Misty-Zither — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.66K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

33.9%

Resolved

106

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$19.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-29 14:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

73% 38% -$2,399

Sports

19% 53% -$415

Politics

4% 60% -$107

Tech

3% 67% +$250

Crypto

0% 67% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes		-118	-$5	4¢	$-5	+$1	08-29 14:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	14	$2.7K	5,300	5,300	+0	No	-$1,391	05-30 17:25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$2.1K	2,809	2,809	+0	No	-$1,026	05-30 17:30
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	-$582	05-30 17:26
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	2	$804	575	575	+0	Yes	+$344	06-23 02:00
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$657	358	358	+0	Yes	+$57	06-22 21:13
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	15	$569	356	969	-614	Yes	-$56	02-23 12:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	1	$500	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$500	05-30 17:30
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$400	426	0	+426	Yes	+$26	06-20 17:22
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$396	385	385	+0	Yes	-$104	06-23 04:31
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$349	593	0	+593	No	-$349	05-30 17:27
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$343	1,040	0	+1,040	Yes	+$697	06-23 16:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$321	162	162	+0	No	+$1	05-14 15:06
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	2	$309	435	435	+0	No	+$109	06-23 04:32
DeepSeek V4 released by May 15?	5	$288	322	0	+322	Yes	+$34	04-23 16:59
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?	1	$250	806	0	+806	No	-$250	06-23 01:27
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	4	$245	282	0	+282	No	+$37	05-30 15:58
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	1	$230	511	0	+511	No	-$230	06-22 20:53
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$215	294	294	+0	No	+$15	01-14 01:01
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?	2	$210	1,194	0	+1,194	Yes	+$984	06-22 21:10
Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?	1	$200	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$200	06-22 23:40
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$200	294	0	+294	Yes	+$94	06-22 16:21
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$200	256	0	+256	England	+$56	07-01 17:45
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	253	0	+253	Yes	+$53	06-17 03:01
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	1	$190	1,270	0	+1,270	No	-$190	06-23 16:42
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?	1	$190	3,800	0	+3,800	No	-$190	06-23 16:39
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria?	1	$190	1,357	0	+1,357	No	-$190	06-23 02:30
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?	1	$170	1,215	0	+1,215	No	-$170	06-22 23:41
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria?	1	$170	2,125	0	+2,125	No	-$170	06-23 02:27
Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria?	1	$170	1,214	0	+1,214	No	-$170	06-23 02:28
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$170	1,042	1,042	+0	No	-$30	06-23 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 14:42:01	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	118	4¢	$5	0x136905…
08-29 14:41:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x032e23…
08-29 14:41:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x95d0c0…
08-28 12:27:07	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x587fe7…
07-01 17:46:29	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xc359bf…
07-01 17:46:01	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x66ee55…
07-01 17:45:20	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xdbdbec…
06-30 22:18:05	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x36a5ad…
06-29 16:46:16	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x112fc1…
06-26 13:47:39	Will France win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x5948f2…
06-23 16:45:02	Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,100	11¢	$121	0x552341…
06-23 16:43:52	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	1,200	10¢	$120	0x5d9b9f…
06-23 16:43:20	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x9c2e1b…
06-23 16:42:55	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	1,270	15¢	$190	0x07fe56…
06-23 16:42:11	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	1,040	33¢	$343	0x510960…
06-23 16:39:59	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	3,800	5¢	$190	0xbabd7e…
06-23 16:36:14	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x2ce97b…
06-23 04:44:59	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	1,600	1¢	$16	0x000794…
06-23 04:32:34	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	435	48¢	$209	0x13dd8d…
06-23 04:31:44	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	385	38¢	$146	0xa06446…
06-23 02:30:35	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	385	65¢	$250	0x3436b8…
06-23 02:30:08	Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 1 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	1,357	14¢	$190	0x5f745b…
06-23 02:28:59	Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	1,214	14¢	$170	0x00049e…
06-23 02:28:35	Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 2 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	1,091	11¢	$120	0xac8dba…
06-23 02:28:04	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xbac706…
06-23 02:27:35	Exact Score: Jordan 0 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	2,125	8¢	$170	0xc03001…
06-23 02:00:28	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	575	100¢	$574	0x43814a…
06-23 01:58:43	Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	3,123	3¢	$100	0x34e3b3…
06-23 01:27:49	Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	806	31¢	$250	0xd2fdbb…
06-23 00:52:59	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,042	7¢	$70	0x757582…
06-22 23:44:19	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	945	11¢	$104	0x5a8ad6…
06-22 23:42:07	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	1,560	9¢	$140	0x27fbab…
06-22 23:41:35	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	1,560	9¢	$140	0xdcc0f9…
06-22 23:41:07	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	1,215	14¢	$170	0x1bd57b…
06-22 23:40:19	Exact Score: Norway 0 - 0 Senegal?	Yes	BUY	2,500	8¢	$200	0x47d06d…
06-22 23:39:37	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	575	40¢	$230	0x51321f…
06-22 22:16:44	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	1,223	4¢	$50	0x19270d…
06-22 21:13:40	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	358	100¢	$357	0x28cc42…
06-22 21:13:07	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,500	8¢	$120	0x01b0df…
06-22 21:10:43	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	235	17¢	$40	0x32b3f8…
06-22 21:10:16	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	959	18¢	$170	0x54bb30…
06-22 21:07:17	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0x21e8f0…
06-22 21:02:23	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0xcc5281…
06-22 20:58:53	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	860	7¢	$60	0x7f877c…
06-22 20:57:41	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	1,333	6¢	$80	0x259bba…
06-22 20:57:10	Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	1,125	8¢	$90	0xc9213d…
06-22 20:55:46	Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Iraq?	Yes	BUY	857	14¢	$120	0x2ed1b7…
06-22 20:53:49	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	511	45¢	$230	0x78e2b0…
06-22 16:24:50	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	290	14¢	$40	0x24a46c…
06-22 16:23:55	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x43bc1e…
06-22 16:21:23	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	294	68¢	$200	0x187181…
06-22 16:21:04	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,786	7¢	$125	0x968704…
06-22 16:20:43	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	833	15¢	$125	0xb57a51…
06-20 17:22:55	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x22f493…
06-20 17:22:22	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	426	94¢	$400	0x87fad7…
06-20 17:21:22	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x39d20e…
06-17 03:01:48	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8,096	2¢	$130	0x8419a7…
06-17 03:01:00	Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	253	79¢	$200	0xe75d83…
06-17 03:00:00	Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	358	84¢	$300	0x498bdc…
06-17 02:57:48	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x46d8d5…
06-17 02:54:49	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x915575…
06-17 02:45:18	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x7aa99d…
06-17 02:41:01	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xe13278…
06-17 02:40:46	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	Argentina	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x6265c0…
06-17 02:40:24	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xca013a…
06-17 02:40:03	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x80933d…
06-11 16:29:22	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x54b2a0…
06-02 04:04:56	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,042	10¢	$100	0x0d9d8f…
06-02 04:04:46	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	893	11¢	$100	0xe18e5b…
06-02 04:04:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	606	16¢	$100	0xcb524f…
06-02 04:04:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	585	17¢	$100	0x133f5d…
06-02 04:02:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	1¢	$10	0x08090e…
05-30 17:30:37	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xb6fe8b…
05-30 17:30:14	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	2,809	20¢	$562	0xfc42a9…
05-30 17:28:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	586	32¢	$188	0x11efdd…
05-30 17:27:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	593	59¢	$349	0xf1e25f…
05-30 17:26:16	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	2,000	26¢	$518	0x071c48…
05-30 17:25:34	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	952	63¢	$600	0x73af06…
05-30 17:25:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	5,300	12¢	$636	0xff3cd0…
05-30 17:24:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	1,270	63¢	$800	0x02d506…
05-30 16:06:55	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	3,303	38¢	$1,255	0xf88d5a…
05-30 16:02:43	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x634051…
05-30 16:02:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd81283…
05-30 16:02:16	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	400	38¢	$152	0x6e00ed…
05-30 16:02:09	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xf6fed0…
05-30 16:02:08	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7e4ac5…
05-30 16:02:06	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0xdd802e…
05-30 16:01:19	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4e97e2…
05-30 16:01:15	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x791d4c…
05-30 16:01:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x741264…
05-30 16:01:13	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	161	38¢	$61	0x2128fb…
05-30 16:01:10	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xda9d19…
05-30 16:01:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x55b149…
05-30 15:58:52	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x9cf64a…
05-30 15:58:50	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	108	87¢	$94	0xe34ebf…
05-30 14:40:12	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	77	87¢	$67	0x7dc669…
05-30 14:38:53	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	No	BUY	59	87¢	$51	0xd541b3…
05-30 13:43:11	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	1,300	39¢	$507	0xff2a88…
05-14 15:20:49	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x38ff9c…
05-14 15:07:25	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	89	62¢	$55	0x8a18b4…