Fatal-Obstacle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

727

Trades

750

lifetime

Volume

$3.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

79% 98% -$2

Sports

15% 100% +$1

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 from july 27	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	07-31 21:47
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$10	5	5	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:39
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 0 Salford City FC?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	05-28 16:31
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-01 23:08
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-26 15:37
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$10	5	5	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$10	5	5	+0	August Holmgren	+$0	05-30 04:48
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-23 23:59
Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	09-10 18:44
val th1 kc3 2026 07 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Karmine Corp	+$0	07-26 20:06
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	1	$5	5	0	+5	Adrian Mannarino	+$0	10-07 06:30
Will Endrick be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	05-18 22:39
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	1	$5	5	0	+5	Taylor Fritz	+$0	10-23 16:52
Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-16 04:21
wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	1	$5	5	0	+5	Hayu Kinoshita	+$0	06-23 18:25
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-10 21:01
lol blg ly 2026 07 05 game1 kill over 27pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	07-06 04:24
Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-11 19:25
wta avdeeva akugue 2026 08 03	1	$5	5	0	+5	Noma Noha Akugue	+$0	08-03 10:45
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 team total away 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Under	+$0	06-17 22:07
crichundredw tre lon 2026 07 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	London Spirit	+$0	07-26 18:53
Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	1	$5	5	0	+5	Valerio Aboian	+$0	09-08 12:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:03	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2abe8d…
10-25 09:31:02	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3a342b…
10-24 13:22:11	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x858089…
10-23 16:52:30	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdcf9b6…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6228…
10-20 18:47:42	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x05cf19…
10-20 18:36:03	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cb975…
10-18 03:35:39	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd83017…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9154a3…
10-14 20:56:46	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x659a56…
10-14 13:12:36	wta krueger tararud 2026 10 14	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x276c7c…
10-14 11:41:25	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe115d8…
10-13 20:58:55	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89a74e…
10-13 14:15:23	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ecfdd…
10-12 09:05:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2a6e6…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe507e2…
10-10 12:54:19	China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens	Qinwen Zheng	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe13c98…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x107bf9…
10-09 02:09:51	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd940f2…
10-07 10:16:24	Samsun: Elena Pridankina vs Anna Blinkova	Anna Blinkova	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdd986e…
10-07 06:30:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff9364…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0654f1…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x08dceb…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x611d84…
10-04 20:17:37	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6bee98…
10-03 14:50:27	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae6b4e…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84c640…
10-02 14:13:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x97e26c…
10-01 20:46:20	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb128f5…
10-01 12:06:15	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e763b…
10-01 06:54:15	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x288afa…
10-01 05:16:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55d08e…
09-30 23:54:50	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x533451…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fb1b5…
09-29 13:58:54	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x10e744…
09-29 13:15:59	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda1996…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e4674…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31d032…
09-27 13:30:41	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x70fc16…
09-27 12:11:59	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41849b…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0efdd2…
09-26 16:18:09	cs2 hero sng2 2026 09 26	Heroic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63dab9…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeab627…
09-25 10:13:20	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9511e3…
09-24 20:45:11	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4891ea…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3055a…
09-21 18:44:34	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x429657…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2b3423…
09-21 02:19:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4cd02…
09-20 22:25:40	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x508623…
09-20 21:08:26	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa7b24f…
09-20 13:21:12	W50 Yecla: Rebecca Munk Mortensen vs Carlota Corte	Rebecca Munk Mortensen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf4f61…
09-20 12:44:48	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5f6592…
09-20 06:45:34	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x021753…
09-20 02:59:37	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b95cd…
09-20 01:26:39	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefe836…
09-19 20:39:11	NC State vs. Vanderbilt	Vanderbilt	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3fbcb1…
09-19 15:39:35	lol kor usa 2026 09 19	South Korea	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x23f5b7…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x544424…
09-18 20:00:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51c6ac…
09-18 19:14:45	Valencia: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Joelle Steur	Joelle Steur	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf6f48f…
09-17 20:00:13	Tread FDV above $400M one day after launch	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0edf99…
09-17 17:27:06	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe461a…
09-17 17:00:22	ethereum up or down september 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcd0b8b…
09-17 16:02:37	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on September 17?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a5152…
09-17 14:00:49	bitcoin up or down september 17 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdd9e5c…
09-17 12:57:06	itf lagarr1 khazim1 2026 09 17	Florent Lagarrigue	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfb807d…
09-17 00:30:49	Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 Winner	Bounty Hunters Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x961d0b…
09-16 11:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c8096…
09-16 06:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x702fc6…
09-15 12:58:34	Valencia: Jennifer Ruggeri vs Eva Vedder	Jennifer Ruggeri	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5efe6…
09-15 09:42:04	Guangzhou: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9b6e6…
09-14 14:28:55	Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71e47b…
09-14 04:36:52	atp peliwo ziegann 2026 09 13	Filip Peliwo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb4741d…
09-14 01:22:54	wta bucsa andrees 2026 09 13	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecc049…
09-13 21:07:09	PSV leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x217d96…
09-13 20:08:22	Buccaneers vs. Bengals	Bengals	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x536a12…
09-13 14:59:09	atp zhukov loof 2026 09 13	Thijmen Loof	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd02e16…
09-13 14:16:06	Will Royal Antwerp FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd33b37…
09-13 02:51:28	Iowa State vs. Iowa	Iowa	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefd735…
09-12 18:24:33	Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Draw at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e6cd5…
09-12 13:20:45	European T20 Premier League: Belfast Wolves vs Rotterdam Dockers	Rotterdam Dockers	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34c2ce…
09-12 09:27:54	Istanbul 3: Harold Mayot vs Max Basing	Max Basing	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce1978…
09-12 03:12:31	US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1254b5…
09-11 21:06:36	Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd26d73…
09-11 20:32:57	Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs KAMUI (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage	Phantom Academy	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd5e74…
09-11 19:25:48	Will SV Ried win on 2026-09-11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9d3780…
09-11 02:58:33	Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki Matsuda	Philip Sekulic	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b6cf1…
09-10 18:48:19	LoL: Zena Esports vs Aeterna Esports - Game 1 Winner	Aeterna Esports	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb46be1…
09-10 18:44:46	Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf6cac3…
09-10 17:31:46	Sher-E-Punjab T20: Fazilka Falcons vs Bathinda Royals	Fazilka Falcons	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x85c7ea…
09-10 01:26:57	Barranquilla: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Kaitlin Quevedo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4b2f6…
09-10 01:18:22	Cleveland Guardians vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ea610…
09-09 22:45:52	US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx	Karen Khachanov	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f87cc…
09-09 18:51:12	Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x503af6…
09-09 07:42:01	cs2 tyloo the9 2026 09 09	TYLOO	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc491c…
09-08 23:11:45	atp tiafoe michels 2026 09 08	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bcb96…
09-08 20:57:19	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa72e1b…
09-08 12:12:48	Genoa: Valerio Aboian vs Juan Martin	Valerio Aboian	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x92a535…
09-08 06:06:13	M25 Sapporo: Kazushi Idogaki vs Seiya Nakanishi	Seiya Nakanishi	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac8eb9…