Perfect-Trapezoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$5

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

98.8%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

94 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$450

$450 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$49

7 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	+10	$9	99¢	$10	+$1	05-06 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	+10	$9	99¢	$10	+$1	05-06 02:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	+10	$10	92¢	$9	$-0	05-06 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-06 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-06 02:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	+5	$5	96¢	$5	$-0	05-06 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	+5	$4	90¢	$5	+$0	05-06 01:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 02:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a7423…
05-06 02:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x385aee…
05-06 02:19:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x958627…
05-06 02:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xecb65c…
05-06 02:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc708d3…
05-06 02:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdba3ca…
05-06 02:03:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab47c6…
05-06 01:54:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x072367…
05-06 01:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x91d1c3…
05-06 01:54:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc62017…
05-06 01:38:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x486f0f…
05-06 01:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x37a7cf…
05-06 01:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f94db…
05-06 01:28:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x09e85f…
05-06 01:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc28525…
05-06 00:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78c3f5…
05-06 00:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x351d91…
05-06 00:48:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62814a…
05-06 00:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdf852d…
05-06 00:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x14f408…
05-06 00:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x882209…
05-06 00:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x22a919…
05-06 00:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdc1f31…
05-05 21:59:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1eb571…
05-05 21:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6d3d8e…
05-05 20:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x786035…
05-05 20:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x75d4f4…
05-05 20:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb6e4e0…
05-05 20:29:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x12d655…
05-05 19:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe4f05a…
05-05 18:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd05f7…
05-05 18:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xef9e1f…
05-05 18:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe90ea0…
05-05 18:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x8783d5…
05-05 18:04:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x49f381…
05-05 17:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x88c993…
05-05 17:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfcf723…
05-05 16:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xdefc13…
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x028a5e…
05-05 15:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdba144…
05-05 15:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa33f2c…
05-05 15:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3ff7a0…
05-05 14:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x069c1e…
05-05 14:24:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1ff945…
05-05 06:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3a0489…
05-05 06:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa7dcd5…
05-05 03:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6f0b28…
05-05 03:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaa3e2c…
05-05 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6b82f8…
05-05 03:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa6caeb…
05-05 03:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd2b49b…
05-05 01:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x396de1…
05-05 01:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc72983…
05-05 01:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xee7d0f…
05-05 01:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9dae1d…
05-05 01:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x436627…
05-05 00:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x344ec3…
05-05 00:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaefdd2…
05-05 00:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2eebbe…
05-05 00:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf297c4…
05-05 00:24:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x080b56…
05-05 00:14:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9e2792…
05-05 00:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x79ab13…
05-04 23:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd8a7d7…
05-04 23:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x53199e…
05-04 23:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2fb961…
05-04 23:39:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1b73df…
05-04 23:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cba2e…
05-04 23:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34a24a…
05-04 23:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfd48fe…
05-04 22:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4d6a7f…
05-04 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0cc615…
05-04 22:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x228230…
05-04 22:39:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4963ff…
05-04 22:14:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf462b5…
05-04 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x476cd7…
05-04 22:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x622fb3…
05-04 22:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5010ef…
05-04 21:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x809eb0…
05-04 21:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa2c359…
05-04 21:49:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xde8099…
05-04 21:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3eb228…
05-04 21:29:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6dd21c…
05-04 21:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e5304…
05-04 21:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc01cad…
05-04 21:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x343779…
05-04 21:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x467061…
05-04 20:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a5a92…
05-04 20:54:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ba5a3…
05-04 20:54:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5633a5…
05-04 20:19:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x136110…
05-04 20:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x780d67…
05-04 20:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xd77a54…
05-04 20:04:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x981e97…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	55	$6.91K	209	05-06 02:38
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	47	$16.4K	202	05-06 02:18
Vengeful-Valuable 0x562a…2ad4	47	$1.12K	134	05-06 02:38
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	32	$590	131	05-06 02:14
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	25	$3.36K	80	05-06 02:13
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	24	$3.96K	118	05-06 02:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	24	$2.27K	50	05-06 02:19
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	23	$26.3K	25	05-06 02:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	3	$15	15	+15	Down	+$0	05-04 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	3	$14	15	+15	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-05 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 00:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 23:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 21:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-06 00:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-04 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-06 01:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$10	10	+10	Up	+$1	05-05 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	open	—	05-06 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	open	—	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	2	$9	10	+10	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$8	10	+10	Up	+$2	05-05 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-05 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 00:14