Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
83.1%
Resolved
132
Trades
354
lifetime
Volume
$756
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-17
last 11-01 16:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Politics
54% 79% -$3
Other
36% 85% +$8
Crypto
6% 83% +$0
Sports
4% 83% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -11 -$10 95¢ $-11 $0 05-10 09:39
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +8 $6 90¢ $8 +$1 08-09 22:43
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -5 -$5 100¢ $-5 $0 05-10 09:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 10-15 05:33
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -3 -$2 93¢ $-3 $0 05-10 09:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 09-28 05:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 97¢ $-2 +$0 05-10 09:39
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 100¢ $-2 $0 05-10 09:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -2 -$2 96¢ $-2 $0 05-10 09:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 99¢ $-1 $0 05-10 09:39
us iran final nuclear deal by november 30 2026 No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-14 18:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 81¢ $-1 $0 05-10 09:39
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 83¢ $-1 +$0 05-10 09:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 -$6 90¢ $1 +$7 10-25 14:56
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 06-19 18:26
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-29 01:05