Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$438

Unrealized P&L

-$76

Hit rate

33.4%

Resolved (90d)

115

Trades (90d)

30,331 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$257.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$428

19 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-24 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 60% -$7,450

Other

16% 34% -$3,906

Politics

5% 24% -$1,434

Sports

4% 37% -$2,225

Tech

0% 33% -$64

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-24).

Open positions (19) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		+100	$77	97¢	$97	+$20	06-04 01:57
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes		+100	$36	74¢	$74	+$37	06-11 21:14
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+86	$59	70¢	$60	+$1	06-19 13:01
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes		+80	$44	68¢	$54	+$10	06-04 00:12
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	No		+40	$29	94¢	$37	+$9	06-08 02:54
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	No		+100	$67	26¢	$26	-$41	06-05 02:03
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	No		+81	$43	32¢	$26	-$17	06-19 13:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+86	$27	30¢	$26	-$1	06-14 09:32
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	No		+20	$16	98¢	$20	+$4	06-12 00:05
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No		+100	$61	3¢	$3	-$59	06-11 09:21
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes		+40	$15	6¢	$3	-$13	06-05 11:08
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+1	-$3	85¢	$1	+$4	06-11 21:13
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes		+1	$0	98¢	$1	+$0	06-11 21:14
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+20	$8	2¢	$0	-$8	06-11 22:21
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	—	+0	$5	93¢	$0	-$4	06-19 13:03
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?	No		+0	$0	88¢	$0	+$0	06-19 13:02
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes		+100	$20	0¢	$0	-$20	06-03 03:07
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+0	-$1	2¢	$0	+$1	06-19 13:02
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+0	$0	1¢	$0	$0	06-19 13:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	3	$901	3,588	0	+3,588	Up	-$901	05-09 11:08
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	5	$770	1,091	0	+1,091	Over	+$321	06-11 20:30
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?	5	$769	1,076	0	+1,076	No	+$307	06-11 20:30
Pistons vs. Magic	158	$716	1,108	0	+1,108	Magic	-$716	04-21 06:35
spx up or down on april 9 2026	29	$715	618	717	-99	Up	+$75	04-09 15:44
nba den min 2026 04 23	144	$658	1,132	0	+1,132	Timberwolves	-$658	04-19 07:22
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	1	$650	833	0	+833	New York Mets	-$650	05-17 19:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$632	800	400	+400	No	+$16	06-11 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	3	$589	1,347	1,347	+0	Up	-$411	05-09 10:45
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	31	$527	302	301	+1	No	-$2	02-14 12:07
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 14	29	$506	550	548	+2	Yes	-$13	04-14 15:18
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$505	742	0	+742	Seattle Mariners	+$237	05-06 22:12
cbb cencon fairdk 2026 02 14	46	$495	576	269	+307	Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	-$15	02-14 21:47
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa?	4	$475	879	0	+879	Yes	-$475	06-11 20:44
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	3	$468	954	0	+954	Under	-$468	06-11 20:44
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$459	584	0	+584	Yes	-$459	06-07 16:06
wti up or down on april 13 2026	16	$439	402	402	+0	Up	+$14	04-12 23:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$404	800	0	+800	Yes	-$4	06-08 07:01
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 14	16	$399	369	200	+169	No	-$7	04-14 15:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	24	$391	428	314	+114	Yes	-$47	04-14 15:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 14	25	$375	452	451	+1	No	-$31	04-14 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 15	15	$374	344	344	+0	Yes	-$12	04-14 15:18
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on february 15	46	$360	460	300	+160	Yes	$0	02-15 15:30
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by july 31 2026	4	$355	457	199	+258	Yes	-$79	06-11 23:02
ebola case in the us by june 30	2	$354	200	200	+0	No	+$26	06-19 13:01
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	4	$352	307	306	+1	Yes	-$2	06-11 20:13
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$351	200	200	+0	No	+$11	06-19 13:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	6	$346	600	0	+600	Yes	+$54	06-14 00:13
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total home 2pt5	3	$340	690	0	+690	Under	-$340	06-11 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	99	$340	1,442	85	+1,357	Up	-$302	04-29 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:55:55	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x93ed3f…
06-19 13:11:16	will wti crude oil wti hit high 125 in june	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x4ab74e…
06-19 13:11:14	Will Mark Zuckerberg buy the Seattle Seahawks?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x691e62…
06-19 13:10:59	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x81ceee…
06-19 13:08:23	Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x6fe630…
06-19 13:08:22	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 27 20260608233701773	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xcd2394…
06-19 13:08:19	will hamad bin isa al khalifa attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204732	Yes	SELL	19	2¢	$0	0x97c933…
06-19 13:08:19	Will Veneziano Vital do Rêgo win the Governor of Paraíba election?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x7e26c8…
06-19 13:08:19	Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x1b9f07…
06-19 13:08:17	Will Fred M'membe win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x905de5…
06-19 13:08:16	will mishal al ahmad al jaber al sabah attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204729	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xd4adaf…
06-19 13:08:16	Will Felipe Camarão win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xb164ee…
06-19 13:08:14	will benjamin netanyahu sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950076	Yes	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0x8e70ac…
06-19 13:08:14	Will four or more people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x36b37c…
06-19 13:08:13	Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xdd5f93…
06-19 13:08:13	Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x9be97e…
06-19 13:08:13	will king abdullah ii attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204728	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x8c0e14…
06-19 13:08:10	will mohammed bin salman attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204730	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xb6ca85…
06-19 13:08:10	Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xa86304…
06-19 13:08:10	will marco rubio attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204731	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x1e23b0…
06-19 13:08:08	will king abdullah ii sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950084	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xf5ce38…
06-19 13:08:08	will kuwait be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522906	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xed8fed…
06-19 13:08:07	Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xb3576e…
06-19 13:08:07	Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xac0668…
06-19 13:08:05	Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x693a89…
06-19 13:08:05	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x449a7b…
06-19 13:08:05	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x03edf4…
06-19 13:08:04	will russia capture all of ternuvate by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x615a6e…
06-19 13:08:02	Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 15% or more?	Yes	SELL	43	5¢	$2	0x9eed33…
06-19 13:08:02	Will Yan Diomande stay at RB Leipzig?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x870cd7…
06-19 13:08:02	will russia capture stavky by july 31	Yes	SELL	35	8¢	$3	0x637734…
06-19 13:08:01	Will Casemiro join Al-Nassr?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8fbccb…
06-19 13:07:59	Will Arnaldinho Borgo win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xc70494…
06-19 13:07:59	Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?	No	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0x69b015…
06-19 13:07:58	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,087	2¢	$17	0x9cf1f9…
06-19 13:07:55	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	175	49¢	$86	0xa24e47…
06-19 13:07:55	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3,571	2¢	$54	0x6114f0…
06-19 13:07:53	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?	No	SELL	143	69¢	$99	0xbd1e9f…
06-19 13:04:23	will jd vance attend nato summit	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x813a12…
06-19 13:04:22	will russia capture dorozhnie by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xf80a54…
06-19 13:04:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xe66f17…
06-19 13:04:20	will hamad bin isa al khalifa sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950082	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x67353f…
06-19 13:04:19	Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x74664c…
06-19 13:04:19	Will another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x6fdbcd…
06-19 13:04:17	russia ukraine peace talks by june 30 2026 20260609012542187	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xddd392…
06-19 13:04:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc66dac…
06-19 13:04:17	will syria be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522907	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x3af2b7…
06-19 13:04:16	will mohamed bin zayed al nahyan attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204733	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0x9f8fb0…
06-19 13:04:16	will trump meet with mohammed bin salman in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x41a61a…
06-19 13:04:14	will abdel fattah el sisi attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204735	Yes	SELL	39	2¢	$1	0xa8ce09…
06-19 13:04:14	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa01a5a…
06-19 13:04:13	will spacex have fewer than 11 launches in june 2026	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x66e462…
06-19 13:04:13	will recep tayyip erdogan attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204738	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x0af2a2…
06-19 13:04:11	will donald trump attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204740	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xe6359b…
06-19 13:04:11	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 0% and 2% in May?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x867495…
06-19 13:04:10	Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10% or more?	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0xf0909d…
06-19 13:04:10	will israel be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522915	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$2	0xc93d3a…
06-19 13:04:10	Will Aurelien Tchouameni stay at Real Madrid?	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x5ac21c…
06-19 13:04:08	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xed2766…
06-19 13:04:07	will jordan be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522914	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xb6ae9b…
06-19 13:04:07	russia x ukraine diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260609011545512	Yes	SELL	19	9¢	$2	0x45c134…
06-19 13:04:05	Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xf31c6d…
06-19 13:04:05	Will Bruno Fernandes stay at Manchester United?	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x3d330e…
06-19 13:04:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x1a5614…
06-19 13:04:04	Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xd77bb1…
06-19 13:04:04	Will Winston Peters be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xac82f8…
06-19 13:04:02	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0xfefb97…
06-19 13:04:02	Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0xc18693…
06-19 13:04:01	will zelenskyy talk to putin by august 31	Yes	SELL	19	11¢	$2	0xe6b0c3…
06-19 13:04:01	Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between 2% and 4% in May?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa15f1b…
06-19 13:04:01	Will Trump announce Brett Giroir as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x2ffc65…
06-19 13:03:59	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x300e2f…
06-19 13:03:59	Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x191a64…
06-19 13:03:58	will mohammed bin salman sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950077	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x8417f7…
06-19 13:03:56	Will FURIA make a roster change before July?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xf1eb72…
06-19 13:03:56	Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xdea4d4…
06-19 13:03:56	Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xa26415…
06-19 13:03:55	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x6dfea9…
06-19 13:03:53	mlb aaron judge or juan soto to draw more walks	Judge	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9f31be…
06-19 13:03:53	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x8b908f…
06-19 13:03:53	Will one person dissent the July Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x82a16a…
06-19 13:03:52	Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0xf5117f…
06-19 13:03:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0xd4bc55…
06-19 13:03:52	will masoud pezeshkian attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204727	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0x53aff7…
06-19 13:03:50	us x cuba economic deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc125b5…
06-19 13:03:49	Will the National Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xf19a6a…
06-19 13:03:49	Will Trump make no announcement for the next FDA commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x2886f7…
06-19 13:03:49	will ukraine re enter maliivka by december 31	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x1f4016…
06-19 13:03:47	Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 AL West title?	No	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0x3e65ff…
06-19 13:03:47	will saudi arabia be a party to the us x iran memorandum of understanding 20260611230522909	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x338462…
06-19 13:03:47	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x2e60c4…
06-19 13:03:46	Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x8582ce…
06-19 13:03:44	Will the US federal government take a stake in Pfizer Inc.?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x0e852a…
06-19 13:03:43	Will National Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xb29759…
06-19 13:03:43	will william saliba score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x35afff…
06-19 13:03:43	Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x1d359f…
06-19 13:03:41	Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xf671ab…
06-19 13:03:41	Will Trump announce Sara Brenner as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xe8a0df…
06-19 13:03:40	will heroic make a roster change before august 20260610155544674	No	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xb41cf6…
06-19 13:03:40	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x48e4f8…