Obedient-Dimension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

-$239

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,284

lifetime

Volume

$145.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-23 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

71% 50% $-10

Other

29% — —

Sports

0% 43% $-71

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes		+8,000	$319	0¢	$8	$-311	06-21 02:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-831	$-75	0¢	$-3	+$71	06-07 19:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	199	$30.1K	41,897	43,646	-1,749	open	—	04-17 12:49
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	23	$21.4K	13,279	13,279	+0	open	—	03-01 07:10
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	33	$13.3K	16,313	16,313	+0	open	—	03-01 07:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$6.3K	3,699	3,699	+0	open	—	04-07 17:30
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	19	$6.3K	4,402	4,402	+0	open	—	04-03 22:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	134	$6.0K	201,311	172,665	+28,646	open	—	04-29 01:06
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	8	$5.6K	4,569	4,569	+0	open	—	04-02 02:44
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	16	$4.7K	3,693	3,693	+0	open	—	03-07 18:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$4.2K	3,110	3,110	+0	open	—	02-28 06:28
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	51	$4.2K	9,825	7,718	+2,107	open	—	04-27 19:29
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	115	$3.7K	31,355	22,420	+8,935	open	—	04-27 19:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	128	$3.5K	26,027	29,143	-3,116	open	—	05-12 00:59
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	36	$3.5K	11,662	9,974	+1,688	open	—	04-27 19:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	130	$3.4K	114,494	22,466	+92,028	open	—	03-26 21:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	20	$3.4K	3,025	3,025	+0	open	—	06-23 09:57
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	97	$3.2K	8,909	0	+8,909	open	—	01-31 05:25
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	22	$2.9K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	02-28 06:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$2.8K	5,500	3,672	+1,828	open	—	03-26 08:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	29	$2.3K	3,500	2,012	+1,487	open	—	05-22 21:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$2.1K	4,250	3,781	+469	open	—	05-07 19:02
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	3	$1.6K	1,616	1,616	+0	open	—	04-17 21:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	12	$1.4K	43,000	35,000	+8,000	open	—	06-21 02:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	15	$1.1K	7,500	4,687	+2,812	open	—	05-24 07:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	3	$890	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	06-12 17:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	5	$830	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-02 02:47
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$827	560	560	+0	open	—	02-28 06:26
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	9	$826	6,287	5,250	+1,037	open	—	04-27 19:32
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	8	$821	7,020	0	+7,020	open	—	01-31 19:55
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$800	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-28 20:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	41	$706	23,750	7,965	+15,785	open	—	05-22 15:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 09:57:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	662	97¢	$643	0x6be423…
06-21 02:44:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,000	0¢	$15	0x439f19…
06-20 09:47:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	662	96¢	$636	0x8245d1…
06-19 20:49:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	150	80¢	$120	0x81e9c1…
06-19 20:36:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0xe84c28…
06-19 20:21:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	74¢	$148	0x92afae…
06-19 17:59:14	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x2f971b…
06-19 17:55:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	75	54¢	$40	0x1b61c9…
06-19 17:08:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x76b61a…
06-19 16:24:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xc207a5…
06-19 16:24:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0x452209…
06-19 12:34:02	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	150	59¢	$88	0xa26056…
06-19 12:19:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x7d0d51…
06-19 12:19:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	109	54¢	$59	0x6179f4…
06-19 12:19:23	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	81	54¢	$44	0xfe919d…
06-19 09:11:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	250	48¢	$120	0x534da1…
06-19 05:52:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	350	42¢	$147	0x09f744…
06-19 01:55:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x341d97…
06-19 01:54:31	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	350	32¢	$112	0xc2202e…
06-19 01:23:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	207	35¢	$72	0xf018a1…
06-19 01:23:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,293	35¢	$453	0xeac67e…
06-12 17:36:18	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3,500	12¢	$420	0xcbf862…
06-12 17:32:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	1¢	$112	0x9b486b…
06-12 17:32:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,000	1¢	$60	0xa8e766…
06-11 13:58:19	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	250	22¢	$55	0x67ce6f…
06-10 22:37:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0xf22bad…
06-09 16:50:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$180	0x1b3cbd…
06-08 01:21:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$250	0xb78549…
06-08 00:31:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8,500	2¢	$162	0xb66f81…
06-08 00:21:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x5d9aab…
06-08 00:15:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x30f09e…
06-08 00:13:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	894	2¢	$17	0xe310c1…
06-07 22:50:54	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	2¢	$184	0xdb42be…
06-07 20:13:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0xaa7ede…
06-07 20:04:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	486	2¢	$10	0x0ec1b0…
06-07 19:56:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	831	9¢	$75	0xd1215b…
06-07 19:44:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	19,514	2¢	$410	0xac7f5d…
06-07 19:43:37	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	14¢	$210	0x66a2f4…
05-24 07:59:04	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,812	10¢	$287	0x077c32…
05-24 00:59:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	25¢	$62	0x301815…
05-22 21:29:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	67¢	$168	0x1b5aae…
05-22 21:29:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	62¢	$155	0x120fa4…
05-22 15:45:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12,500	1¢	$75	0x3944b2…
05-20 17:39:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	400	37¢	$148	0xedf38f…
05-18 18:16:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0xcce930…
05-18 18:15:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	55¢	$14	0x8a784b…
05-18 18:15:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	138	55¢	$76	0x3b7cbb…
05-18 12:09:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	49¢	$122	0x5f1d04…
05-17 23:54:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	345	4¢	$15	0x058fd3…
05-12 23:26:42	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x95fffe…
05-12 15:08:21	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x9e271d…
05-12 10:24:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xdf07bd…
05-12 02:35:56	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	SELL	36	85¢	$30	0x8f843f…
05-12 00:59:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	733	2¢	$11	0x25cecb…
05-12 00:51:02	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xb8478b…
05-11 23:14:24	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	6¢	$90	0x34ebb6…
05-11 20:56:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	350	42¢	$147	0xf88d0f…
05-11 20:25:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x395972…
05-11 20:24:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x124ba9…
05-11 20:23:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0x7254b2…
05-11 17:42:31	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2,238	9¢	$201	0x821e9b…
05-11 04:25:06	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	502	1¢	$5	0x9744fc…
05-11 02:14:57	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd3290b…
05-11 00:41:28	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0x6dc154…
05-10 22:53:02	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9bc415…
05-10 22:52:53	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x95fbe9…
05-10 21:32:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,984	4¢	$305	0x8ebaf5…
05-10 21:22:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	4¢	$20	0xe57f20…
05-10 19:24:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	498	33¢	$165	0x254679…
05-10 19:09:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xc1e85c…
05-10 12:49:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x153f73…
05-10 02:44:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	29¢	$72	0x724d4d…
05-10 01:58:40	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	SELL	56	76¢	$42	0x71bf7a…
05-09 20:54:22	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0x2489ef…
05-09 20:53:56	Avalanche vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x62c8ad…
05-09 02:27:56	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa2398c…
05-09 02:14:06	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x14b3b5…
05-08 04:25:31	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x90deb5…
05-07 21:43:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	412	25¢	$103	0x0598aa…
05-07 21:32:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	187	14¢	$27	0x23ebc8…
05-07 20:31:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	328	17¢	$56	0xf33335…
05-07 19:11:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	41	14¢	$6	0x6b6d5b…
05-07 19:11:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	198	14¢	$28	0xb8e827…
05-07 19:09:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	172	14¢	$24	0xfb5601…
05-07 19:05:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x489b19…
05-07 19:05:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	228	14¢	$32	0xc0c0ee…
05-07 19:04:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	375	14¢	$54	0xb1c3da…
05-07 19:02:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	34¢	$53	0xb1b442…
05-07 19:02:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	437	16¢	$70	0x5102ba…
05-07 17:26:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	22¢	$54	0x8c944f…
05-07 16:08:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	125	44¢	$55	0x2618a8…
05-07 15:14:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	33¢	$165	0x267412…
05-07 14:48:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	28¢	$27	0x33d26d…
05-07 14:47:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	28¢	$28	0x6ed89c…
05-07 10:39:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	350	20¢	$69	0xe48394…
05-07 08:00:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x82ef33…
05-06 23:09:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0xbe2b8a…
05-06 23:04:14	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	15¢	$28	0x25b4cf…
05-06 23:03:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x967a06…
05-06 22:54:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	15¢	$9	0x745309…