Questionable-Parent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

9.1%

Resolved

Trades

162

lifetime

Volume

$1.65K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-16

last 06-08 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

46% 50% +$3

Other

36% 33% +$14

Crypto

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+20	$10	36¢	$7	$-3	06-03 18:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$276	172	172	+0	open	—	05-26 16:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$203	238	238	+0	open	—	05-01 07:12
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	13	$106	1,626	796	+830	Yes	$-4	05-02 12:01
another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	5	$97	70	70	+0	open	—	04-29 12:48
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$96	70	70	+0	open	—	04-24 05:29
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	2	$61	48	48	+0	open	—	04-25 18:17
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$57	38	38	+0	open	—	04-27 09:38
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$54	36	36	+0	open	—	04-25 18:15
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	4	$53	190	190	+0	open	—	04-30 14:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	2	$52	38	38	+0	open	—	04-25 17:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$50	32	32	+0	open	—	04-23 08:16
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$49	36	36	+0	open	—	04-25 16:01
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$49	114	97	+17	open	—	04-19 17:47
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	3	$36	33	32	+1	open	—	04-29 22:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	2	$34	26	26	+0	open	—	04-21 13:44
Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$28	51	26	+26	open	—	05-13 21:08
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	5	$21	142	142	+0	open	—	05-08 20:35
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$20	64	0	+64	open	—	05-09 19:14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-16 21:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$19	71	67	+4	open	—	04-16 21:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$18	15	14	+0	open	—	04-29 14:19
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	2	$16	81	40	+40	open	—	05-15 21:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 18:40
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	+$7	04-25 18:19
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box Office	1	$10	32	0	+32	Michael	$-10	04-25 09:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$10	66	63	+2	open	—	04-29 17:44
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	2	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 19:24
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$9	17	17	+0	open	—	05-15 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	2	$7	64	62	+2	open	—	04-25 21:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$7	50	50	+0	open	—	05-10 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 20:32:46	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x271b3b…
06-03 18:42:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x96f762…
06-03 18:42:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x18b926…
06-03 18:42:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9ce2c4…
06-03 18:41:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x8234a9…
06-03 18:40:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0b902b…
05-27 20:33:07	Will Donald Trump dance on May 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6c09a3…
05-27 20:33:00	Will Donald Trump dance on May 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdd68b7…
05-27 20:32:20	Will Donald Trump dance on May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x4ac74d…
05-26 16:32:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	172	97¢	$166	0x06a9f3…
05-24 08:32:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf3df28…
05-23 19:06:09	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x91c83b…
05-23 18:40:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x124a4c…
05-23 18:37:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x01b191…
05-22 18:02:33	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x9f1e04…
05-22 17:57:57	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x286b19…
05-19 09:12:08	Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5b30bb…
05-18 20:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb5596d…
05-18 19:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x102928…
05-18 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe812d8…
05-16 22:54:06	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xf3688a…
05-16 22:53:59	Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xa3e6be…
05-16 21:57:15	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x14fd24…
05-16 18:01:12	Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd906b7…
05-15 21:30:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x5adf8b…
05-15 21:26:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	SELL	40	31¢	$13	0xf67b8c…
05-15 20:31:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x906eec…
05-15 20:30:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x74b267…
05-14 19:24:28	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xac9c49…
05-14 19:23:16	Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8b1f5d…
05-14 16:33:40	Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9d9798…
05-14 09:26:59	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x38c7ac…
05-13 21:08:24	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	26	33¢	$8	0x8b6d66…
05-13 17:27:49	Will Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x57fc55…
05-13 14:54:45	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x9ec5ce…
05-10 19:02:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0xdfbfb1…
05-09 19:14:30	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x5a21ed…
05-09 08:01:15	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	No	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0x46b3f0…
05-09 07:59:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1a9828…
05-08 20:35:20	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	SELL	142	1¢	$1	0x21bd16…
05-07 19:31:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd9681d…
05-05 20:18:14	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7841b2…
05-05 19:37:24	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x135a97…
05-05 19:01:36	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2e50e7…
05-05 18:58:52	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5daf4e…
05-03 19:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfa77e3…
05-02 12:01:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x49c6f8…
05-02 07:55:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x46f704…
05-02 07:12:38	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0xf0f890…
05-01 20:07:58	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	771	4¢	$27	0x445362…
05-01 18:22:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x870f94…
05-01 18:13:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0xb58e24…
05-01 17:05:58	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0xb5f800…
05-01 15:22:52	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	244	4¢	$10	0xec7223…
05-01 13:14:42	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x9e5053…
05-01 13:13:58	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x0a129f…
05-01 08:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x43830b…
05-01 07:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc1cd6c…
05-01 07:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	238	43¢	$103	0xd9e18b…
05-01 07:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x983c7a…
05-01 05:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x02bf54…
05-01 05:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xebbfee…
04-30 19:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf1f885…
04-30 14:29:44	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	SELL	190	2¢	$3	0x065004…
04-29 22:40:28	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0xfc4d68…
04-29 20:08:36	Will Trump say "Moon" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xad5dd0…
04-29 20:08:22	Will Trump say "NASA" 5+ times during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	32	6¢	$2	0x4937d6…
04-29 17:44:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	48	8¢	$4	0x772130…
04-29 17:40:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x3fef43…
04-29 17:37:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	Yes	SELL	437	0¢	$0	0x76c0e9…
04-29 16:41:04	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x548476…
04-29 14:19:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5c74d4…
04-29 13:56:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$0	0x25b1f6…
04-29 13:49:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd50f79…
04-29 12:48:22	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x2b6eaf…
04-29 08:57:44	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8c83ff…
04-29 08:49:26	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc0821d…
04-29 08:23:06	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x118178…
04-29 08:10:12	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x41aeef…
04-28 20:22:42	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x7ee3c1…
04-28 12:53:38	Will Trump say "Free World" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x187ac7…
04-27 15:57:38	Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x1ae733…
04-27 15:31:28	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x66e32b…
04-27 10:00:28	Will "Michael" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0xf5a1cb…
04-27 09:38:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0xd94efc…
04-27 07:05:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x891b5a…
04-27 06:03:20	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x1edfef…
04-26 18:36:28	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x124f64…
04-25 21:10:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	SELL	62	3¢	$2	0xacd96d…
04-25 19:50:06	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf47c3f…
04-25 19:47:06	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x651498…
04-25 18:44:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x5d21d7…
04-25 18:44:18	Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc803c7…
04-25 18:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5406eb…
04-25 18:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5909a4…
04-25 18:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x438c1c…
04-25 18:21:42	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by April 30?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x89adb8…
04-25 18:19:40	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x604e86…
04-25 18:17:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0x00dbe0…
04-25 18:15:58	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	SELL	36	97¢	$34	0x64ef98…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	61	$6.70M	13,504	06-10 04:37
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	55	$370.6K	7,938	06-10 02:34
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	54	$174.7K	12,882	06-10 00:19
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	54	$61.3K	1,309	06-09 10:58
Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf	52	$6.73K	425	06-08 01:39
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	51	$40.1K	4,281	06-07 19:56
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	46	$158.7K	10,838	06-01 01:54
Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e	42	$301.8K	5,482	06-09 23:53