Realized P&L (90d)
-$418
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
62.6%
Resolved (90d)
1,614
Trades (90d)
6,752
8,166 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$157.0K
$239.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$1.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 11-01 02:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Other
81% 73% -$3,081
Crypto
11% 46% -$877
Sports
5% 72% -$360
Politics
2% 81% -$275
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 441 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ramp IPO before 2027? No +119 $116 97¢ $116 $0 09-29 15:05
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +137 $118 82¢ $113 -$5 10-07 08:15
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? No +121 $106 90¢ $109 +$3 10-05 19:08
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? No +104 $102 97¢ $101 $0 09-29 15:05
Ledger IPO before 2027? No +106 $105 96¢ $101 -$3 10-01 00:24
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +109 $96 90¢ $99 +$2 10-05 19:08
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +181 $98 54¢ $97 -$1 10-04 22:31
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No +100 $99 97¢ $96 -$2 10-01 00:46
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +99 $98 95¢ $94 -$3 09-29 15:05
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? No +89 $87 96¢ $86 -$1 10-01 00:36
Anduril IPO before 2027? No +87 $85 98¢ $86 +$1 09-29 15:05
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? No +86 $85 97¢ $84 -$2 09-29 14:50
Celonis IPO before 2027? No +89 $87 91¢ $81 -$6 10-01 00:21
Epic Games IPO before 2027? No +82 $81 98¢ $80 $0 09-29 15:05
Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? No +81 $80 95¢ $78 -$3 09-29 14:50
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $20 +$0 10-07 19:35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +17 $12 99¢ $17 +$5 09-02 16:49
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +15 $10 99¢ $15 +$4 09-22 18:25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +14 $13 94¢ $13 +$0 09-02 17:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +14 $11 86¢ $12 +$1 08-21 17:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +12 $9 100¢ $12 +$3 08-21 17:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +12 $11 100¢ $12 +$1 09-02 16:47
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +12 $10 100¢ $12 +$2 09-21 08:42
russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by june 30 2027 No +25 $12 48¢ $12 +$0 08-21 17:08
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? No +13 $12 92¢ $12 $0 09-02 16:50
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? No +12 $10 94¢ $12 +$2 09-02 16:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$0 09-02 16:51
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? No +11 $8 96¢ $10 +$2 09-02 16:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $10 +$1 09-02 17:04
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 10-02 16:02