Truthful-College-Marines — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$710

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

54.2%

Resolved

394

Trades

485

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-20 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

69% 51% -$637

Sports

13% 62% +$205

Crypto

10% 69% -$9

Politics

9% 38% -$259

Tech

0% 50% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-20).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes		-21	-$16	96¢	$-20	-$4	05-20 21:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha	1	$165	195	0	+195	G2 Esports	+$29	05-03 17:43
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	1	$161	204	0	+204	Peshawar Zalmi	+$43	05-03 17:42
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	5	$119	60	60	+0	No	-$1	04-24 23:27
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$99	114	0	+114	Yes	-$99	05-03 19:46
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-04?	1	$99	147	0	+147	No	+$49	05-04 00:47
Will Kostadin Kostadinov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	4	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	04-24 23:26
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	4	$97	49	49	+0	No	-$1	04-24 23:27
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?	4	$92	50	50	+0	No	-$6	04-24 23:28
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	1	$86	123	0	+123	Yes	-$86	05-04 12:50
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	1	$85	100	0	+100	Yes	+$15	05-05 00:53
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner	1	$82	94	0	+94	Misa Esports	+$12	05-04 19:24
Will Joaquin Panichelli be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-24 16:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$82	97	97	+0	No	-$33	05-20 21:43
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	04-24 16:32
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$82	132	0	+132	Yaroslav Amosov	+$50	05-04 02:46
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcina	1	$82	134	0	+134	Dalibor Svrcina	-$82	05-04 11:50
Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui	1	$81	125	0	+125	Jie Cui	-$81	05-06 07:37
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	1	$81	116	0	+116	Yes	+$35	05-05 18:02
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	1	$81	116	0	+116	FURIA	+$35	05-06 08:07
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjen	1	$81	117	0	+117	Peyton Stearns	+$36	05-06 11:39
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	1	$81	93	0	+93	Yes	-$81	05-05 19:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	1	$81	93	0	+93	No	+$12	05-04 18:23
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	3	$80	44	44	+0	No	+$0	04-24 16:33
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	4	$78	86	0	+86	Yes	+$8	04-27 16:22
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$76	123	0	+123	Alexander Volkov	+$47	05-04 16:53
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	3	$76	40	40	+0	No	-$1	04-24 16:34
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-09?	1	$76	98	0	+98	Yes	+$23	05-03 22:46
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	3	$75	38	38	+0	No	$0	04-24 23:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	1	$74	139	0	+139	Yes	-$74	05-04 02:15
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	1	$73	83	0	+83	Yes	+$10	05-10 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:44:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0xff489f…
05-20 21:44:06	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	204	0¢	$0	0xce9f48…
05-20 21:43:56	Obras vs. San Lorenzo	Obras	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0xc8251c…
05-20 21:43:47	Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x23f7a4…
05-20 21:43:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	25¢	$24	0x8a8312…
05-20 21:41:09	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	Yes	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0x80bbf0…
05-12 12:40:36	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x574c18…
05-12 12:40:18	Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)	Rublev	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0x708296…
05-12 07:38:31	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0xefc02e…
05-12 06:08:20	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	96	51¢	$49	0x6fb395…
05-12 04:06:58	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-13?	No	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x9a4cbc…
05-12 04:05:52	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x0c3450…
05-12 00:34:35	Will Charles Booker be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	Yes	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0x4a8f18…
05-12 00:06:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x82b9c6…
05-11 22:36:08	Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?	Yes	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0xab3c49…
05-11 21:35:56	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	64	44¢	$28	0x86af56…
05-11 19:02:48	Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	88¢	$68	0x8ea5e6…
05-11 17:01:13	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	44	76¢	$34	0x4068b7…
05-11 10:31:15	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	55	57¢	$32	0xb52552…
05-11 07:00:05	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x3f397f…
05-11 06:27:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$69	0xe6c1e8…
05-11 03:58:52	Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	The Huns Esports	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x49bd95…
05-11 03:58:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	104	61¢	$64	0x6e0c23…
05-11 03:57:49	LoL: LNG Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	LNG Esports	BUY	111	65¢	$72	0x4c12e4…
05-11 02:54:28	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	71	41¢	$29	0x193781…
05-11 01:25:19	OGC Nice vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	103	58¢	$59	0xfa1851…
05-10 22:23:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	83	86¢	$72	0x5ed2c3…
05-10 21:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x5ab20a…
05-10 20:55:38	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0x0c77a4…
05-10 20:24:24	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Heroic	BUY	61	58¢	$35	0x1aac9f…
05-10 19:52:17	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	72	48¢	$35	0x8f9584…
05-10 18:51:58	Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox	Seattle Mariners	BUY	70	70¢	$49	0x7e3a73…
05-10 17:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x8fc5f8…
05-10 17:51:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 12?	No	BUY	101	72¢	$73	0x516dd1…
05-10 17:21:33	Valencia vs. Saski Baskonia	Saski Baskonia	BUY	117	59¢	$69	0xf2dbf4…
05-10 14:22:18	Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $50B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	103	70¢	$72	0xee09e1…
05-10 13:19:11	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	113	51¢	$58	0x4106f8…
05-10 09:47:05	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	57	52¢	$30	0xd8a185…
05-10 09:46:56	Francavilla: Gustavo Heide vs Facundo Acosta	Gustavo Heide	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0x2e9638…
05-10 09:17:07	Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5	Over	BUY	71	50¢	$36	0x8ca0fc…
05-10 08:46:33	Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Fnatic	BUY	59	54¢	$32	0x441720…
05-10 08:43:42	Will Falcons win PGL Astana 2026?	No	BUY	97	61¢	$59	0x6e2710…
05-10 07:44:28	KCC Egis vs. Goyang	KCC Egis	BUY	113	63¢	$71	0x831566…
05-10 05:14:59	Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs	Eternal Fire	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xc8e65c…
05-10 02:14:32	Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?	Yes	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0xd944ab…
05-10 00:42:55	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Minnesota Twins	BUY	113	53¢	$60	0x16e721…
05-09 23:13:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	112	62¢	$70	0x464dc1…
05-09 20:43:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?	No	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xc069d9…
05-09 17:41:41	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10?	No	BUY	111	65¢	$72	0xa9ee16…
05-09 17:09:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Belinda Bencic vs Anna Kalinskaya	Belinda Bencic	BUY	72	73¢	$53	0x578384…
05-09 16:39:36	Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x55f735…
05-09 16:38:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x1f5b37…
05-09 12:37:55	Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?	Yes	BUY	64	50¢	$32	0x4b178b…
05-08 23:00:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	81¢	$5	0x8cd002…
05-08 20:31:41	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	59¢	$57	0xc5f7ad…
05-08 19:29:27	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	62	49¢	$31	0x60bdee…
05-08 16:01:00	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	45	75¢	$34	0xa96611…
05-08 14:04:11	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	58	57¢	$33	0xb35d1f…
05-08 14:03:59	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Zeynep Sonmez	Jessica Pegula	BUY	88	82¢	$72	0x7f7ac9…
05-08 14:03:36	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	82	78¢	$64	0xfd5d9a…
05-08 14:03:18	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?	No	BUY	109	66¢	$72	0x64a628…
05-08 14:02:42	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Delhi Capitals	BUY	103	52¢	$53	0x22d855…
05-08 14:02:22	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x6a6c4b…
05-08 14:01:14	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0xa4f3e1…
05-07 06:45:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci	Roman Andres Burruchaga	BUY	73	71¢	$52	0x59abd4…
05-07 05:43:53	Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5	Over	BUY	73	50¢	$37	0x59c2a1…
05-07 02:45:09	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Noemi Basiletti vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	117	52¢	$61	0xa0b65d…
05-07 02:43:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 7?	Up	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0xf4ab9c…
05-06 22:45:57	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	73	45¢	$33	0x915960…
05-06 19:41:58	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?	Yes	BUY	111	51¢	$56	0xe19aae…
05-06 19:41:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmane	Zizou Bergs	BUY	111	54¢	$60	0xa00db5…
05-06 18:10:37	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	Yes	BUY	63	56¢	$35	0x6f2a2c…
05-06 17:38:44	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	113	57¢	$64	0x0c558d…
05-06 14:09:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	114	55¢	$63	0x3e17be…
05-06 12:09:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	79	42¢	$33	0x2e7fa0…
05-06 11:39:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjen	Peyton Stearns	BUY	117	69¢	$81	0xd020dc…
05-06 09:38:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	Sebastian Ofner	BUY	120	61¢	$73	0xf1026a…
05-06 08:07:10	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	116	70¢	$81	0x7396f0…
05-06 07:37:32	Wuxi: Alastair Gray vs Jie Cui	Alastair Gray	BUY	125	65¢	$81	0xd36efa…
05-06 04:05:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandra Eala vs Magdalena Frech	Alexandra Eala	BUY	116	54¢	$63	0xbf10ed…
05-05 21:31:32	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jaqueline Cristian vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Jaqueline Cristian	BUY	115	51¢	$59	0xec3982…
05-05 20:28:58	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0x0fb59d…
05-05 19:01:18	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?	No	BUY	93	87¢	$81	0x5d3c56…
05-05 18:02:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	116	70¢	$81	0x79dc06…
05-05 03:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xff971d…
05-05 02:55:16	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xa4536a…
05-05 00:53:14	Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x22f723…
05-05 00:24:16	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	122	56¢	$68	0xc7388a…
05-04 21:23:36	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?	Yes	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x467e0b…
05-04 19:24:04	LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winner	Misa Esports	BUY	94	87¢	$82	0x09114c…
05-04 18:23:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	93	87¢	$81	0xc972e2…
05-04 16:53:26	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	123	62¢	$76	0x23c8f4…
05-04 16:20:04	LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Invictus Gaming	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x7ebe4d…
05-04 14:50:28	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Henrique Rocha	Zsombor Piros	BUY	124	51¢	$63	0x1b4619…
05-04 12:50:36	Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	BUY	123	70¢	$86	0xde500b…
05-04 12:49:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Jack Pinnington Jones	Patrick Kypson	BUY	63	37¢	$23	0x53a49f…
05-04 11:50:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Dalibor Svrcina	Benjamin Bonzi	BUY	134	61¢	$82	0x8f7472…
05-04 11:48:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Stan Wawrinka	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	128	54¢	$69	0xdd31ce…
05-04 11:21:04	LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	89	73¢	$65	0x12d263…
05-04 09:20:18	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	Yes	BUY	73	59¢	$43	0x904eef…