Fancy-Scenario — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$94

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

197

Trades

410

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-29 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 49% -$64

Other

6% 8% -$30

Sports

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	12	$60	47	47	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	8	$38	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	05-01 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	11	$28	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-01 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	11	$21	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	4	$21	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-01 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$20	11	11	+0	Up	$0	05-01 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$16	38	31	+7	Up	-$4	05-01 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$15	17	9	+8	Down	-$5	05-01 14:17
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 2, 2PM ET	3	$15	19	10	+10	Down	+$4	04-30 18:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	05-26 16:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	5	$15	19	7	+12	Down	$0	05-05 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	6	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	5	$13	8	7	+1	Up	+$0	05-01 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$13	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$13	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?	2	$12	8	8	+0	No	+$2	05-14 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-01 14:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?	2	$12	17	17	+0	No	+$2	05-21 05:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?	2	$11	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	05-21 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-01 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	10	$10	10	7	+3	Up	$0	05-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$10	36	29	+6	Up	+$0	05-19 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	-$10	05-23 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$10	16	0	+16	Down	-$10	05-17 12:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-01 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$9	8	2	+5	Up	+$0	05-01 15:29
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$9	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	05-01 14:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 4?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$6	05-04 16:54
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	-$2	05-13 12:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?	3	$7	7	7	+0	Down	-$5	05-01 13:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 08:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9297d9…
05-29 06:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x52cf19…
05-28 16:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x2dff13…
05-28 14:57:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3522d4…
05-27 13:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xccc133…
05-27 11:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4e1004…
05-27 06:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcd6e14…
05-27 06:19:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x892b69…
05-26 17:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3f362b…
05-26 17:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x46e070…
05-26 16:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x80d374…
05-26 16:10:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd3363d…
05-26 15:56:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2b9e96…
05-26 12:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe89f03…
05-26 05:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xefd618…
05-25 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xeedb2a…
05-25 07:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x41076f…
05-25 06:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcdf690…
05-25 05:58:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x533a68…
05-23 15:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xa06737…
05-23 12:00:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa75217…
05-22 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe3a25a…
05-22 10:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x826cd1…
05-22 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x06e191…
05-22 06:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2be488…
05-22 06:27:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0bed1d…
05-22 06:27:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xb8ea93…
05-21 07:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x2bebae…
05-21 05:51:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xc709b8…
05-21 05:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4bd1e4…
05-21 05:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0xe6e98d…
05-21 05:49:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x1d6552…
05-20 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x01bf17…
05-20 09:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0045b9…
05-20 07:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xebdc04…
05-20 05:33:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x300ab6…
05-20 05:33:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x99330b…
05-20 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xd98df2…
05-19 14:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf9797f…
05-19 12:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x18de64…
05-19 09:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x88f743…
05-19 09:27:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x456f69…
05-19 04:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x619b24…
05-19 04:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2aaa55…
05-18 16:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa5a779…
05-18 12:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2bb679…
05-18 08:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe620b5…
05-17 13:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x7c04f4…
05-17 12:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0d717f…
05-17 12:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x4011af…
05-16 17:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x0e0893…
05-16 12:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xcd93dd…
05-15 18:01:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd184cb…
05-15 18:01:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2d7804…
05-15 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb9e67b…
05-15 13:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4e8a37…
05-15 06:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6a1e45…
05-14 18:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe094d5…
05-14 17:00:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf36aa3…
05-14 17:00:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8cccc1…
05-14 16:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9a1851…
05-14 13:14:26	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xa438f5…
05-14 10:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x355814…
05-14 08:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc99566…
05-14 05:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x589750…
05-13 17:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x94582d…
05-13 13:53:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x50823f…
05-13 12:11:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4aa265…
05-13 12:09:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x6d34bc…
05-13 10:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe25b6c…
05-12 17:57:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x84d9ec…
05-12 17:56:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4de31e…
05-12 17:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2986db…
05-12 12:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbb7a05…
05-11 07:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x7b7a8b…
05-11 06:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xee647c…
05-11 06:14:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x2864d4…
05-11 06:13:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x99fbc3…
05-11 05:58:29	Will Donald Trump's tie be blue on May 9, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x035ce2…
05-08 17:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbc322e…
05-08 16:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x083a0e…
05-08 16:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7b13da…
05-08 16:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf1630a…
05-08 16:33:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x434f1d…
05-08 16:32:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x23bc7d…
05-08 16:20:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x0ca50c…
05-07 19:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x911a32…
05-07 18:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1d8d6a…
05-07 15:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x87caf4…
05-07 11:42:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x865b86…
05-07 11:41:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x03d6e2…
05-06 19:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x79a45c…
05-06 18:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5d1518…
05-06 18:18:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x381144…
05-06 18:17:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x415e51…
05-06 18:16:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x453e82…
05-06 18:10:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc6e3fa…
05-06 18:10:42	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x99b60f…
05-06 13:02:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf50d72…
05-06 12:44:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf4e526…