Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

118

Trades

153

lifetime

Volume

$1.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$59

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-29 23:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

44% 99% +$3

Politics

40% 100% +$4

Crypto

12% 100% +$0

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes		+62	$60	95¢	$59	-$1	10-29 23:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$119	61	61	+0	open	—	10-28 10:59
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	2	$109	55	55	+0	Yes	+$0	10-04 19:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$109	54	54	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	2	$87	44	44	+0	Yes	+$0	08-19 14:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$2	10-01 00:06
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$82	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	10-16 03:08
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$60	62	0	+62	open	—	10-29 23:27
Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	09-22 14:46
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	1	$52	52	0	+52	Yes	+$0	09-04 06:17
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-15 22:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	09-14 15:35
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$43	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-21 22:10
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$43	43	0	+43	Yes	+$0	03-02 01:08
us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	10-01 00:39
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-31 20:45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	05-31 03:46
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-31 05:06
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	10-12 20:42
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$25	12	12	+0	No	+$0	10-01 06:05
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	05-15 21:57
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	08-28 04:58
will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	02-25 05:14
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-28 12:04
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	04-27 22:29
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	09-01 03:24
will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-30 03:46
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	10-27 11:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	08-26 15:45
Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$0	09-29 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:27:52	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xa67e02…
10-28 10:59:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x603c10…
10-28 09:27:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xa58588…
10-27 11:08:39	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfb5f09…
10-25 22:25:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	170	1¢	$2	0xa5a7b9…
10-24 01:36:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	28	0¢	$0	0x2708fb…
10-24 01:36:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xb0a473…
10-24 01:32:18	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0xa28b97…
10-24 01:32:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc89014…
10-24 01:32:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x8edb87…
10-24 01:32:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x303231…
10-24 01:12:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdf8737…
10-24 01:12:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0x510bd7…
10-16 03:08:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	52	79¢	$41	0x68d56c…
10-15 15:34:19	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0xe8c992…
10-12 20:42:05	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x593169…
10-10 12:15:45	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x77df4b…
10-09 13:01:45	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x8c3175…
10-08 05:38:53	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x9149e8…
10-06 04:43:51	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x1ad73f…
10-04 19:47:13	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	55	98¢	$54	0xf9d008…
10-02 11:29:51	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x2138ef…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xca88c7…
10-01 00:39:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x45c1a5…
10-01 00:06:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x6dc903…
09-29 16:43:20	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0xdef024…
09-29 13:38:50	Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x503951…
09-29 04:07:45	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2caa7a…
09-27 08:20:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xdb5fce…
09-27 01:31:26	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2d76b5…
09-24 06:57:59	Will Solana dip to $50 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x8aca0e…
09-22 14:46:58	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x823b97…
09-19 19:07:32	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x33223b…
09-15 22:24:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x08a522…
09-14 15:35:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x1dec77…
09-10 13:27:43	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0a1e66…
09-07 13:03:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xc72ac7…
09-05 21:10:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xd43799…
09-05 20:45:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	39	99¢	$38	0x8c8869…
09-04 06:17:03	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x891479…
09-01 03:24:00	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xab8b22…
08-28 04:58:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6d7211…
08-27 12:24:54	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb8d8bc…
08-26 15:50:18	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2a914d…
08-26 15:45:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe91c37…
08-25 19:10:57	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x864ea9…
08-25 15:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xcceac5…
08-25 06:51:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb579d…
08-24 06:34:46	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad6ef9…
08-21 22:10:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x65606e…
08-19 14:03:43	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x81b5ab…
08-05 14:31:51	Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2543e1…
08-05 10:53:06	will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62b37b…
08-05 07:18:41	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x43066c…
08-03 19:58:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xad327d…
08-03 16:15:30	Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xec3b57…
07-31 20:45:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xec7251…
07-31 04:03:42	will meta dip to 480 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x695143…
07-31 03:23:48	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xce56b6…
07-30 16:41:05	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa2adcb…
07-30 04:57:38	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xdfcf16…
07-27 20:37:55	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xb4e6d4…
07-27 06:10:01	will xauusd reach 4500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d33ee…
07-26 01:48:21	will googl dip to 280 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xdb48b1…
07-24 18:12:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f4413…
07-23 06:56:43	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbdfa16…
07-22 19:50:28	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc36a6e…
07-22 06:30:04	will xauusd reach 4600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbec9e0…
07-21 08:22:01	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x501f24…
07-17 10:41:46	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6fdb15…
06-30 03:46:20	will openais valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc120b0…
06-29 12:55:58	will spy dip to 700 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa2dead…
06-28 12:04:28	Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8ba2ce…
06-28 00:25:19	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfb908c…
06-27 01:15:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc643de…
05-31 03:46:27	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5f32e4…
05-20 21:11:49	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x109197…
05-15 21:57:33	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x52f1dd…
05-13 18:35:22	Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ce3f1…
05-11 03:21:39	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4be931…
05-07 09:57:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x55892c…
05-05 23:45:44	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x75f6b8…
05-05 23:34:50	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x787f7b…
05-05 19:49:56	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8d924f…
05-05 18:10:30	Will Solana dip to $20 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa0efaa…
05-05 15:38:06	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x61f884…
05-05 12:40:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9e0d8e…
04-27 22:29:04	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x70401e…
04-25 21:40:30	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x73c3a6…
04-25 06:50:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x254599…
04-23 17:17:40	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x429aed…
04-23 00:45:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6e77dd…
04-21 05:27:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x7bc823…
04-20 22:20:10	Will Meta (META) close above $460 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc08108…
04-19 18:23:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8515e1…
04-19 15:04:58	Will Amazon have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7010e1…
04-17 18:35:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x024050…
04-17 06:14:52	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x376f97…
04-16 08:44:12	Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfa34ef…
04-15 23:45:16	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $150 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x62dcea…