Realized P&L (7d)
+$281
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
75.8%
Resolved (7d)
86
Trades (7d)
190
8,108 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.75K
$238.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.63K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-30 10:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 156 days
Categories
Other
81% 74% -$3,064
Crypto
11% 45% -$814
Sports
5% 72% -$370
Politics
2% 81% -$276
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ramp IPO before 2027? No +119 $116 98¢ $116 $0 09-29 15:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +137 $118 82¢ $113 -$5 10-07 08:15
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +121 $106 86¢ $104 -$2 10-05 19:08
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +106 $105 96¢ $101 -$3 10-01 00:24
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +104 $102 97¢ $101 $0 09-29 15:05
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +109 $96 90¢ $99 +$2 10-05 19:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +181 $98 54¢ $97 -$1 10-04 22:31
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +100 $99 97¢ $96 -$2 10-01 00:46
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +99 $98 93¢ $92 -$6 09-29 15:05
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +89 $87 96¢ $86 -$1 10-01 00:36
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +87 $85 98¢ $86 +$1 09-29 15:05
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +86 $85 97¢ $83 -$2 09-29 14:50
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +89 $87 92¢ $82 -$6 10-01 00:21
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No +82 $81 98¢ $80 $0 09-29 15:05
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No +81 $80 95¢ $78 -$3 09-29 14:50
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +42 $36 100¢ $42 +$6 10-29 13:03
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-07 19:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +17 $12 100¢ $17 +$5 09-02 16:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15 $10 93¢ $14 +$4 09-22 18:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 09-02 17:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 08-21 17:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +12 $11 99¢ $12 +$1 09-02 16:47
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +25 $12 48¢ $12 +$0 08-21 17:08
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +12 $10 99¢ $12 +$2 09-21 08:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +12 $9 96¢ $12 +$3 08-21 17:09
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +12 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 09-02 16:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +13 $12 90¢ $11 $0 09-02 16:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by october 31 2026 No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$1 08-21 17:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$0 09-02 16:51
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +11 $8 97¢ $10 +$2 09-02 16:48