Compassionate-Raspberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$552

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

88.7%

Resolved

Trades

342

lifetime

Volume

$30.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

$560

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-07 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 100% +$564

Other

41% 0% $-11

Crypto

9% — —

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes		-843	$-468	66¢	$-560	$-92	07-07 01:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	22	$4.3K	2,659	3,501	-843	open	—	07-07 01:04
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	12	$3.9K	3,548	650	+2,898	open	—	02-25 08:04
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$3.1K	1,906	1,906	+0	open	—	02-16 02:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$3.1K	2,441	1,220	+1,220	No	+$564	05-07 13:33
btc updown 15m 1770623100	14	$1.0K	800	716	+84	open	—	02-09 07:59
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	6	$1.0K	1,787	1,787	+0	open	—	06-14 02:28
nothing ever happens khamenei	4	$925	3,513	0	+3,513	open	—	02-28 15:31
will trump say mr speaker during the 2026 state of the union address 379	7	$907	555	555	+0	open	—	02-25 03:16
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$798	3,636	3,636	+0	open	—	05-17 02:32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	3	$765	633	633	+0	open	—	06-08 04:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	3	$613	326	326	+0	open	—	05-12 04:04
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$433	248	248	+0	open	—	07-07 00:51
Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$389	239	239	+0	No	$-11	05-10 02:44
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	6	$356	545	545	+0	open	—	07-07 20:13
bitcoin up or down on february 9	2	$342	259	259	+0	open	—	02-09 08:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$332	112	250	-138	open	—	06-01 03:38
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$330	384	0	+384	open	—	05-15 08:50
Nothing Ever Happens: March	5	$284	245	245	+0	open	—	04-13 00:52
rblx quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 neg0pt47	2	$254	383	0	+383	open	—	02-04 04:22
will rob rausch win the traitors us season 4	2	$250	266	0	+266	open	—	02-27 00:23
will trump meet with delcy rodrguez by march 31 446	2	$243	143	143	+0	open	—	03-22 05:47
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	4	$237	171	114	+57	open	—	06-08 18:57
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	4	$235	124	124	+0	open	—	05-30 16:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	2	$219	120	120	+0	open	—	06-07 01:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$206	109	109	+0	open	—	05-14 01:03
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	3	$201	111	111	+0	open	—	06-15 05:30
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$200	213	0	+213	open	—	02-28 04:24
btc updown 15m 1770622200	4	$198	142	141	+2	open	—	02-09 07:43
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$179	104	104	+0	open	—	06-22 05:05
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	2	$170	175	175	+0	open	—	05-29 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 20:13:14	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	545	0¢	$1	0xae2c7b…
07-07 20:10:59	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	No	SELL	15	64¢	$9	0x9b0051…
07-07 20:10:46	will zohran mamdani be time person of the year 2026	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x5938d6…
07-07 20:08:58	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	SELL	75	73¢	$55	0x858c7f…
07-07 20:08:50	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	SELL	79	67¢	$53	0x050de1…
07-07 04:59:16	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x88c28f…
07-07 01:09:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0x8c61fa…
07-07 01:04:52	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	80	83¢	$67	0x5cc1bf…
07-07 00:52:26	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	375	64¢	$240	0xacd091…
07-07 00:51:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	248	98¢	$243	0xe48c09…
07-07 00:51:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xc12027…
07-07 00:51:23	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x57d270…
07-07 00:51:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x45c7f5…
07-07 00:50:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0bec16…
07-07 00:26:10	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x3a32fe…
07-06 00:41:55	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	No	BUY	75	65¢	$49	0xbdb652…
07-01 00:58:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x9298a7…
06-30 02:43:37	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	SELL	88	82¢	$72	0x470d44…
06-30 02:43:23	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x497f48…
06-29 00:35:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xd21c64…
06-29 00:33:31	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xe98b14…
06-26 04:39:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xfebda9…
06-24 00:33:46	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x42731d…
06-24 00:23:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x026a8f…
06-23 02:37:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x47784a…
06-23 02:37:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x86dfe4…
06-22 05:07:19	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	216	69¢	$149	0x738b14…
06-22 05:05:56	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	104	95¢	$99	0x1f7a52…
06-22 00:34:58	will donald trump publicly insult jimmy kimmel by june 30 2026	No	BUY	88	64¢	$56	0x880c0c…
06-19 07:13:04	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x193f5b…
06-15 05:30:04	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	SELL	111	91¢	$101	0x912b22…
06-15 04:42:19	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0xb3f593…
06-14 02:29:37	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0xdaadfe…
06-14 02:28:57	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	223	17¢	$38	0xfbef9e…
06-14 02:28:16	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	223	21¢	$47	0x11be4f…
06-14 02:08:48	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	447	30¢	$134	0xa81763…
06-14 01:23:45	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	SELL	894	19¢	$170	0x7a34f6…
06-13 00:43:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x8a65a0…
06-12 19:45:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xac0f48…
06-12 18:58:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc636fa…
06-12 18:58:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x20fb6d…
06-12 17:53:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	1,120	36¢	$403	0x6c84f6…
06-12 04:14:51	btc updown 5m 1781237400	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04529a…
06-12 03:52:39	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	698	70¢	$488	0xd96de5…
06-12 02:05:27	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe75ef9…
06-12 02:04:43	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x21cc99…
06-12 01:56:55	googl close above 345 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xb60d37…
06-11 08:58:42	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Knicks	BUY	667	36¢	$240	0x6ace9e…
06-11 08:58:09	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	350	70¢	$246	0xdb20e6…
06-11 03:33:42	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	SELL	96	17¢	$16	0x6ccc8b…
06-11 02:45:28	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	96	89¢	$85	0xa40591…
06-11 02:45:01	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	120	71¢	$85	0x9b6ca3…
06-11 02:00:00	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xdb8ecc…
06-11 01:58:46	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x6e2087…
06-11 01:58:07	will zohran mamdani be time person of the year 2026	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x82d62f…
06-11 01:53:49	israel closes its airspace by june 11	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8475e5…
06-11 01:53:03	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb52cea…
06-11 01:52:12	Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xa8a68a…
06-11 01:51:33	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf72693…
06-11 01:50:52	Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x943dd2…
06-11 01:50:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x8c5088…
06-11 01:49:06	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x6f399e…
06-11 01:48:37	Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2e706f…
06-11 01:44:48	googl close above 365 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa24a91…
06-11 01:41:46	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x9d61a5…
06-11 01:36:57	wti closes above 87 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0xbc57d4…
06-11 01:34:10	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	300	70¢	$211	0xde0546…
06-11 00:23:42	aapl close above 285 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x4416fb…
06-11 00:19:55	will zohran mamdani stream on twitch again by june 12 20260608204542084	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x7e89a2…
06-11 00:19:18	will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x880707…
06-11 00:18:42	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5b2b54…
06-11 00:18:19	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x547497…
06-11 00:16:37	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$106	0xe32391…
06-10 08:50:55	peru presidential election invalidated 20260608171643979	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0b0462…
06-10 08:46:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x64a900…
06-10 08:46:22	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	150	70¢	$106	0x73674f…
06-10 01:14:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	104	77¢	$80	0x9f8e32…
06-09 03:12:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x927f38…
06-09 02:20:58	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2cb8e9…
06-09 02:20:34	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0xf9e8f7…
06-09 01:32:10	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	76	72¢	$55	0x1605f8…
06-09 01:27:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x62ef95…
06-09 01:22:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	57	64¢	$37	0x878f92…
06-09 01:22:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	43	64¢	$27	0xfc617c…
06-09 01:17:46	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x2ae379…
06-09 01:08:31	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x74b6a1…
06-09 00:59:30	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x8e2ac7…
06-09 00:55:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x11dacb…
06-09 00:49:12	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Knicks	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x987db9…
06-08 18:57:54	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xfb1ce9…
06-08 18:46:36	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	1,118	72¢	$800	0x574ba0…
06-08 18:40:34	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x51a6e4…
06-08 10:31:34	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x2222b6…
06-08 04:45:40	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	68	65¢	$45	0x2ff417…
06-08 04:44:33	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	SELL	114	86¢	$98	0x4621e5…
06-08 04:44:21	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	633	64¢	$405	0x94d893…
06-08 04:40:30	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	800	65¢	$521	0xf63f04…
06-08 04:08:33	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	300	66¢	$197	0xed64a0…
06-08 01:56:49	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	68	87¢	$59	0x0737a2…
06-08 00:49:00	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	250	67¢	$167	0x582b89…