Will the Senate margins of victory rank Alaska, Ohio, Kansas, Texas from lowest to highest?
open
Total volume
$939
$100 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$217
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-11-03
First seen
2026-11-04
last 11-13 22:56
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.9¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $478
vs crowd: 35% YES on $897)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $108 | $450 | $342 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $6 | $135 | $129 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $195 | — | +$195 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 9 | $76 | $403 | $327 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $185 | $19 | +$167 |
| Below median | 2 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $42 | $164 | $122 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +265 | $93 | $93 | 4 | 11-13 14:14 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +239 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 11-06 19:49 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +223 | $212 | $212 | 2 | 11-07 05:29 |
| Slim-Brotherinlaw 0xfad4…a210 | Yes | +193 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-07 05:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a75…beb3 | Yes | +160 | $124 | $124 | 3 | 11-13 22:56 |
| Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | +102 | $74 | $160 | 4 | 11-04 13:45 |
| Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | +100 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 11-04 08:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xee3b…f92f | Yes | +90 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 11-04 09:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +78 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 11-04 07:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | +50 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 11-13 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +42 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 11-13 14:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-13 11:35 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 11-06 19:46 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 11-13 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-13 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-13 11:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b89…ddae | Yes | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-04 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-04 08:44 |
| United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-10 18:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x277f…dfc8 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-04 08:43 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-04 08:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 22:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x5a75…beb3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 69¢ | $7 | 0x3a797b… |
| 11-13 22:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x3a797b… |
| 11-13 14:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xe67754… |
| 11-13 14:14:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 10 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xe67754… |
| 11-13 14:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x5a75…beb3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xe67754… |
| 11-13 14:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 20 | 34¢ | $7 | 0xe67754… |
| 11-13 11:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x8dc6…22a3 | No | BUY | 20 | 94¢ | $19 | 0x9053ed… |
| 11-13 11:35:37 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xd7e665… |
| 11-13 11:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x9053ed… |
| 11-13 11:35:37 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xd7e665… |
| 11-11 04:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x4c5f3a… |
| 11-11 04:18:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 65 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x4c5f3a… |
| 11-11 04:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x5a75…beb3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 84¢ | $84 | 0x4c5f3a… |
| 11-11 04:18:27 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | No | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x4c5f3a… |
| 11-10 18:38:19 | United-Premier 0xdbe5…72da | Yes | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0x37bd17… |
| 11-10 18:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x37bd17… |
| 11-07 05:29:18 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 193 | 95¢ | $183 | 0xb554f5… |
| 11-07 05:29:18 | Slim-Brotherinlaw 0xfad4…a210 | Yes | BUY | 193 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xb554f5… |
| 11-06 19:49:46 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 31 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x94ca49… |
| 11-06 19:49:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x94ca49… |
| 11-06 19:46:06 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xa7d44c… |
| 11-06 19:46:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa7d44c… |
| 11-04 13:45:31 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x32c6c7… |
| 11-04 13:45:31 | (anonymous) 0xdf9b…75a4 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 57¢ | $1 | 0x32c6c7… |
| 11-04 13:45:22 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x7bc078… |
| 11-04 13:45:22 | (anonymous) 0xdf9b…75a4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x7bc078… |
| 11-04 09:13:01 | (anonymous) 0xee3b…f92f | Yes | BUY | 90 | 60¢ | $54 | 0xb0af74… |
| 11-04 09:13:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 90 | 40¢ | $36 | 0xb0af74… |
| 11-04 08:44:24 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0x69d4ae… |
| 11-04 08:44:24 | (anonymous) 0x7b89…ddae | Yes | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x69d4ae… |
| 11-04 08:43:58 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0x823841… |
| 11-04 08:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x277f…dfc8 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x823841… |
| 11-04 08:43:58 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 100 | 36¢ | $36 | 0x7371f7… |
| 11-04 08:43:58 | Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 64¢ | $64 | 0x7371f7… |
| 11-04 07:46:09 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | SELL | 100 | 43¢ | $43 | 0x2a803c… |
| 11-04 07:46:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 100 | 43¢ | $43 | 0x2a803c… |
| 11-04 07:06:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 22¢ | $17 | 0x64077d… |
| 11-04 07:06:09 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 78 | 78¢ | $61 | 0x64077d… |
| 11-04 05:30:52 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 20¢ | $20 | 0x0d77b5… |
| 11-04 05:30:52 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 100 | 80¢ | $80 | 0x0d77b5… |