Motherly-Carter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.06K

Unrealized P&L

-$252

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

173

Trades

348

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$359

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-26 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

48% 34% +$446

Crypto

27% 27% -$919

Politics

15% 30% -$834

Sports

8% 18% -$777

Tech

3% 100% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-400	-$101	88¢	$-354	-$253	06-09 15:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+23	$3	18¢	$4	+$1	09-10 16:29
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+8	$1	12¢	$1	$0	09-10 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	2	$1.6K	877	877	+0	Yes	+$123	01-13 22:10
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	7	$970	531	531	+0	No	+$91	03-31 18:37
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$800	1,192	1,192	+0	No	-$774	01-28 21:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$729	369	369	+0	Yes	+$6	03-01 04:14
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	2	$696	364	363	+1	Yes	+$31	04-07 23:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	16	$667	1,064	252	+812	No	-$523	10-25 23:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$586	741	0	+741	Yes	+$156	09-11 12:49
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$583	1,389	0	+1,389	Volkanovski	-$583	02-01 04:13
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$496	322	322	+0	No	+$134	03-31 15:02
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	8	$495	606	20	+586	Yes	+$100	07-28 12:18
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils january 2026 meeting	7	$483	582	0	+582	Yes	+$99	01-28 21:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	3	$444	288	279	+8	No	+$113	04-27 18:42
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$390	200	200	+0	Yes	+$10	04-30 00:17
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	6	$328	368	60	+308	Yes	+$38	06-15 20:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	1	$254	0	283	-283	No	-$28	06-03 18:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 00:00 UTC	1	$245	289	0	+289	Down	-$245	04-08 00:03
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 16	3	$238	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	01-16 17:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	5	$219	529	0	+529	No	-$219	10-23 21:24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$208	514	514	+0	No	-$192	07-14 20:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	3	$194	154	154	+0	open	—	07-13 11:37
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	4	$167	90	90	+0	Yes	+$14	03-18 23:04
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$165	100	100	+0	Yes	+$27	06-12 15:49
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	5	$159	299	299	+0	No	-$41	10-25 20:13
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$156	180	0	+180	Yes	+$24	02-20 13:13
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$145	93	93	+0	No	+$40	03-31 11:01
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$139	331	0	+331	Yes	-$139	03-06 13:55
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	2	$133	93	93	+0	open	—	10-25 22:42
ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	1	$128	221	0	+221	Yes	+$93	02-25 12:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$124	50	450	-400	open	—	06-09 15:01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$112	73	73	+0	Yes	+$32	05-30 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 16:52:47	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	SELL	63	14¢	$9	0x460a98…
10-25 23:07:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x51ab5e…
10-25 23:03:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x0984ab…
10-25 22:55:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x1dd610…
10-25 22:44:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	119	34¢	$40	0x33c18a…
10-25 22:42:11	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	93	79¢	$73	0x958794…
10-25 22:32:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd000fe…
10-25 22:21:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb5dfe4…
10-25 22:10:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc09502…
10-25 22:09:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x184cc4…
10-25 22:06:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	53	56¢	$30	0x945cdf…
10-25 21:56:57	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x424c09…
10-25 21:53:29	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x125d6c…
10-25 20:31:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6c4f2c…
10-25 20:21:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0x7f4224…
10-25 20:16:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xe0622d…
10-25 20:13:51	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	161	8¢	$14	0x2ee1f1…
10-23 21:25:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	418	77¢	$320	0xf44310…
10-23 21:25:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xdd9e14…
10-23 21:24:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	243	41¢	$100	0x2e7d79…
10-23 17:01:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0xdb2356…
10-22 12:55:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x73fdf1…
10-22 12:55:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x2de395…
10-22 12:51:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x0b849c…
10-22 12:50:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	138	33¢	$45	0x2c255b…
10-22 11:58:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	121	41¢	$50	0x58e43c…
10-07 00:46:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x8c1515…
10-07 00:44:44	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5e495d…
10-07 00:44:37	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6f54db…
10-04 20:42:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0xca4ef6…
09-30 00:14:57	ufc geosta loaabu 2026 09 29	Loai Abushaar	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4a1f8c…
09-26 21:01:11	ufc dei pay 2026 10 03	Deiveson Figueiredo	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x0f2f98…
09-25 12:06:26	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xaf06c9…
09-25 12:06:26	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa324f1…
09-24 19:49:21	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcc31e4…
09-20 01:52:19	UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexandre Pantoja	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x3dceca…
09-20 01:52:01	UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x88e110…
09-16 23:59:03	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x8b13ee…
09-16 21:55:37	Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5a2d01…
09-16 21:49:04	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	93	65¢	$60	0xd5c7e4…
09-16 00:04:00	Dana White's Contender Series: Ednilson Santos vs. Akbar Abdullaev (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ednilson Santos	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc1e12d…
09-12 23:27:42	Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)	Garcia	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x375441…
09-12 22:44:10	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xe3a882…
09-11 12:55:40	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	1¢	$0	0x5fd122…
09-11 12:55:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0x019d45…
09-11 12:49:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	741	79¢	$586	0x416e1c…
09-11 12:37:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$2	0xaae85e…
09-10 18:42:57	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xdcc276…
09-10 18:38:09	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x70e457…
09-10 18:37:40	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x64055d…
09-10 18:37:33	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xaea833…
09-10 18:37:27	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x68b17b…
09-10 16:29:51	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xad88c7…
09-10 16:29:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x27a59e…
09-10 15:46:21	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in September?	Yes	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x243e99…
09-06 19:04:39	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x94dd52…
08-29 21:04:28	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x384c3d…
08-19 22:42:19	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-08-19?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe947a2…
08-19 00:08:06	Will Palmeiras win Brazil Série A?	No	SELL	44	54¢	$24	0x9ce481…
08-19 00:07:46	ufc kai4 nfazil 2026 08 18	Kaik Brito	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x92fc42…
07-31 00:36:42	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x233b7c…
07-31 00:36:14	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x1edad0…
07-28 12:18:23	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?	Yes	BUY	516	90¢	$463	0x60204c…
07-27 17:42:57	Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x074c10…
07-25 18:17:19	ufc mag1 bog1 2026 07 25	Bogdan Guskov	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x24cd70…
07-23 16:17:01	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x748ecf…
07-23 00:35:19	Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x827b90…
07-22 15:49:33	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xeb5dff…
07-16 23:04:25	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xa8438f…
07-16 23:04:23	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0xeb729b…
07-16 23:04:22	Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	16¢	$4	0x7e646d…
07-14 20:44:41	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0xb722fa…
07-14 20:43:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	514	2¢	$8	0x265fc6…
07-13 11:37:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0xdfe458…
07-13 11:37:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	154	70¢	$108	0x8a4919…
07-13 11:36:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	514	39¢	$200	0xea05bd…
07-12 03:15:40	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x2b82fd…
07-10 20:54:40	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xe0f541…
07-10 20:26:46	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x583f85…
07-10 18:38:22	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x311769…
07-10 18:38:16	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbe6225…
07-10 18:38:04	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa22803…
07-09 19:09:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals achraf hakimi gte1	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x19cffd…
07-09 12:26:26	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xdaef2d…
07-09 02:20:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x46e87e…
07-07 19:51:35	Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Colombia?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x6d6128…
07-07 17:38:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf4a2e5…
07-07 17:26:17	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xef276a…
07-07 16:46:19	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbd50b5…
07-07 16:45:29	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf9aa72…
07-07 13:07:32	Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,323	1¢	$16	0x7e1961…
07-07 13:05:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x080cde…
07-06 19:01:02	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe6b078…
07-06 19:00:43	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x354654…
07-06 18:58:11	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb7d7eb…
07-01 20:11:13	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc54199…
07-01 17:42:26	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	SELL	17	5¢	$1	0xa64218…
07-01 15:04:16	Exact Score: England 3 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc4acad…
06-30 19:51:22	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5f867a…
06-30 19:42:11	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x87bb84…