Realized P&L (7d)
-$22
Unrealized P&L
+$74
Hit rate
59.7%
Resolved (7d)
11
Trades (7d)
137
2,398 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.93K
$6.26K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$1.53K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-24
last 11-14 01:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Politics
48% 62% +$557
Other
44% 53% -$87
Sports
7% 68% +$6
Tech
1% 72% +$7
Crypto
0% 62% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +269 $199 80¢ $214 +$15 10-26 18:00
Will Jensen Huang be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +299 $209 64¢ $193 -$16 11-14 06:13
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +163 $132 99¢ $162 +$30 11-07 08:46
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +162 $107 99¢ $160 +$54 11-07 07:19
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +242 $167 66¢ $159 -$8 10-23 14:11
Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +174 $123 90¢ $156 +$34 11-08 05:56
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +154 $80 100¢ $153 +$74 11-04 08:47
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +117 $100 92¢ $107 +$8 10-22 09:00
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +86 $63 87¢ $75 +$11 11-08 04:47
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +199 $78 20¢ $40 -$37 10-27 22:31
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election? Yes +25 $12 98¢ $24 +$12 11-04 02:21
Jensen Huang admits to another affair by December 31? Yes +100 $59 22¢ $23 -$36 11-12 20:53
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? Yes +23 $17 76¢ $18 +$1 11-13 21:42
Will ERC win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +13 $11 82¢ $10 $0 11-14 06:33
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +9 $5 100¢ $9 +$4 11-04 08:09
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand? No +6 $4 75¢ $5 +$1 11-05 08:51
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +4 $2 98¢ $4 +$2 11-05 08:53
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +4 $3 99¢ $4 +$1 11-06 20:46
Will the Opportunity Party win fewer than 4 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 11-06 23:24
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$0 09-21 11:04
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +109 $75 2¢ $2 -$73 10-22 08:49
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$1 10-21 10:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 09-23 01:20
Will Wagner Moura rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? No +2 $1 77¢ $1 +$0 09-11 20:06
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +2 $1 53¢ $1 +$0 11-07 02:34
Israeli election results in a hung parliament? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-21 09:45
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026? No +2 $1 51¢ $1 $0 09-11 20:49
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +3 $1 21¢ $1 $0 10-03 08:18
Will Inde Navarrette rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Actors of 2026? No +8 $1 8¢ $1 $0 09-11 20:06
Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Ohio, Kansas, Texas from lowest to highest? Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 -$1 11-04 08:43