Arid-Downfall 0x2bdcb2…b3e1dc
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
94
lifetime
Volume
$33.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$357
Open exposure
$2.05K
9 positions
First seen
2026-03-02
last 06-08 23:40
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
77% — —
Other
16% — —
Crypto
6% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes +5,049 $1,000 20¢ $984 $-16 06-08 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +220 $180 90¢ $199 +$19 06-08 20:24
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +263 $200 74¢ $196 $-4 06-08 20:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -256 $-163 60¢ $-155 +$8 06-07 19:17
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30? No -138 $-123 92¢ $-126 $-3 06-07 19:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -125 $-109 88¢ $-109 $-1 06-07 19:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -122 $-101 82¢ $-101 +$1 06-07 19:18
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -155 $-98 64¢ $-99 $-1 06-07 19:12
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -101 $-79 80¢ $-82 $-3 06-07 19:11