Radiant-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved

Trades

227

lifetime

Volume

$4.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 06-26 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

86% 78% +$9

Sports

8% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
por ben avs 2026 02 21 ben	27	$1.7K	1,131	1,131	+0	open	—	02-21 18:30
por ben alv 2026 02 08 ben	10	$234	204	204	+0	open	—	02-01 20:53
por ben gui 2026 03 21 spread home 1pt5	2	$196	133	133	+0	open	—	03-21 19:36
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	3	$175	90	90	+0	open	—	05-20 17:57
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	5	$137	74	74	+0	open	—	05-18 15:15
Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)	2	$129	65	65	+0	open	—	04-26 21:44
por scb spo 2026 03 07 spo	4	$118	110	60	+50	open	—	03-07 19:53
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	2	$115	75	75	+0	open	—	03-22 21:56
por por ton 2026 04 19 por	4	$108	60	60	+0	open	—	04-19 21:02
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	3	$92	52	52	+0	open	—	05-28 13:44
por por ton 2026 04 19 spread home 1pt5	5	$90	57	56	+1	open	—	04-19 21:21
por ben avs 2026 02 21 btts	5	$72	72	72	+0	open	—	02-18 11:24
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	2	$71	47	46	+1	open	—	04-07 20:54
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	05-11 07:06
Spread: FC Alverca (-2.5)	1	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	04-28 17:47
Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)	2	$60	61	0	+61	open	—	04-25 06:51
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$60	41	40	+1	open	—	04-12 16:57
scop dun cel 2026 03 22 cel	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	03-22 00:49
ere fey aja 2026 03 22 fey	1	$40	83	0	+83	open	—	03-22 00:49
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$39	26	46	-20	open	—	05-12 08:52
Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	05-28 14:02
Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$29	19	19	+0	No	+$9	05-12 21:26
por ben por 2026 03 08 draw	2	$29	67	67	+0	open	—	03-08 19:06
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	5	$28	42	13	+29	open	—	04-28 02:26
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	04-14 19:31
Spread: Vitória SC (-2.5)	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 05:59
Spread: Falkirk FC (-2.5)	3	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-25 17:39
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	05-12 21:23
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)	2	$22	12	12	+0	SC Braga	+$2	05-11 21:24
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$19	14	13	+1	Yes	+$0	05-12 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 21:06:19	will sadio man score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xc5430a…
06-26 17:05:40	will joo cancelo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x89e3d3…
06-15 17:38:18	will mohamed salah score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xc156c4…
06-03 23:59:22	will rben dias score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe1192c…
06-03 18:47:48	will pau cubars score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x453e05…
06-03 15:35:28	will pau cubars score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x4efa24…
06-03 15:34:36	will pau cubars score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x031c92…
06-03 15:24:01	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf00faf…
06-03 13:50:44	Will Bradley Barcola score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd4635b…
06-03 13:42:01	Will Bradley Barcola score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x23a441…
06-03 07:42:46	will canada reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134471	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xde96d8…
06-03 04:15:12	Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	13	59¢	$7	0xf964c2…
06-02 22:59:49	Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x5973e4…
06-02 21:08:54	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x446cab…
06-02 20:39:17	Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x978b1d…
06-02 20:00:51	Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x89bdde…
06-02 19:28:20	Will João Cancelo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xc1b88d…
06-02 19:25:28	Will Virgil van Dijk score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd54349…
06-02 19:17:22	Will Memphis Depay score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x07208d…
06-02 19:12:59	Will Rafael Leão score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xe0a739…
06-02 19:09:48	will sadio man score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc73d75…
06-02 19:08:58	Will Mohamed Salah score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd61dde…
06-02 19:07:35	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77ece3…
05-30 06:26:05	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x50efd0…
05-29 14:54:34	Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x4503e6…
05-28 14:11:47	Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7a7c06…
05-28 14:09:36	Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe79712…
05-28 14:05:50	Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6a7b33…
05-28 14:03:55	Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x0f929d…
05-28 14:03:25	Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7300b2…
05-28 14:02:04	Will Haiti advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0x258822…
05-28 13:53:25	Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xfab919…
05-28 13:44:52	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x83a1bc…
05-28 13:42:23	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xe12c2c…
05-28 13:25:42	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc1b6f0…
05-20 17:57:57	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0xb79979…
05-20 07:34:23	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6f60c2…
05-20 07:34:02	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0xe11589…
05-20 07:28:51	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x3f544a…
05-19 14:04:39	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x1f782b…
05-18 15:15:25	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$45	0x67e2cc…
05-18 14:30:04	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x10fd92…
05-18 13:51:48	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x693c5e…
05-18 13:38:27	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xcc2377…
05-18 13:38:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x2b2b60…
05-18 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x5df788…
05-18 13:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x64e539…
05-18 13:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xeccccf…
05-18 13:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x0cd5ec…
05-18 13:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x40820e…
05-18 13:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x537051…
05-17 12:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	37	7¢	$3	0xf6da29…
05-17 12:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	6¢	$2	0x1c172d…
05-17 12:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x063fad…
05-17 12:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x2559b3…
05-17 12:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1f2d6e…
05-17 06:45:59	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xb420c7…
05-17 06:44:56	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x569d62…
05-14 14:08:11	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xcb0425…
05-14 13:19:16	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x7dfb89…
05-14 11:18:35	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb4ae39…
05-14 10:25:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	46	87¢	$40	0x15f4e1…
05-14 10:06:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0x6aa372…
05-14 06:15:10	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0xc06639…
05-14 05:59:53	Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x75ae55…
05-14 05:35:14	Will Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xad0406…
05-14 05:19:31	Will Latvia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdf09bf…
05-14 03:44:38	Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa065ab…
05-13 03:47:46	Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe27840…
05-13 03:47:27	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb8da16…
05-12 21:26:49	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8cea3c…
05-12 21:23:03	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x24724d…
05-12 18:40:22	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	28	30¢	$8	0xcfad91…
05-12 12:18:05	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x052458…
05-12 11:44:27	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0xf50d27…
05-12 10:56:09	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x09e8ce…
05-12 08:52:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0x9f607d…
05-12 08:47:52	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x521199…
05-12 08:47:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	29¢	$9	0x5d3bca…
05-12 07:57:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x5f0ec7…
05-12 05:36:08	Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x5a8d9e…
05-12 05:35:38	Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x593809…
05-12 05:33:37	Will San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x9b299e…
05-12 05:31:44	Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xa71539…
05-12 05:30:51	Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7ec67b…
05-12 05:30:02	Will Belgium advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8b2721…
05-12 05:29:20	Will Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x98a1cb…
05-12 05:28:45	Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x6ffbd1…
05-11 21:40:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfec1a4…
05-11 21:24:35	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)	SC Braga	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x06c747…
05-11 07:12:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x517fa2…
05-11 07:06:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x676822…
05-08 16:57:20	Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)	SC Braga	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xcf4f05…
05-08 16:51:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x5d6338…
04-30 04:29:14	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x78c6b6…
04-30 04:22:28	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	No	BUY	300	0¢	$2	0x34a328…
04-28 17:47:42	Spread: FC Alverca (-2.5)	FC Porto	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0xf7071c…
04-28 02:26:50	Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x7a9820…
04-28 02:26:38	Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xeb09da…
04-28 02:19:14	Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?	No	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xfbfcc7…