Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 8?
open
Total volume
$516
$1,546 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$4,907
Latest YES mid
88¢
Latest NO mid
12¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 13:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+15.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $261
vs crowd: 84% YES on $362)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $261 | $16 | +$244 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $45 | $41 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $261 | — | +$261 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $16 | $16 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $37 | $37 |
| Median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $9 | — | +$9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $8 | $1 | +$7 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $26 | — | +$26 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | $1 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | +326 | $261 | $261 | 6 | 05-08 13:14 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +111 | $27 | $27 | 4 | 05-08 07:49 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +46 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 07:33 |
| Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | +40 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 05-08 07:38 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +30 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-08 07:45 |
| Untimely-Sympathy 0x987f…b37d | Yes | +17 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-07 04:08 |
| Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-08 13:14 |
| Overlooked-Toot 0x242e…5bb4 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-08 05:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 20:16 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:54 |
| Supportive-Watch 0x8aea…4b5e | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:47 |
| Intent-Stuff 0xc1ed…e634 | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:59 |
| Intent-Stuff 0xc1ed…e634 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 13:54:44 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 7 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x30e393… |
| 05-08 13:14:50 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xafc572… |
| 05-08 13:14:49 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 88¢ | $70 | 0x69b043… |
| 05-08 13:09:37 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 83¢ | $21 | 0x89d2ee… |
| 05-08 12:59:28 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 157 | 78¢ | $122 | 0x085fa7… |
| 05-08 09:45:57 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 72¢ | $18 | 0x7b16b8… |
| 05-08 09:40:05 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 68¢ | $14 | 0x2545b4… |
| 05-08 09:39:44 | (anonymous) 0xe502…fba0 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 67¢ | $45 | 0x4f6418… |
| 05-08 08:59:59 | Intent-Stuff 0xc1ed…e634 | No | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x66f690… |
| 05-08 08:59:52 | Intent-Stuff 0xc1ed…e634 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 73¢ | $1 | 0x47fac8… |
| 05-08 08:00:15 | Frizzy-Street 0xd0f9…ed8a | Yes | SELL | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x1f27f6… |
| 05-08 07:49:43 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 51 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x61583a… |
| 05-08 07:45:22 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0x739dc1… |
| 05-08 07:44:04 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 25 | 26¢ | $7 | 0x5488ed… |
| 05-08 07:40:04 | Overlooked-Toot 0x242e…5bb4 | No | BUY | 10 | 23¢ | $2 | 0x9ce4c4… |
| 05-08 07:38:15 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x4a669c… |
| 05-08 07:35:08 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 12 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x55a6bf… |
| 05-08 07:33:41 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 46 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x45174c… |
| 05-08 07:32:31 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x8bd346… |
| 05-08 07:25:29 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 81¢ | $16 | 0x25bb70… |
| 05-08 05:57:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 28¢ | $3 | 0x424eb6… |
| 05-08 05:57:24 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 10 | 27¢ | $3 | 0x94900f… |
| 05-08 05:47:52 | Supportive-Watch 0x8aea…4b5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0xa60c42… |
| 05-08 04:33:03 | Flickering-Cousin 0x1643…6ec8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0xaa608c… |
| 05-08 04:33:01 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 71¢ | $18 | 0x90e8fd… |
| 05-08 04:24:56 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | SELL | 36 | 31¢ | $11 | 0x329b80… |
| 05-07 21:21:00 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 16 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xa31b06… |
| 05-07 21:02:15 | Unconscious-Collection 0x5f65…2a00 | No | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x9b319b… |
| 05-07 20:16:15 | (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x6048ac… |
| 05-07 14:46:45 | Haunting-Pump 0xc376…24dc | Yes | SELL | 3 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xf160b4… |
| 05-07 10:54:30 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x85ccd8… |
| 05-07 10:54:13 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | No | SELL | 144 | 63¢ | $91 | 0xbb4eaa… |
| 05-07 04:08:39 | Untimely-Sympathy 0x987f…b37d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xaf6bf0… |
| 05-06 08:40:02 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb1c238… |
| 05-06 03:29:24 | (anonymous) 0x50af…76f4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7479ca… |