(anonymous) 0x277f95…27dfc8
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$326
Unrealized P&L
-$252
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
856
Trades
2,158
lifetime
Volume
$3.68K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$877
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 10-27 22:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Politics
53% 60% +$204
Other
33% 53% +$110
Sports
12% 68% +$6
Tech
1% 76% +$10
Crypto
0% 62% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 60% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +242 $167 67¢ $162 -$5 10-23 14:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +269 $199 56¢ $149 -$50 10-26 18:00
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +153 $100 68¢ $103 +$4 10-21 09:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +117 $100 82¢ $95 -$4 10-22 09:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +199 $78 44¢ $89 +$11 10-27 22:31
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +119 $73 64¢ $75 +$2 10-26 21:22
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +76 $51 80¢ $60 +$9 10-22 23:25
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +52 $41 72¢ $37 -$4 10-25 20:04
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +39 $35 72¢ $28 -$7 10-23 05:47
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +28 $23 96¢ $27 +$4 10-21 10:22
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +26 $16 70¢ $18 +$2 10-26 21:45
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +16 $12 72¢ $12 $0 10-22 07:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$0 09-21 11:04
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +109 $75 2¢ $2 -$73 10-22 08:49
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +3 $1 58¢ $2 +$1 10-21 09:45
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +158 $115 1¢ $2 -$113 10-27 05:36
trump renames new mexico to new america by december 31 2026 Yes +18 $2 8¢ $2 -$1 09-07 23:01
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +2 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 09-21 18:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 09-26 12:55
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 74¢ $1 $0 09-23 01:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +7 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 09-11 12:31
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +3 $1 30¢ $1 $0 10-03 08:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 $0 10-21 10:23
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $3 4¢ $1 -$2 09-21 13:53
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +4 $1 22¢ $1 $0 09-22 14:55
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes +8 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-10 21:33
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +5 $1 15¢ $1 $0 09-25 15:37
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +7 $1 10¢ $1 $0 09-14 18:18
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +32 $22 2¢ $0 -$22 10-22 07:11
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? Yes +4 $2 2¢ $0 -$2 09-12 14:40