Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

1.1%

Resolved

Trades

221

lifetime

Volume

$1.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

13 positions

First seen

2026-09-30

last 11-07 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

82% 7% -$26

Politics

12% 0% $0

Tech

4% 0% -$2

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	+50	$9	16¢	$8	-$1	11-07 16:56
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+50	$10	12¢	$6	-$4	11-07 19:18
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	+100	$10	6¢	$6	-$4	11-07 02:11
Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	+40	$6	11¢	$4	-$2	11-06 21:31
Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	+20	$4	16¢	$3	-$1	11-07 16:25
Will Amy Hunt win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	+50	$5	6¢	$3	-$2	11-07 08:52
Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	+8	$2	16¢	$1	$0	11-06 22:04
Will Marine Le Pen win the most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+1	$1	16¢	$0	-$1	10-30 03:54
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	No	+0	$0	32¢	$0	+$0	10-29 23:41
Will Anthropic IPO by November 25, 2026?	No	+0	$0	26¢	$0	+$0	10-28 11:25
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	Yes	+1	$0	6¢	$0	$0	10-26 14:20
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	13¢	$0	$0	10-06 19:25
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	+0	$0	11¢	$0	+$0	11-05 12:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	7	$183	150	150	+0	open	—	11-07 11:20
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	17	$126	500	500	+0	open	—	11-05 12:21
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	5	$90	300	299	+1	open	—	10-26 14:20
Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	6	$89	265	265	+0	open	—	11-07 01:56
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	4	$78	50	50	+0	open	—	11-04 16:55
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	11-06 20:01
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	2	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	11-03 14:11
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	5	$56	150	150	+0	open	—	11-06 03:30
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$52	200	200	+0	open	—	11-04 19:23
KOSPI all-time high before 2028?	2	$47	100	100	+0	open	—	11-07 01:43
Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	4	$43	100	100	+0	open	—	11-03 17:42
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	6	$42	110	109	+1	No	$0	10-26 06:36
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$40	100	100	+0	open	—	10-30 08:16
Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	11-04 01:36
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	3	$32	100	100	+0	open	—	10-30 21:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$29	100	100	+0	open	—	11-06 06:24
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar?	4	$23	100	100	+0	Yes	-$2	10-04 12:24
Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	3	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	11-07 15:09
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	2	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	11-02 02:00
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	10-01 05:06
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	3	$22	50	50	+0	open	—	11-06 12:10
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	3	$21	50	50	+0	open	—	11-05 14:55
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?	2	$21	50	50	+0	open	—	10-30 13:57
Will Alabama Crimson Tide win the 2027 CFP National Championship?	2	$19	100	100	+0	open	—	10-15 00:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	11-03 23:54
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?	3	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	10-29 23:41
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	2	$17	50	50	+0	open	—	10-13 14:37
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	4	$17	98	98	+0	open	—	11-06 19:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	3	$16	50	50	+0	open	—	10-06 19:25
Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	50	50	+0	No	-$2	10-02 09:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 19:18:13	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x729a2a…
11-07 16:56:25	Will "Babydoll – Dominic Fike" be the #2 song for 2026?	No	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x4847aa…
11-07 16:25:09	Anthropic IPO: Closing Price above IPO Price on First Day?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd97005…
11-07 15:09:54	Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	No	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x594318…
11-07 15:09:42	Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	No	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0xf20b62…
11-07 11:20:33	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	50	83¢	$41	0x9fcef7…
11-07 11:05:13	Will Jason or Lucia die in GTA VI?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x680c68…
11-07 08:52:45	Will Amy Hunt win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9e5f79…
11-07 05:06:09	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	SELL	46	8¢	$4	0x02f2ca…
11-07 02:21:58	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$41	0xf0a1d4…
11-07 02:11:24	Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x37e596…
11-07 01:56:06	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x00f4d1…
11-07 01:43:33	KOSPI all-time high before 2028?	Yes	SELL	100	23¢	$23	0x4daf43…
11-07 00:58:57	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x4ffc71…
11-06 23:27:57	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	65	17¢	$11	0x46d507…
11-06 22:53:19	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x98c091…
11-06 22:52:49	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	SELL	30	80¢	$24	0xa19750…
11-06 22:43:58	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x85dc43…
11-06 22:04:06	Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xc364d1…
11-06 21:31:22	Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0x1af36e…
11-06 20:01:21	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x95e85f…
11-06 19:49:09	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	SELL	52	6¢	$3	0xfdc904…
11-06 12:10:24	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xad225f…
11-06 06:24:13	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xf5dbcf…
11-06 05:10:00	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x28c7dd…
11-06 05:06:07	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9e3822…
11-06 05:06:07	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x017a72…
11-06 04:41:07	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	SELL	25	10¢	$3	0xd7f0ca…
11-06 03:30:04	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x2bbaaa…
11-06 01:43:30	KOSPI all-time high before 2028?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xc81860…
11-06 00:25:00	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	65	17¢	$11	0x4af308…
11-06 00:03:24	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xdaf233…
11-05 20:45:36	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0xe63ab3…
11-05 20:29:57	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0xf68c41…
11-05 20:29:57	Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	22¢	$6	0x502a5b…
11-05 20:01:19	AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x75ce60…
11-05 19:49:08	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x1ff595…
11-05 18:58:31	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	49	20¢	$10	0x0b6f38…
11-05 18:37:54	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xd45e56…
11-05 18:37:49	Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x726240…
11-05 16:08:36	Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x05b427…
11-05 14:55:10	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x8a4a88…
11-05 14:55:07	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x3e9e58…
11-05 13:01:22	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x855f1a…
11-05 12:21:21	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	82	9¢	$8	0x530e3c…
11-05 11:59:25	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x6e5478…
11-05 11:59:21	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x24ea55…
11-05 08:15:00	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x14c76a…
11-05 04:41:06	Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?	No	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0xab4c1c…
11-04 20:45:39	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xf0f063…
11-04 20:45:39	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xa936c0…
11-04 20:45:39	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x9931f2…
11-04 20:45:39	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x584540…
11-04 20:45:39	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x002a62…
11-04 20:45:36	Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x77fe88…
11-04 19:42:55	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x9b83f6…
11-04 19:23:16	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	200	13¢	$26	0xfb4b9a…
11-04 19:19:07	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x0ea980…
11-04 17:23:28	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	80	10¢	$8	0xe03f0e…
11-04 17:16:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x626431…
11-04 16:55:10	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	78¢	$22	0x689cda…
11-04 16:55:06	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0xcb9a6c…
11-04 16:55:03	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x2b66d0…
11-04 16:53:13	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x789407…
11-04 16:08:36	Ilhan Omar denaturalization case filed by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xaf5d2c…
11-04 08:11:18	Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xaa7f75…
11-04 05:48:06	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $100M and $125M by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x046f17…
11-04 01:37:43	Will Kylian Mbappé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xaad9a7…
11-04 01:36:16	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xe0148e…
11-03 23:54:09	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x07b761…
11-03 23:17:12	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xfd4ffd…
11-03 17:42:19	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x623539…
11-03 17:42:16	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x31659d…
11-03 16:35:24	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0xb2d052…
11-03 14:11:48	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0x73a32a…
11-03 13:43:49	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x358366…
11-03 13:43:09	Will the peak RONI for the 2026–27 El Niño be at least 2.25 but below 2.5?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc66deb…
11-03 13:28:12	Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xe32690…
11-03 08:05:54	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x43da52…
11-03 06:25:16	Will kiNgg play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1b248d…
11-03 03:18:37	Will Nate Sheppard be the 2026 D1 Rushing Yards Leader?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x8f6be5…
11-03 00:05:39	Will Rayan Cherki (Man City) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xae20fa…
11-02 13:17:43	Will Thom Tillis vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xdb00b3…
11-02 08:00:27	Will Chovy win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x71e336…
11-02 06:25:15	Will kiNgg play for G2 Esports in 2027?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x567adb…
11-02 02:00:39	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xd21f2d…
11-02 00:05:39	Will Rayan Cherki (Man City) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xab79fa…
11-01 23:36:10	Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x20b5a9…
11-01 22:18:39	Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x1062c0…
10-31 23:55:43	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0xe47108…
10-31 23:29:15	Will HLE be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x813ef0…
10-31 19:37:12	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x5f8f35…
10-31 07:32:36	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	12¢	$0	0xc9fecc…
10-31 07:32:36	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	60	12¢	$7	0x0f0bb0…
10-31 07:32:19	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	55	12¢	$6	0xe16c46…
10-31 07:32:19	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 2.75-3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xa796d5…
10-31 05:26:09	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x782ccd…
10-31 05:23:33	Will Nassourdine Imamov fight Sean Strickland next?	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xad0ad7…
10-31 04:15:07	Will Alfajer play for Gentle Mates in 2027?	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x407978…
10-30 21:47:18	Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	No	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0x416d36…