Basic-Hazelnut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

417

lifetime

Volume

$425

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-28 06:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

39% 0% $-0

Politics

29% — —

Crypto

24% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	12	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	01-28 09:59
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	12	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	01-24 07:40
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	8	$9	5	4	+1	open	—	01-28 09:44
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:50
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-16 06:16
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	7	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	02-12 08:20
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-23 07:13
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	06-24 07:03
nba mil sac 2026 01 04	4	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-05 03:18
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	03-28 06:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 04:14
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-08 02:10
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-21 02:33
another us government shutdown by february 14	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-13 03:59
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-18 06:57
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-27 06:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 07:07
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-27 04:27
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-11 07:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-11 07:07
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 02:03
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 05:00
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 02:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-03 03:47
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 03:17
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 08:33
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 03:24
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-25 06:29
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 02:33
will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-28 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 07:20:43	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x249118…
07-28 07:17:39	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xae6ea4…
07-28 07:12:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8db383…
07-28 06:54:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfa18cc…
07-27 06:21:01	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd39f73…
07-27 04:46:42	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x660e53…
07-27 04:27:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e31f2…
07-27 04:22:39	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd53353…
07-25 07:24:09	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x565dbc…
07-25 07:17:22	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7ea1b0…
07-25 07:10:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xdf3e5e…
07-25 07:01:03	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xaf2115…
07-24 07:16:01	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x97dcd8…
07-24 07:08:25	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 24 2026 20260714210903832	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x77471f…
07-24 07:03:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x875ac7…
07-24 06:57:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd026d2…
07-23 07:13:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x15e653…
07-23 07:02:09	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x490bb3…
07-23 06:58:31	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x559909…
07-23 06:45:12	will russia enter krasnoiarske by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x059ce9…
07-22 06:43:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe65d59…
07-22 06:31:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 22 20260716224448966	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3f31db…
07-21 06:16:19	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x92a979…
07-21 06:12:04	iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa2b3a7…
07-21 06:07:00	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x2a3476…
07-21 03:48:40	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x566a27…
07-20 07:18:37	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4c95e0…
07-20 07:10:21	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa34a3a…
07-20 07:07:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xd74715…
07-20 07:02:07	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e6ef6…
07-18 07:04:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x547989…
07-18 07:00:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe9289b…
07-18 06:57:27	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x723e08…
07-18 06:52:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xedecb7…
07-16 07:08:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x08f828…
07-16 06:51:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd622ea…
07-16 06:43:28	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xcbcf77…
07-16 06:34:32	meloni out as prime minister of italy by july 31 20260626161642636	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70d8b2…
07-15 06:22:32	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xc8b59b…
07-15 06:15:47	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by december 31 2026 20260708215836390	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeabeca…
07-14 06:45:38	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa6616b…
07-14 06:39:10	will aapl reach 340 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x973d66…
07-13 07:09:56	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf3ce9f…
07-13 07:01:44	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8b1d47…
07-11 07:07:44	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0xbd4948…
07-11 07:01:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x4ce8b2…
07-11 06:56:08	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2210c8…
07-11 06:46:31	trump signs housing bill by end of july 20260624145217694	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa43de7…
07-10 07:25:28	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc2e60e…
07-10 07:08:28	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260706181027670	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc37ad5…
07-10 07:03:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x9b919c…
07-10 06:54:56	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x817876…
07-09 06:29:47	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x43c07a…
07-09 06:21:20	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb0057a…
07-08 06:43:47	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6e27de…
07-08 06:28:11	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc3d33d…
07-08 06:11:35	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x2443a8…
07-08 04:25:01	will grahm platner drop out before the midterms 20260608200746523 993 791 462 396 195 772	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x98e37f…
07-07 06:55:43	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x902933…
07-07 06:50:16	gpt 5pt6 released by july 7 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9e0147…
07-06 07:23:07	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd15169…
07-06 07:13:07	will bitcoin reach 65k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x936232…
07-06 07:07:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe9d76c…
07-06 06:39:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x38daa5…
07-06 06:31:02	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x472333…
07-06 06:17:59	tamas sulyok out as president of hungary by july 31 20260626200424352	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x5dad6c…
07-04 06:37:52	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xef1e5f…
07-04 06:17:19	Will Perena launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2fa89c…
07-03 03:49:32	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb469d4…
07-03 03:47:56	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3145a0…
07-03 03:38:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x653cfb…
07-03 03:35:34	Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2aaccd…
07-02 06:08:25	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa4362f…
07-02 03:44:08	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xa96ad7…
07-01 03:35:10	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x60c926…
07-01 03:21:29	will steve witkoff attend the us iran signing ceremony 20260615232204726	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x756bc0…
06-30 04:35:08	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x9aa647…
06-30 04:34:05	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x343f58…
06-30 03:53:41	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd28509…
06-30 03:49:32	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x6a57db…
06-29 07:10:50	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x79c679…
06-29 07:09:55	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x95f330…
06-29 07:03:56	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a4779…
06-29 06:58:02	Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x065355…
06-27 06:38:46	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa54f43…
06-27 06:31:53	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x9b6eb9…
06-27 04:12:25	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0bfd89…
06-27 03:43:55	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x49750e…
06-25 06:21:34	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd2bbe2…
06-25 06:20:05	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xf8dff4…
06-25 04:57:23	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb7cfe8…
06-25 04:52:50	over 1m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6f8d95…
06-24 07:03:32	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf3adcd…
06-24 06:48:55	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x78bd77…
06-23 04:34:07	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55f164…
06-23 04:32:26	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xb21762…
06-23 04:18:01	will ethereum reach 2100 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b4c40…
06-23 03:56:20	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xac6d40…
06-22 06:12:14	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x207ac0…
06-22 04:20:14	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x62787b…