Careless-Structure — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

294 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$60

$3.57K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-03 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-14 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 05:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-11 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-09 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 01:33
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-07 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 15:21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-06 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 05:52
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:31
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 15:33
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:46
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:54
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 25corhigher	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:06
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 16:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd8fb33…
11-01 17:11:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4171d2…
10-31 15:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf7b0a4…
10-30 14:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6f1507…
10-29 17:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x75a70b…
10-29 09:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb5ba07…
10-28 07:53:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbb8dbd…
10-27 09:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xadef3c…
10-26 09:31:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeab504…
10-24 11:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x93cdb1…
10-22 10:26:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf4aaf0…
10-20 07:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4423c…
10-19 09:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x020866…
10-18 10:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7972b1…
10-17 15:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x129b31…
10-16 10:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xd8fb37…
10-15 09:38:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9fb68…
10-14 09:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaade03…
10-13 09:23:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe74103…
10-12 09:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc91d38…
10-11 09:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc6dd8f…
10-08 12:27:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaa3a0…
10-07 15:28:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a828b…
10-06 15:03:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32eaa3…
10-05 06:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50863d…
10-03 08:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfaea06…
10-02 13:13:23	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6ee3…
10-01 08:31:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce49d2…
09-30 02:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bcd42…
09-28 09:57:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d17e7…
09-27 08:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63b704…
09-25 16:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4df570…
09-24 08:42:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1cd85…
09-23 08:33:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd563db…
09-22 08:33:52	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9455e…
09-21 09:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781f0c…
09-20 05:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff36df…
09-19 08:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42534a…
09-18 07:42:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x061209…
09-17 04:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49c50a…
09-16 08:54:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715e7a…
09-15 10:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x19aa4f…
09-14 09:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefc77d…
09-13 02:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7304f…
09-11 07:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf9b31…
09-10 08:40:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40b221…
09-09 12:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x9da8af…
09-08 15:48:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa3352…
09-08 06:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcd527…
09-07 08:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea0139…
09-06 16:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x019a52…
09-06 10:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x523083…
09-05 01:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x84522b…
09-03 17:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fdbfb…
09-02 07:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2cd4a…
08-30 09:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x079785…
08-29 09:42:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6b761…
08-28 08:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x175728…
08-27 09:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7072ac…
08-26 08:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ac416…
08-25 09:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6b990…
08-24 14:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa461fd…
08-23 15:05:01	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a40b4…
08-22 09:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ce572…
08-21 07:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xea8b92…
08-20 09:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9c5f…
08-18 08:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa40eac…
08-17 08:19:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a8b64…
08-16 14:22:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ed79d…
08-15 10:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86d6a6…
08-14 06:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x317265…
08-13 08:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x372595…
08-12 08:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb6e06…
08-11 07:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x312b11…
08-10 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacfc09…
08-09 06:14:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39b1be…
08-08 07:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29ef49…
08-07 07:51:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27e83f…
08-06 06:50:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2768c6…
08-05 08:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7bd08…
08-04 08:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03f697…
08-03 07:43:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9c196…
08-02 06:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52d8f6…
08-01 07:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x129318…
07-31 13:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfea3b…
07-30 07:03:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3da2e5…
07-29 07:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4ed6b…
07-28 07:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc809b1…
07-27 08:45:31	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5c1a4…
07-26 07:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb955f…
07-25 08:20:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3d2ad…
07-24 13:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb28905…
07-23 08:17:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x580fb8…
07-22 02:09:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf49a2…
07-21 09:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f4249…
07-21 00:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ecc09…
07-20 08:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8723da…
07-18 23:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x59a402…
07-18 00:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x998c8e…
07-17 07:25:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3df3ec…