Realized P&L
+$426
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
79.5%
Resolved
97
Trades
1,309
lifetime
Volume
$44.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$68
15 positions
First seen
2026-09-25
last 10-27 10:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Politics
59% 54% +$94
Other
41% 66% +$355
Tech
0% 0% -$24
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +15 $19 88¢ $13 -$6 10-24 13:51
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? No -10 -$12 96¢ $-10 +$3 10-25 15:44
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? No +50 $6 12¢ $6 -$1 10-20 04:15
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +50 $6 11¢ $5 -$1 10-11 10:39
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +50 $5 11¢ $5 +$0 10-11 09:48
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +50 $6 11¢ $5 -$1 10-11 09:48
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,500 $4 0¢ $5 +$1 09-25 18:37
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +10 $5 47¢ $5 -$1 10-21 08:45
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? No +15 $6 30¢ $4 -$2 10-21 19:33
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes +10 $0 24¢ $2 +$2 10-23 21:33
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 10-23 19:21
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +12 $2 14¢ $2 $0 10-27 09:30
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 $0 10-17 09:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:14
Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad? Yes -10 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 10-25 06:31