Realized P&L
+$2.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$106
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
24,048
Trades
49,820
lifetime
Volume
$1.13M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$14.4K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 11:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 169 days
Categories
Crypto
95% 52% -$4,326
Other
4% 49% +$7,531
Politics
1% 71% -$158
Tech
0% 12% -$144
Sports
0% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +16,670 $12,952 78¢ $13.1K +$134 10-28 11:19
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +350 $242 66¢ $233 -$9 10-28 11:18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +700 $199 30¢ $214 +$14 10-22 18:10
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -200 -$187 97¢ $-193 -$6 06-14 21:52
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -200 -$174 96¢ $-192 -$18 06-14 21:52
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -200 -$180 93¢ $-186 -$6 06-14 21:52
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -180 -$149 97¢ $-175 -$26 06-14 21:52
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -296 -$61 15¢ $-44 +$16 06-14 21:49
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -42 -$35 88¢ $-36 -$1 06-18 21:39
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -94 -$28 16¢ $-15 +$13 05-14 13:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +30 $15 26¢ $8 -$7 10-20 22:23
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 05-14 14:24