Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
63
lifetime
Volume
$233
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$62
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-13 03:14
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Crypto
28%
Tech
20%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +21 $19 94¢ $20 +$0 06-10 14:15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +15 $13 90¢ $14 +$1 06-12 14:40
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-10 04:47
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $8 81¢ $8 $-0 06-10 04:45
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +5 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 06-10 04:47
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-05 05:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +8 $2 15¢ $1 $-1 06-12 10:44
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -2 $-1 30¢ $-1 +$0 06-04 16:27