Realized P&L
-$256
Unrealized P&L
+$27
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
1,477
Trades
3,076
lifetime
Volume
$10.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$168
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-21
last 11-07 22:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
66% 62% -$115
Crypto
18% 57% -$74
Sports
10% 55% -$19
Politics
4% 61% -$32
Tech
1% 50% -$16
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +22 $10 90¢ $20 +$10 07-27 03:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +21 $6 90¢ $19 +$13 07-20 02:02
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +17 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 08-05 06:16
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 07-20 01:40
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? No +11 $10 82¢ $9 $0 10-31 08:44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +12 $4 70¢ $8 +$4 06-25 00:15
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? No +10 $5 82¢ $8 +$3 07-21 19:17
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +9 $4 62¢ $5 +$2 11-02 15:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 94¢ $5 +$2 07-27 03:17
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 07-27 03:36
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Wu Pin-jui win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 11-06 19:42
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $0 10-26 03:32
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $0 10-26 03:32
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 09-24 06:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 +$0 06-25 00:15
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +6 $5 66¢ $4 -$1 10-26 03:37
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +4 $4 99¢ $4 +$0 06-25 00:15
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +5 $5 76¢ $4 -$1 09-24 06:29
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 11-04 08:04
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $5 52¢ $3 -$2 11-01 18:32
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 11-02 18:30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +6 $5 36¢ $2 -$3 06-28 04:19
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 10-25 06:58
Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? No +8 $5 18¢ $1 -$4 07-21 19:17
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 11-07 22:23
Will Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-03 18:26
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +5 $2 26¢ $1 -$1 09-24 06:29
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 10-05 14:19
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 11-02 19:35