Realized P&L (7d)
+$7
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
56.9%
Resolved (7d)
7
Trades (7d)
61
49,920 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$963
$1.15M lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$821
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-13 12:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 52% -$4,310
Other
5% 49% +$7,531
Politics
2% 72% +$20
Tech
0% 12% -$144
Sports
0% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -200 -$187 98¢ $-195 -$8 06-14 21:52
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -200 -$174 97¢ $-195 -$21 06-14 21:52
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -200 -$180 96¢ $-191 -$12 06-14 21:52
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No -180 -$149 98¢ $-177 -$28 06-14 21:52
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -42 -$35 97¢ $-40 -$5 06-18 21:39
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes -94 -$28 13¢ $-12 +$16 05-14 13:46
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -296 -$61 3¢ $-8 +$52 06-14 21:49
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 10-30 10:45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -1 -$5 64¢ $-1 +$4 11-12 11:33
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +0 $0 90¢ $0 +$0 11-12 13:20