Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$18
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
2,797
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$186
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-11 12:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
47%
Politics
31% 75% +$2
Crypto
21%
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President by June 30? No +81 $80 99¢ $80 +$0 06-04 05:33
Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? No +21 $21 99¢ $21 +$0 06-06 11:46
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +580 $40 $20 $-20 06-04 05:55
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -15 $-15 97¢ $-15 +$0 06-07 03:51
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +11 $11 99¢ $11 +$0 06-08 08:11
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-02 19:57
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 $-0 06-06 08:18
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $4 $-0 06-07 05:53
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 06-09 06:58
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -20 $-5 16¢ $-3 +$2 06-07 19:50
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 06-07 15:28
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 $-0 06-07 12:42
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +5 $2 34¢ $2 $-0 06-10 22:17
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-06 12:46
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-08 06:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-07 06:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-2 84¢ $-1 +$1 06-06 21:52
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-04 06:32
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 $-0 06-10 20:23
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +9 $1 $0 $-0 06-11 12:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-11 06:07