Rapid-Update — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$757

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

256

Trades

586

lifetime

Volume

$7.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-19 19:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 56% -$346

Other

24% 35% -$244

Politics

11% 30% -$124

Sports

6% 27% -$44

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:15 UTC	3	$260	312	156	+156	Up	-$89	03-07 01:18
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$168	123	123	+0	Yes	+$32	05-30 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:05 UTC	4	$144	127	126	+1	Down	-$6	03-07 01:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:00 UTC	3	$143	316	303	+13	Up	+$15	03-07 01:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:10 UTC	2	$140	143	141	+2	Down	+$27	03-07 01:11
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$138	88	88	+0	Yes	+$38	05-30 19:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:25 UTC	2	$116	76	75	+1	Up	+$26	02-28 11:27
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$98	71	71	+0	Yes	-$1	05-20 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:25 UTC	4	$96	76	75	+1	Down	+$38	03-14 13:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 00:55 UTC	2	$95	61	60	+1	Down	+$24	03-07 01:00
chi ygb sgr 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	2	$95	77	77	+0	Over	+$35	06-28 11:55
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:25 UTC	4	$93	102	101	+1	Down	-$6	02-28 12:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:20 UTC	6	$90	68	67	+1	Up	+$19	02-28 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 21:00 UTC	2	$88	46	46	+0	Down	+$3	02-24 21:01
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:05 UTC	2	$87	72	71	+1	Down	+$6	02-28 11:09
odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 50 in february	5	$85	58	58	+0	Yes	+$2	02-28 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 22:40 UTC	7	$84	2,924	41	+2,883	Down	-$26	04-07 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 20:45 UTC	2	$78	53	52	+1	Down	+$8	02-24 20:48
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$75	129	0	+129	Spurs	-$75	05-30 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 20:40 UTC	2	$72	83	81	+1	Up	+$0	02-24 20:43
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$71	1,432	1,432	+0	No	-$11	05-17 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 11:30 UTC	1	$70	112	0	+112	Down	-$70	02-28 11:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 13:45 UTC	3	$70	76	19	+57	Down	+$5	03-14 13:50
swe dju hal 2026 07 13 total 3pt5	1	$70	146	0	+146	Under	-$70	07-13 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 16:00 UTC	8	$66	82	80	+1	Down	-$6	02-26 16:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC	2	$66	43	42	+1	Up	+$18	02-28 12:35
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$66	57	57	+0	Yes	-$1	01-31 23:46
chi ygb sgr 2026 06 28 total 4pt5	1	$64	117	0	+117	Over	+$53	06-28 11:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 00:40 UTC	4	$64	84	84	+1	Up	+$13	03-07 00:43
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	2	$62	53	53	+0	No	-$2	02-01 08:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 19:07:55	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	71	8¢	$6	0x637342…
07-19 19:07:30	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x115c23…
07-13 14:35:22	swe dju hal 2026 07 13 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0xc434f4…
07-10 20:39:44	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	36	8¢	$3	0x204a13…
07-10 09:11:49	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xc90af5…
07-10 09:11:26	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x051f14…
07-09 18:17:53	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xb51a94…
07-09 18:12:56	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x287b41…
07-09 17:44:35	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd983fb…
07-09 17:43:59	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8c87a4…
07-09 17:42:20	Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xb25f83…
07-07 18:00:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xecce37…
07-07 17:51:19	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x34bd70…
07-05 13:55:41	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts first half	Yes	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xd32650…
07-05 13:50:19	chi sgr zhe 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x63b953…
07-05 08:20:17	chi sgr zhe 2026 07 05 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x04c9d5…
07-03 22:13:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x86f20b…
07-03 22:10:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3b6c9e…
07-03 22:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8f9d5e…
07-03 22:08:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x43db51…
07-03 22:08:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe4aa9c…
07-03 22:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x2de643…
07-03 22:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcba7f4…
07-03 22:04:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x9014f4…
07-03 22:03:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x27d25d…
07-03 22:02:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2dea37…
06-30 20:31:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x7abce3…
06-30 20:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x9c1a28…
06-30 20:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xe8ab9b…
06-30 20:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x656b77…
06-30 20:21:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xdb5a3e…
06-30 20:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe22890…
06-28 19:44:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb314da…
06-28 19:43:25	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	182	6¢	$11	0x1578c1…
06-28 14:47:59	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xa4fe17…
06-28 11:57:05	chi ygb sgr 2026 06 28 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	117	55¢	$64	0x3ce081…
06-28 11:55:38	chi ygb sgr 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	77	84¢	$65	0xa6d29f…
06-28 08:31:20	chi ygb sgr 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x81efd1…
06-27 09:32:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x4dc4ef…
06-27 09:31:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x53fb02…
06-27 09:28:35	chi ton jin 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x8fe1a9…
06-24 21:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x91d0f4…
06-24 13:28:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc50b3c…
06-24 13:27:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:25 UTC	Down	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xcf6737…
06-24 13:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x95198c…
06-24 13:24:50	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	112	0¢	$0	0x9abbd4…
06-15 17:32:36	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0xbe0131…
06-13 21:02:37	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xe85560…
06-13 21:00:45	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	92	1¢	$1	0x943c8e…
06-13 20:58:16	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x3570ad…
06-13 20:56:46	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x5843c2…
06-13 20:51:07	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	26	4¢	$1	0x72b0fc…
06-13 20:47:30	Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xece75f…
06-13 19:03:57	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x4d83f7…
06-13 18:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0xaa6a9d…
06-13 18:53:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4361e0…
06-13 18:50:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x0510d0…
06-13 18:50:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcb2267…
06-13 18:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa80f05…
06-13 18:48:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x23ef76…
06-13 18:48:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x877f7e…
06-13 18:46:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x02236f…
06-13 18:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x43a165…
06-13 18:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x323e3f…
06-13 18:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xdbe09d…
06-13 18:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc0d08a…
06-13 18:38:51	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0xf7810c…
06-13 18:37:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x5bcb2c…
06-13 18:33:58	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	144	5¢	$7	0xfe264c…
06-12 23:39:25	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x006ca2…
06-12 21:15:28	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x7def39…
06-12 21:01:01	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x84b30e…
06-12 19:32:04	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x598fc6…
06-12 19:29:48	Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	400	1¢	$3	0x317996…
06-12 19:29:46	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x196841…
06-12 19:29:40	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x9518a5…
06-12 19:29:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$5	0xf0e672…
05-30 20:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	37¢	$14	0x427a58…
05-30 20:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	54	13¢	$7	0xc6326f…
05-30 20:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x30fd23…
05-30 20:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x664093…
05-30 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0edf0a…
05-30 20:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xd0656b…
05-30 20:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0x8e4484…
05-30 20:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0xa0e652…
05-30 20:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x83fac2…
05-30 19:59:54	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0xbadaea…
05-30 19:53:04	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0xde4113…
05-30 17:33:46	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x760e9e…
05-30 17:30:30	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x6f8375…
05-30 15:58:43	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x99e93e…
05-28 09:07:19	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	62	54¢	$33	0x3c00e7…
05-27 17:10:23	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x1cfea5…
05-27 17:08:03	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	49	54¢	$26	0x5820ba…
05-27 17:07:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	61	41¢	$25	0x9fcb7d…
05-25 12:06:59	Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x55baf6…
05-25 11:55:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	62	57¢	$35	0xf8f400…
05-25 11:53:53	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x23b29e…
05-21 20:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0369fd…
05-21 13:28:54	Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xaec8ce…