Noisy-Death — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$90

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$263

Open exposure

$297

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$90

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up		+300	$294	99¢	$297	+$3	05-05 18:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Up	+$7	05-04 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Up	+$7	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$343	350	+350	Down	+$7	05-05 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$301	307	+307	Up	+$6	05-05 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$294	300	+300	open	—	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Up	+$5	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$245	250	+250	Down	+$5	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$242	250	+250	Up	+$8	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$196	200	+200	Down	+$4	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$196	200	+200	open	—	05-05 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$196	200	+200	Up	+$4	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$97	99	+99	open	—	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$78	80	+80	Down	+$2	05-04 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x8ce1ef…
05-05 18:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x771fd1…
05-05 17:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x53926c…
05-05 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x6cabdd…
05-05 16:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	300	98¢	$294	0x552ce1…
05-05 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0xce9faf…
05-05 15:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x5a86a7…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x8109a7…
05-05 05:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x607278…
05-05 02:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x3e2ac4…
05-05 01:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	307	98¢	$301	0x49eef0…
05-05 00:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xf656ac…
05-05 00:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x295231…
05-05 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0x4d00cf…
05-04 23:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xe97471…
05-04 23:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	350	98¢	$343	0xa64cf8…
05-04 23:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x6f066d…
05-04 23:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xccebff…
05-04 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x8aa2d6…
05-04 22:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0xa76969…
05-04 21:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x0ec5ba…
05-04 21:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	98¢	$245	0x2ace0b…
05-04 20:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	97¢	$242	0x7856ea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	22	$5.65K	99	05-05 18:44
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	17	$1.69K	33	05-05 18:41
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	16	$1.24K	28	05-05 16:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$10.2K	59	05-05 18:44
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	14	$894	143	05-05 18:43
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	14	$839	74	05-05 18:43
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	13	$1.13K	105	05-05 18:42
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	12	$1.25K	18	05-05 18:24