Coordinated-Displacement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$124

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,591

lifetime

Volume

$22.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 06-02 14:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

70% — —

Other

16% 0% $-158

Politics

13% 100% +$34

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 617 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$376	400	0	+400	open	—	05-17 20:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$376	400	0	+400	open	—	06-01 11:00
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	2	$359	400	0	+400	open	—	06-01 14:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	3	$351	423	0	+423	open	—	06-01 21:56
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	9	$350	500	0	+500	open	—	06-02 05:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$344	400	0	+400	open	—	06-02 14:38
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	1	$321	402	0	+402	open	—	05-08 22:30
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$270	300	0	+300	open	—	04-25 21:21
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$252	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 11:50
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	1	$243	300	0	+300	open	—	05-04 23:20
LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner	5	$221	287	0	+287	open	—	04-25 21:35
cs2 g2 faze 2026 03 06	3	$213	227	0	+227	open	—	03-06 17:31
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	5	$205	336	0	+336	open	—	04-26 09:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$181	208	0	+208	open	—	05-20 17:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 13:44
lal osa mal 2026 03 06 mal	1	$180	200	0	+200	open	—	03-07 14:35
cs2 navi g2 2026 03 07	2	$169	99	99	+0	open	—	03-07 16:24
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$166	200	0	+200	No	+$34	04-28 13:42
Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	8	$166	200	0	+200	open	—	04-29 23:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$162	200	0	+200	open	—	04-28 13:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$162	200	0	+200	open	—	05-04 11:02
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	1	$160	210	0	+210	open	—	05-20 17:54
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	6	$158	200	0	+200	Yes	$-158	05-06 19:15
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	7	$156	195	0	+195	open	—	05-18 00:52
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	15	$156	200	0	+200	open	—	05-01 12:38
tur iba goz 2026 03 07 iba	4	$129	70	70	+0	open	—	03-07 15:06
mls dcu mia 2026 03 07 mia	3	$122	133	0	+133	open	—	03-07 23:34
Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	4	$88	100	0	+100	open	—	05-05 23:21
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	1	$83	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 09:35
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs	3	$79	100	0	+100	open	—	04-25 19:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 14:38:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	86¢	$344	0xea4a94…
06-02 05:46:11	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0x65513a…
06-02 05:46:11	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	357	70¢	$250	0x3adc64…
06-01 21:56:39	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	377	83¢	$313	0x36b375…
06-01 21:51:15	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xd9b85d…
06-01 21:51:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x091f58…
06-01 21:49:18	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xca6c56…
06-01 21:49:09	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xf0b97a…
06-01 21:49:02	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	95	70¢	$66	0x6c9238…
06-01 21:48:15	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0x9fda4d…
06-01 21:48:13	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x91c036…
06-01 21:47:42	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0xb0e646…
06-01 21:47:09	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x0979e7…
06-01 14:26:31	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x834d83…
06-01 12:11:01	Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x5c792d…
06-01 11:00:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0xca6b27…
05-20 17:54:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	210	76¢	$160	0xb9855e…
05-20 17:52:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	208	87¢	$181	0xfa434a…
05-18 00:52:26	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	66	80¢	$53	0x6b4a3c…
05-17 23:40:48	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	28	80¢	$22	0x804fd3…
05-17 23:03:02	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x4333c2…
05-17 23:02:48	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x672f4d…
05-17 22:48:57	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x6d4cc9…
05-17 22:44:55	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xb47daf…
05-17 20:42:53	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x9bbf2b…
05-17 20:00:13	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x52a18b…
05-08 22:30:53	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	402	80¢	$321	0xd9e05c…
05-06 19:15:55	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96	79¢	$76	0xab4ead…
05-06 00:13:04	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0xb345d2…
05-06 00:13:04	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$10	0xa9a47e…
05-06 00:13:04	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x98ffb5…
05-05 23:21:10	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x8eae72…
05-05 23:21:10	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x3fcaa6…
05-05 23:18:34	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x1e2b43…
05-05 23:18:34	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x1bb165…
05-05 17:39:56	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	79¢	$29	0x14b6f2…
05-05 17:39:14	Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	79¢	$33	0xf88cec…
05-04 23:20:46	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x1b7e70…
05-04 11:02:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	188	81¢	$152	0x56b959…
05-04 11:00:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7993bc…
05-01 12:38:10	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	149	78¢	$116	0x086a23…
05-01 12:22:30	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xf64e0e…
05-01 12:22:30	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x90aa27…
05-01 12:22:30	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x58829f…
05-01 12:22:30	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x2bd7e9…
05-01 12:22:30	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x2b8ed9…
05-01 12:22:28	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x97f2de…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xf525ae…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xddde6a…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xa37cdd…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x91fc3b…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x854ae0…
04-30 14:28:56	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x5b270f…
04-30 12:54:12	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x1d3bc3…
04-30 09:35:58	Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x34f503…
04-29 23:28:44	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	122	83¢	$101	0x13bae7…
04-29 19:04:44	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x949335…
04-29 19:01:52	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	37	83¢	$30	0xc75959…
04-29 18:03:56	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0xe7c998…
04-29 18:03:56	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc1e6fb…
04-29 18:03:56	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x0c29ae…
04-29 18:03:56	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0x0b73ed…
04-29 17:48:08	Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd7b4f6…
04-29 11:50:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	300	84¢	$252	0xa30029…
04-28 13:45:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x0f005f…
04-28 13:44:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x97f888…
04-28 13:42:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x217973…
04-28 13:42:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x45738d…
04-26 10:23:32	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 100m?	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x14c5e8…
04-26 10:05:28	LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x1c7627…
04-26 09:48:58	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	94	83¢	$78	0x7e3404…
04-26 09:48:02	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x1b74de…
04-26 09:43:14	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	125	57¢	$71	0x7ec085…
04-26 09:42:54	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Rune Eaters	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xa3e782…
04-26 09:41:38	Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Team Lynx - Game 1 Winner	Team Lynx	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xd6d779…
04-26 09:35:10	LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0x807d9a…
04-25 21:35:06	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	16	81¢	$13	0x45cc58…
04-25 21:32:54	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	140	85¢	$119	0xab505a…
04-25 21:31:26	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2aa284…
04-25 21:30:16	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x11ef7f…
04-25 21:28:06	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 2 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	100	61¢	$61	0x2480f9…
04-25 21:21:48	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0xcb5178…
04-25 20:36:32	Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP - Map 1 Winner	NIP	BUY	60	95¢	$57	0x5fc2ac…
04-25 20:25:22	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0xb15cef…
04-25 20:25:22	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0x52e4eb…
04-25 20:25:22	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x41ee84…
04-25 20:25:22	LoL: FlyQuest vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winner	FlyQuest	BUY	34	68¢	$23	0x09ec25…
04-25 20:19:28	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	9	73¢	$6	0x1f6ad2…
04-25 20:18:48	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x91b09c…
04-25 20:18:18	Counter-Strike: Lavked vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs	Lavked	BUY	73	73¢	$53	0x033910…
04-25 19:46:02	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs	KOLESIE	BUY	54	79¢	$43	0x4057da…
04-25 19:45:36	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs	KOLESIE	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x15828a…
04-25 19:45:34	Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs	KOLESIE	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa83852…
04-17 08:04:22	btc updown 5m 1776412800	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x01011d…
04-17 07:54:20	btc updown 5m 1776412200	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x03e2da…
04-17 07:19:04	btc updown 5m 1776410100	Down	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xba6d45…
04-17 07:04:48	btc updown 5m 1776409200	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x91390d…
04-17 06:54:06	btc updown 5m 1776408600	Up	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa9b75f…
04-17 06:19:24	btc updown 5m 1776406500	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x8d6bb9…
04-17 06:19:24	btc updown 5m 1776406500	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x775dcf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	932	$245.8K	47,556	04-17 08:05
Cavernous-Emanate 0x0cf7…f03a	927	$272.9K	51,252	04-17 08:04
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	862	$16.9K	2,147	04-17 08:05
(anonymous) 0x253a…af26	832	$243.4K	19,664	04-17 08:00
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	827	$1.96K	4,135	04-17 08:05
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	815	$465.2K	127,576	04-17 08:04
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	794	$449.0K	32,544	04-17 08:04
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	788	$474.5K	18,217	04-17 08:04