Realized P&L (90d)
-$536
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved (90d)
1,636
Trades (90d)
6,766
8,214 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$157.4K
$240.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 11-03 04:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
81% 73% -$3,127
Crypto
12% 46% -$884
Sports
5% 72% -$442
Politics
2% 82% -$266
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +137 $118 91¢ $125 +$7 10-07 08:15
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +181 $98 69¢ $125 +$27 10-04 22:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in November? No +128 $122 95¢ $122 +$0 11-03 00:15
Ramp IPO before 2027? No +119 $116 97¢ $116 $0 09-29 15:05
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +121 $106 89¢ $107 +$1 10-05 19:08
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +106 $105 96¢ $101 -$3 10-01 00:24
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +104 $102 97¢ $101 $0 09-29 15:05
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +109 $96 89¢ $97 +$1 10-05 19:08
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +100 $99 97¢ $96 -$2 10-01 00:46
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +99 $98 95¢ $94 -$3 09-29 15:05
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +89 $87 96¢ $86 -$2 10-01 00:36
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +87 $85 98¢ $86 +$1 09-29 15:05
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +86 $85 97¢ $84 -$2 09-29 14:50
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +89 $87 92¢ $82 -$5 10-01 00:21
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No +82 $81 98¢ $80 $0 09-29 15:05
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No +81 $80 74¢ $60 -$20 09-29 14:50
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-07 19:35
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +14 $13 96¢ $13 +$0 09-02 17:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $11 84¢ $12 +$1 08-21 17:09
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +12 $10 96¢ $12 +$2 09-02 16:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 $0 09-02 16:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +25 $12 47¢ $12 +$0 08-21 17:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15 $10 76¢ $11 +$1 09-22 18:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 90¢ $11 +$1 09-02 16:51
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +11 $8 99¢ $11 +$2 09-02 16:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$1 09-02 17:04
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-02 16:02
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 10-02 16:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 08-21 17:14
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? No +9 $9 95¢ $9 +$0 09-02 16:51