(anonymous) 0x2ce952…f55fc6
cold 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$1.83K
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
54.9%
Resolved (30d)
25
Trades (30d)
254
367 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$22.1K
$25.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$70
Open exposure
$4.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 10-27 01:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
71% 71% -$1,239
Other
25% 71% +$196
Tech
4% 0% -$660
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +614 $364 68¢ $421 +$57 10-02 14:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +365 $339 92¢ $337 -$2 10-27 02:07
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +462 $384 68¢ $314 -$70 09-27 22:35
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +627 $211 38¢ $241 +$31 10-06 20:09
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +336 $193 70¢ $234 +$41 10-21 14:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +243 $231 94¢ $228 -$3 10-26 13:45
another fed rate hike in 2026 No +869 $203 24¢ $204 +$1 10-16 03:57
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +204 $173 90¢ $185 +$11 10-08 16:19
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +167 $161 100¢ $167 +$6 10-27 01:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +225 $158 70¢ $159 +$1 10-22 08:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +443 $164 34¢ $153 -$11 10-03 22:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +386 $156 38¢ $149 -$8 10-18 09:26
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +551 $159 26¢ $146 -$13 10-21 01:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +142 $135 98¢ $139 +$4 10-27 01:27
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +232 $136 54¢ $126 -$11 10-09 15:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +223 $136 52¢ $115 -$21 10-13 05:59
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +398 $119 29¢ $113 -$6 10-21 12:36
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +253 $94 34¢ $87 -$6 10-21 10:00
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +157 $93 55¢ $86 -$7 10-10 02:41
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +111 $85 74¢ $82 -$3 09-22 08:34
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? Yes +266 $76 30¢ $79 +$2 10-27 02:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +82 $67 84¢ $69 +$2 10-11 18:43
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +229 $70 29¢ $65 -$4 10-06 20:14
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? Yes +314 $66 20¢ $61 -$5 10-21 12:34
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +383 $89 16¢ $59 -$29 10-19 01:25
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +240 $36 22¢ $54 +$18 10-04 12:41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +83 $61 60¢ $50 -$10 09-22 15:35
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +55 $30 66¢ $36 +$6 09-15 14:36
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +234 $28 15¢ $34 +$6 10-09 19:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +310 $43 6¢ $20 -$23 10-20 15:37