb1d1fe…
09-15 06:53:03	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xeaa7d8…
09-12 00:11:42	Will XRP reach $2.10 September 7-13?	No	BUY	229	100¢	$229	0x8d1094…
09-05 14:41:30	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 7 – Sep 11?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$241	0xfdea89…
09-04 05:03:42	Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x0c1644…
09-04 05:01:57	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 31 above $5.00?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa428b3…
09-03 11:20:43	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0x45c86e…
09-03 10:38:21	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbee4b5…
09-03 06:11:54	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	358	99¢	$354	0xee3ecc…
08-16 13:27:39	will trump meet with vladimir putin in august 2026 20260731154202612	No	BUY	203	99¢	$201	0x863265…
08-15 21:03:58	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0x963d93…
08-11 09:54:28	will wti dip to 45 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x745d48…
08-08 03:21:15	xrp above 1pt6 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0x536fb8…
08-08 03:20:37	xrp above 1pt6 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2a30e3…
08-08 03:15:03	will wti reach 110 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	212	99¢	$209	0x5a541c…
08-06 05:24:29	nvda above 175 on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x77b220…
08-06 05:24:09	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at <$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f700a…
08-02 15:54:41	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0x8c3e6d…
08-02 15:53:24	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	311	100¢	$311	0x2ee727…
08-02 15:50:20	will ethena reach 0pt28 in august	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x1b9140…
08-02 13:50:05	will chainlink reach 18 in august	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x71b33f…
07-24 23:13:52	will chainlink reach 14 in july	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0x7f180c…
07-24 23:12:51	will chainlink dip to 4 in july	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xfbdcb3…
07-21 18:13:10	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x856379…
07-21 18:12:42	will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	No	BUY	194	99¢	$192	0xe0e1b6…
07-21 15:09:27	open above 1pt5 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	255	100¢	$255	0xc8ea2b…
07-17 01:07:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0xdba733…
07-17 01:05:49	amzn above 275 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x44a350…
07-17 01:04:19	nvda above 235 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0xec068b…
07-17 01:03:58	nvda above 240 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1bf18c…
07-13 14:39:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	320	97¢	$310	0x821e76…
07-12 01:47:07	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	239	99¢	$237	0x3fdeac…
07-12 01:45:41	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x8c0f22…
07-12 01:45:10	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3ce16b…
07-12 01:44:55	Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29b271…
07-09 06:39:25	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.60 on July 11?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf7e557…
07-09 06:38:47	xrp above 1pt6 on july 11 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0xad8ae9…
07-09 05:56:14	open above 7 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f09e2…
07-09 05:55:58	open above 7pt5 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x575650…
07-07 18:12:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	54	96¢	$52	0xb05359…
07-07 13:14:31	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$82	0xcadf28…
07-07 12:36:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	181	96¢	$173	0xfa87f6…
06-27 01:28:52	will ng dip to 2 60 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x57aad4…
06-27 01:27:16	will wti reach 95 in june 2026 from june 10	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x039b37…
06-24 00:44:02	aapl above 360 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x2dd6aa…
06-24 00:41:47	amzn above 290 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	172	99¢	$170	0x9510f7…
06-24 00:41:26	amzn above 300 on june 30 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x14ba0d…
06-20 10:55:04	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x19516c…
06-20 10:54:08	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $40-$50 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xe278a3…
06-20 10:52:44	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xa8fa89…
06-20 10:50:55	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xdbfb9c…
06-20 10:47:49	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0x89582e…
06-20 10:47:26	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5018ae…
06-20 10:47:05	Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x95cf84…
06-20 10:45:55	Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7aea44…
06-19 21:44:10	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	119	98¢	$117	0xfe8e4f…
06-17 19:46:28	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$14	0xf515aa…
06-17 16:42:13	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x07a843…
06-17 11:27:55	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xce3b47…
06-13 11:48:09	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	347	99¢	$345	0xa18624…
06-13 11:44:33	nflx above 140 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x53a236…
06-13 11:42:31	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 15 – Jun 19?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x78b1fd…
06-09 11:27:25	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	180	2¢	$4	0xd0a632…
06-09 08:45:07	Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $0-$1.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$189	0x533eef…
06-09 08:43:43	nvda above 250 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xcdfe8e…
06-08 11:15:15	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0x45ecaf…
06-08 02:26:06	open above 8 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x09831e…
06-05 09:39:01	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	180	72¢	$130	0xc059b2…
06-05 08:24:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x65f212…
06-04 10:25:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	123	99¢	$122	0xdc84a0…
06-02 09:03:24	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on June 4?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$280	0xf68750…
06-02 09:02:53	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on June 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4865cd…
06-02 09:02:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on June 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xac4085…
06-02 09:02:11	Will the price of XRP be greater than $1.80 on June 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x333fbc…
06-02 09:01:50	Will the price of XRP be less than $0.90 on June 3?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x680699…
06-02 09:00:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xddd1b4…
06-02 08:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	168	99¢	$166	0x919442…
06-02 08:44:06	Will Solana reach $150 June 1-7?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x8fa5a1…
05-30 18:31:22	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	265	99¢	$263	0xcc40f4…
05-30 08:35:39	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x0e408f…
05-30 08:25:05	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x321e1b…
05-30 08:07:26	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9024b0…
05-30 08:07:26	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x49c7b8…
05-30 08:07:25	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xdb4aca…
05-30 07:53:19	Will Ethena reach $0.16 in May?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x85a0eb…
05-30 07:52:20	Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in May?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xbe3687…
05-26 07:36:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	559	100¢	$558	0x786fc3…
05-26 07:35:53	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5f8815…