Noisy-Death — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$90

Unrealized P&L

-$131

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

32 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$8.54K

$8.54K lifetime

Avg / trade

$267

Open exposure

$114

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up		+250	$245	46¢	$114	$-131	05-05 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Up	+$7	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Up	+$7	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$301	307	+307	Up	+$6	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	open	—	05-05 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Up	+$5	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$242	250	+250	Up	+$8	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$196	200	+200	Up	+$4	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$196	200	+200	Down	+$4	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$196	200	+200	open	—	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$178	182	+182	open	—	05-05 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x0e2dd4…
05-05 20:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x504de7…
05-05 20:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x30dd59…
05-05 20:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	182	98¢	$178	0x672af7…
05-05 20:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x67f28c…
05-05 20:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x43fcb3…
05-05 20:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0xbe4ca6…
05-05 19:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x3812ab…
05-05 19:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x1eb6c9…
05-05 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x8ce1ef…
05-05 18:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x771fd1…
05-05 17:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x53926c…
05-05 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x6cabdd…
05-05 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x552ce1…
05-05 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xce9faf…
05-05 15:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5a86a7…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x8109a7…
05-05 05:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x607278…
05-05 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x3e2ac4…
05-05 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0x49eef0…
05-05 00:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xf656ac…
05-05 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x295231…
05-05 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x4d00cf…
05-04 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xe97471…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xa64cf8…
05-04 23:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x6f066d…
05-04 23:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xccebff…
05-04 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x8aa2d6…
05-04 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xa76969…
05-04 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x0ec5ba…
05-04 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x2ace0b…
05-04 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x7856ea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	30	$6.45K	139	05-05 21:25
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$16.4K	88	05-05 20:50
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$2.05K	45	05-05 20:50
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	22	$1.37K	209	05-05 21:24
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	22	$1.25K	34	05-05 20:44
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	19	$901	81	05-05 20:54
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	18	$1.37K	127	05-05 20:54
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	18	$715	42	05-05 20:40