Realized P&L (7d)
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved (7d)
14
Trades (7d)
99
4,589 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$119
$16.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$82
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 11-12 12:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 149 days
Categories
Other
45% 63% +$40
Politics
35% 57% +$3
Crypto
17% 84% -$91
Sports
3% 62% -$43
Tech
1% 80% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +33 $2 57¢ $19 +$17 09-17 01:24
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? Yes +15 $7 100¢ $15 +$9 11-12 12:24
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? No +10 $8 68¢ $7 -$1 11-08 11:23
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-12 12:05
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-04 07:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$1 11-01 07:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-12 09:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +4 $3 97¢ $4 +$0 11-10 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? No +35 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 11-10 08:23
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +3 $3 98¢ $3 +$0 06-07 12:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +26 $4 10¢ $2 -$2 11-12 12:15
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +13 $4 16¢ $2 -$2 11-11 17:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +58 $6 4¢ $2 -$4 11-10 01:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 8? Yes +6 $1 32¢ $2 +$1 11-08 10:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +29 $1 3¢ $1 $0 11-10 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 20? No +17 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 11-12 12:26
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +7 $1 12¢ $1 $0 11-10 19:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 11-09 14:49
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +15 $4 1¢ $0 -$4 11-04 07:42