Realized P&L
-$4.53K
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
1,924
Trades
8,061
lifetime
Volume
$236.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.85K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-27 10:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 153 days
Categories
Other
82% 73% -$3,048
Crypto
12% 46% -$789
Sports
4% 71% -$479
Politics
2% 82% -$211
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +137 $118 88¢ $120 +$2 10-07 08:15
Ramp IPO before 2027? No +119 $116 98¢ $116 $0 09-29 15:05
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +181 $98 61¢ $110 +$13 10-04 22:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +121 $106 86¢ $104 -$2 10-05 19:08
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +104 $102 97¢ $101 $0 09-29 15:05
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +106 $105 96¢ $101 -$3 10-01 00:24
Kings vs. Spurs Spurs +110 $94 92¢ $101 +$7 10-26 01:48
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +100 $99 97¢ $97 -$2 10-01 00:46
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +109 $96 88¢ $96 $0 10-05 19:08
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +99 $98 96¢ $95 -$3 09-29 15:05
Nets vs. Celtics Celtics +115 $97 82¢ $94 -$3 10-27 03:49
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +89 $87 96¢ $86 -$1 10-01 00:36
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +87 $85 98¢ $86 +$1 09-29 15:05
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +86 $85 97¢ $84 -$2 09-29 14:50
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +89 $87 91¢ $82 -$6 10-01 00:21
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No +82 $81 98¢ $80 $0 09-29 15:05
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No +81 $80 96¢ $78 -$3 09-29 14:50
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +70 $64 96¢ $68 +$3 10-26 11:20
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +22 $20 90¢ $19 -$1 10-07 19:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +17 $12 96¢ $16 +$5 09-02 16:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15 $10 94¢ $14 +$4 09-22 18:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +14 $13 95¢ $13 +$0 09-02 17:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $11 84¢ $12 +$1 08-21 17:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +12 $11 99¢ $12 +$1 09-02 16:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +25 $12 47¢ $12 +$0 08-21 17:08
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +13 $12 90¢ $12 $0 09-02 16:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +12 $9 94¢ $11 +$2 08-21 17:09
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$2 09-21 08:42
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 08-21 17:08
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +12 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 09-02 16:51