Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
81.5%
Resolved
118
Trades
343
lifetime
Volume
$726
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$66
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 10-29 21:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
52% 78% -$4
Other
38% 85% +$8
Crypto
6% 82% +$0
Sports
4% 83% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -11 -$10 95¢ $-11 $0 05-10 09:39
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +12 $10 86¢ $10 $0 10-25 15:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 10-16 18:40
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +8 $6 88¢ $7 +$1 08-09 22:43
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 05-10 09:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-15 05:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -3 -$2 91¢ $-3 $0 05-10 09:39
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? No +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 10-01 13:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-28 05:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 +$0 05-10 09:39
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 10-26 23:59
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 $0 05-10 09:39
us iran final nuclear deal by october 31 2026 No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 08-14 15:26
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-10 09:39
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 82¢ $-1 $0 05-10 09:39
us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026 No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-14 18:32
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 09:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 -$6 88¢ $1 +$7 10-25 14:56
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-19 18:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-25 23:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-29 01:05