(anonymous) 0x2ce952…f55fc6 Create alert
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
+$40
Unrealized P&L
-$47
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
0
489 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$32.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$82
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-08
last 11-01 22:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Politics
74% 54% -$1,676
Other
23% 64% +$115
Tech
4% 0% -$660
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +82 $67 92¢ $76 +$9 10-11 18:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +1 -$10 97¢ $1 +$10 10-04 03:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +1 $6 88¢ $1 -$5 10-29 03:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 -$2 94¢ $1 +$3 10-04 21:40
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1 -$3 97¢ $1 +$3 10-04 21:40
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $3 100¢ $0 -$3 11-01 22:45
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +0 -$10 98¢ $0 +$11 10-26 21:45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +0 $5 95¢ $0 -$4 11-01 21:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 10-29 03:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 10-14 12:50
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 -$1 10-03 22:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 09-24 17:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +0 -$6 54¢ $0 +$6 10-28 10:29
Trump out as President before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 09-24 16:45
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +0 -$7 53¢ $0 +$7 11-01 22:46
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $0 09-20 13:09
Anthropic lab leak by June 30, 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 09-24 16:45
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 11-01 22:47
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1 -$1 9¢ $0 +$1 11-01 22:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +0 $6 24¢ $0 -$6 11-01 22:45
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1 $3 10¢ $0 -$2 11-01 21:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-04 02:07
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 $0 09-24 16:45
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $5 14¢ $0 -$5 10-28 18:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $3 11¢ $0 -$3 11-01 22:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +0 -$2 6¢ $0 +$2 11-01 21:45
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +0 -$32 3¢ $0 +$32 11-01 22:45
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +0 $85 6¢ $0 -$85 11-01 22:46
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $18 3¢ $0 -$18 11-01 22:45
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$2 17¢ $0 +$2 11-01 22:47