Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
96
lifetime
Volume
$715
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$385
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 07-19 19:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Tech
24%
Crypto
9%
Politics
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +350 $334 97¢ $340 +$6 06-29 17:08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +15 $13 94¢ $15 +$1 06-12 14:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$1 06-10 04:47
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$0 06-10 04:45
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 $-0 07-15 19:12
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -30 $-3 $-2 +$0 07-10 08:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 $-0 07-10 13:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -30 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-21 10:15