Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 17?
open
Total volume
$1,418
$665 in 24h
Trades
145
Unique wallets
59
Liquidity
$16,258
Latest YES mid
64¢
Latest NO mid
36¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-17 05:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+37.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $24
vs crowd: 62% YES on $781)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $68 | $113 | $44 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $238 | $110 | +$128 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $179 | $73 | +$107 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $24 | — | +$24 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $56 | $54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $219 | $96 | +$123 |
| Median | 16 | $107 | $40 | +$66 |
| Below median | 11 | $10 | $12 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $3 | $12 | $9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $87 | $72 | +$15 |
| unranked | 12 | $31 | $7 | +$23 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | +132 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-16 15:26 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | No | +104 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 05-14 14:48 |
| Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | +93 | $44 | $44 | 4 | 05-16 18:52 |
| Apt-Pressurization 0xcce7…0f6a | Yes | +85 | $46 | $46 | 1 | 05-16 15:16 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +67 | $31 | $31 | 8 | 05-17 00:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x39fa…9869 | Yes | +43 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 23:55 |
| Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | Yes | +43 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-16 11:35 |
| Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | +43 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-16 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x9870…7d2a | Yes | +42 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-16 09:09 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +37 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-16 00:00 |
| Crafty-Experimentation-Archives 0x04aa…48cd | Yes | +26 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-16 16:12 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-15 13:39 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | Yes | +19 | $7 | $7 | 7 | 05-15 13:39 |
| Crazy-Potato 0x7689…8ffe | Yes | +16 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 19:24 |
| Capital-Anything 0xfae8…99d1 | Yes | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-16 19:53 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | +15 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-17 01:02 |
| Unrealistic-Situation 0x3b93…cf00 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 01:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xcf0a…6d4e | No | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 23:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +10 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-15 13:36 |
| Fancy-Scenario 0x2c80…219b | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 18:01 |
| Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | No | +8 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-16 06:31 |
| Faithful-Mousse 0x3c98…d2d1 | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 00:57 |
| Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | +7 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 01:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x1db3…5976 | Yes | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-16 17:16 |
| Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-16 14:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7854…16ea | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 01:48 |
| Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-17 00:57 |
| Jubilant-Polarization 0xb46f…74cc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:25 |
| Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 14:44 |
| Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 15:54 |
| Wrong-Balance 0xda04…34f2 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 23:14 |
| Several-Deviance 0xb07b…541d | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-16 15:46 |
| Elastic-Flour 0xec10…6eb9 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 12:11 |
| Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 14:36 |
| Worried-Boxer 0xde93…9e8c | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 14:36 |
| Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 17:34 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 13:31 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 13:32 |
| Past-Fugato 0x86aa…0212 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 23:38 |
| Thin-Rawhide 0x4221…7300 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 04:44 |
| Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-16 16:13 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-17 05:07 |
| Bubbly-Impudence 0x0fdb…14a6 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 19:06 |
| Thin-Workout 0xe293…d3ed | No | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:08 |
| Past-Fugato 0x86aa…0212 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-16 19:31 |
| Far-Flung-Laundry 0x096a…8519 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 18:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x61de…e310 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:56 |
| Close-Anime 0x18a1…c648 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 14:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x03d6…6e31 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 09:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-16 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x329d…ece6 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 13:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x1736…688c | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-17 05:12 |
| Best-Elver 0x39d4…f1f5 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 14:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 05:12:51 | (anonymous) 0x1736…688c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x5cef86… |
| 05-17 05:08:57 | Thin-Workout 0xe293…d3ed | No | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x194c6a… |
| 05-17 05:08:53 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | No | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x896bc7… |
| 05-17 05:08:53 | (anonymous) 0xf7c6…82b6 | No | SELL | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x775a28… |
| 05-17 05:07:50 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x124899… |
| 05-17 04:44:11 | Thin-Rawhide 0x4221…7300 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x1fde6f… |
| 05-17 04:08:53 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 54¢ | $3 | 0xd2990e… |
| 05-17 01:02:48 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | No | BUY | 15 | 58¢ | $9 | 0x8cd1ed… |
| 05-17 00:57:58 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 22 | 49¢ | $11 | 0x180a6d… |
| 05-17 00:57:58 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 1 | 49¢ | $0 | 0x673c45… |
| 05-17 00:57:56 | Faithful-Mousse 0x3c98…d2d1 | No | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0xaf6604… |
| 05-16 23:38:10 | Past-Fugato 0x86aa…0212 | No | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xf87916… |
| 05-16 23:27:29 | (anonymous) 0xcf0a…6d4e | No | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x2278a7… |
| 05-16 23:17:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x6cdbc2… |
| 05-16 19:53:02 | Capital-Anything 0xfae8…99d1 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 63¢ | $10 | 0x23c40f… |
| 05-16 19:47:06 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xcd987a… |
| 05-16 19:31:53 | Past-Fugato 0x86aa…0212 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x94461e… |
| 05-16 19:07:37 | (anonymous) 0xde1d…af36 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0x9e4501… |
| 05-16 19:06:50 | Bubbly-Impudence 0x0fdb…14a6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 60¢ | $2 | 0xbdd7a1… |
| 05-16 18:52:18 | (anonymous) 0x3d45…25a3 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x74f883… |
| 05-16 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x6918…7816 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 59¢ | $0 | 0x7f5381… |
| 05-16 18:52:16 | (anonymous) 0x9b87…dfc7 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 59¢ | $0 | 0x95354d… |
| 05-16 18:52:15 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 38 | 59¢ | $22 | 0xfce319… |
| 05-16 18:01:28 | Primary-Waste 0xc6d4…f8ec | Yes | SELL | 3 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x43a493… |
| 05-16 17:16:56 | (anonymous) 0x1db3…5976 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x5e94bd… |
| 05-16 16:13:01 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0x21fdf6… |
| 05-16 16:12:56 | Crafty-Experimentation-Archives 0x04aa…48cd | Yes | BUY | 26 | 57¢ | $15 | 0x91c731… |
| 05-16 15:46:17 | Several-Deviance 0xb07b…541d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x026676… |
| 05-16 15:26:35 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | No | BUY | 132 | 46¢ | $61 | 0x001edb… |
| 05-16 15:16:16 | Apt-Pressurization 0xcce7…0f6a | Yes | BUY | 85 | 54¢ | $46 | 0xa27256… |
| 05-16 15:09:56 | Granular-Pinworm 0x242a…9c9e | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x800019… |
| 05-16 14:44:09 | Shady-Sustenance 0x9a7e…7d4c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0x3b4d44… |
| 05-16 14:36:13 | Worried-Boxer 0xde93…9e8c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xf62861… |
| 05-16 14:31:12 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xb794fa… |
| 05-16 13:30:58 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 46¢ | $1 | 0xc429c0… |
| 05-16 13:01:03 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 14 | 46¢ | $6 | 0x7fdbca… |
| 05-16 13:01:03 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xd1795a… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x3d6498… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xd6cf08… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xf99a83… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x866a76… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xd9ee63… |
| 05-16 13:01:01 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xca39e9… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xbb4f7c… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0xddf552… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x0b1706… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 46¢ | $12 | 0x56c217… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x55ead1… |
| 05-16 13:00:59 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | SELL | 25 | 47¢ | $12 | 0x2566da… |
| 05-16 11:35:58 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 51¢ | $22 | 0x0f3523… |
| 05-16 11:35:58 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xd24335… |
| 05-16 11:30:43 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 48¢ | $1 | 0xa4dec9… |
| 05-16 09:55:19 | Stark-Nationality 0xef06…06b7 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x6cd858… |
| 05-16 09:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x03d6…6e31 | No | BUY | 2 | 54¢ | $1 | 0x4d18f7… |
| 05-16 09:50:28 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 45 | 46¢ | $21 | 0x3c1c49… |
| 05-16 09:21:32 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xa735ba… |
| 05-16 09:21:24 | Testy-Connection 0x726f…d8e7 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xf0d072… |
| 05-16 09:18:16 | Studious-Transmission 0x1184…a836 | No | BUY | 43 | 51¢ | $22 | 0xd8a56a… |
| 05-16 09:09:56 | (anonymous) 0x9870…7d2a | Yes | BUY | 42 | 59¢ | $25 | 0x9cd14b… |
| 05-16 07:00:56 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 105 | 62¢ | $65 | 0x2f94f8… |
| 05-16 06:51:18 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x00637b… |
| 05-16 06:51:11 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x6f0a83… |
| 05-16 06:49:52 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 38¢ | $3 | 0x02aa81… |
| 05-16 06:31:11 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0xa34ab0… |
| 05-16 05:14:42 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 39 | 67¢ | $26 | 0xc95a48… |
| 05-16 04:35:53 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 100 | 68¢ | $68 | 0x413f12… |
| 05-16 04:33:17 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 160 | 68¢ | $109 | 0x00a011… |
| 05-16 04:33:15 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | SELL | 40 | 68¢ | $27 | 0x433fa7… |
| 05-16 01:30:46 | Parallel-Steppingstone 0x6189…d6eb | No | BUY | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x0331ee… |
| 05-16 00:00:40 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 66¢ | $24 | 0xd2a9f5… |
| 05-15 23:14:05 | Wrong-Balance 0xda04…34f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x0886bb… |
| 05-15 22:30:53 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | No | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0x03bfa7… |
| 05-15 21:58:47 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0x23b939… |
| 05-15 21:03:37 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0xcd435d… |
| 05-15 20:25:23 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x862b00… |
| 05-15 20:25:23 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0xcd1502… |
| 05-15 20:25:23 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 62¢ | $31 | 0x23a4d0… |
| 05-15 19:33:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x553beb… |
| 05-15 19:33:30 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0x769f02… |
| 05-15 19:33:26 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 9 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x8eae65… |
| 05-15 19:33:26 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 61¢ | $8 | 0xda8236… |
| 05-15 19:33:25 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xa603ca… |
| 05-15 19:33:25 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 61¢ | $1 | 0x8f93f9… |
| 05-15 19:30:05 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0xe55e11… |
| 05-15 19:30:03 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 23 | 61¢ | $14 | 0x9d4cac… |
| 05-15 19:18:23 | Frizzy-User 0xa42f…5f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 59¢ | $3 | 0xda9219… |
| 05-15 18:29:36 | Far-Flung-Laundry 0x096a…8519 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x38c88c… |
| 05-15 18:19:55 | Curvy-Merchandise 0x328c…cbbc | Yes | BUY | 50 | 54¢ | $27 | 0x3fb529… |
| 05-15 18:01:23 | Burly-Puppy 0xe07f…a1d2 | No | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0x9e0571… |
| 05-15 18:01:22 | Fancy-Scenario 0x2c80…219b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x2d7804… |
| 05-15 17:59:51 | Posh-Sanity 0x07e0…ac5c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x34b2ff… |
| 05-15 17:47:27 | Posh-Sanity 0x07e0…ac5c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0xf65505… |
| 05-15 16:56:38 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x19c3b8… |
| 05-15 16:21:58 | Mushy-Quart 0x8b13…19ff | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1862f0… |
| 05-15 16:09:50 | Burdensome-Loop 0x4b1b…ad6f | No | BUY | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0xbffbf6… |
| 05-15 15:54:48 | Cultured-Disregard 0x76a1…4652 | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xc02904… |
| 05-15 14:47:01 | Close-Anime 0x18a1…c648 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x582c12… |
| 05-15 14:36:59 | Joyous-Wrist 0x8970…36b5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x0e31d7… |
| 05-15 13:56:16 | (anonymous) 0x61de…e310 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xa827ee… |
| 05-15 13:56:15 | Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa | Yes | BUY | 15 | 39¢ | $6 | 0x15fe62… |