Realized P&L
+$33.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.41K
Hit rate
72.8%
Resolved
674
Trades
9,759
lifetime
Volume
$1.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$157
Open exposure
$2.36K
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-26
last 08-11 12:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
98%
54%
+$32,660
Crypto
1%
0%
-$220
Politics
0%
100%
+$129
Tech
0%
71%
+$289
Sports
0%
67%
+$198
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | +1,374 | $653 | 56¢ | $776 | +$123 | 05-24 22:25 | |
| will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147 | No | +792 | $519 | 81¢ | $641 | +$122 | 08-11 04:16 | |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | No | +2,914 | $708 | 21¢ | $609 | -$99 | 05-28 18:40 | |
| will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31 | No | +174 | $54 | 94¢ | $164 | +$110 | 07-12 23:11 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | +6,366 | $1,819 | 3¢ | $162 | -$1,656 | 05-29 21:35 | |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? | No | +1 | $1 | 98¢ | $1 | +$0 | 05-23 17:14 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Yes | +70 | $6 | 1¢ | $0 | -$5 | 05-10 07:30 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +8 | $2 | 4¢ | $0 | -$2 | 05-25 00:11 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CXMT’s market cap be 400 billion yuan or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2026? | 8 | $181.5K | 179,144 | 2,836 | +176,308 | Yes | +$465 | 07-27 07:47 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | 32 | $99.8K | 52,221 | 52,221 | +0 | No | +$3,313 | 06-15 06:34 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | 95 | $43.8K | 22,222 | 22,222 | +0 | No | +$313 | 05-12 06:34 |
| cs2 tyloo 9z 2026 06 08 | 112 | $40.2K | 47,380 | 16,056 | +31,324 | 9z | +$17,188 | 06-08 16:39 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? | 61 | $36.2K | 25,708 | 26,380 | -672 | No | +$4,020 | 05-13 16:29 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June? | 11 | $25.9K | 13,155 | 13,155 | +0 | No | +$151 | 06-17 14:33 |
| Switzerland leading at halftime? | 105 | $22.4K | 35,665 | 0 | +35,665 | Yes | +$13,220 | 06-13 18:59 |
| cs2 ast10 tyloo 2026 06 07 | 29 | $22.0K | 23,333 | 12,222 | +11,111 | TYLOO | -$6,889 | 06-07 12:05 |
| cs2 mibr b8 2026 06 08 game2 | 24 | $18.3K | 22,840 | 10,951 | +11,888 | B8 | -$6,205 | 06-08 12:47 |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 | 165 | $16.0K | 26,987 | 11,109 | +15,878 | Under | -$6,408 | 06-15 15:59 |
| val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12 | 43 | $14.7K | 14,873 | 7,106 | +7,767 | 100 Thieves | +$2,854 | 07-12 16:32 |
| val 100t1 nrg 2026 07 12 game3 | 53 | $14.1K | 21,957 | 6,955 | +15,002 | NRG | -$302 | 07-12 16:03 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | 6 | $13.6K | 7,417 | 7,417 | +0 | No | +$663 | 05-11 05:54 |
| val bbl1 nrg 2026 07 11 | 92 | $13.1K | 25,247 | 6,752 | +18,495 | NRG | -$2,732 | 07-11 17:16 |
| Morocco leading at halftime? | 9 | $12.6K | 14,901 | 0 | +14,901 | No | +$2,257 | 06-13 22:00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | 10 | $12.6K | 11,110 | 11,110 | +0 | Yes | -$3,000 | 06-17 05:28 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage | 34 | $12.5K | 15,440 | 4,745 | +10,695 | Team Falcons | +$4,145 | 05-12 07:50 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | 5 | $12.2K | 12,221 | 0 | +12,221 | No | +$24 | 05-30 18:38 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | 5 | $10.7K | 13,000 | 0 | +13,000 | Top Esports | +$2,340 | 05-02 10:58 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? | 9 | $10.4K | 6,046 | 6,046 | +0 | No | +$1,692 | 05-30 01:37 |
| Scotland leading at halftime? | 37 | $10.2K | 21,109 | 0 | +21,109 | Yes | +$10,888 | 06-14 00:48 |
| Egypt leading at halftime? | 17 | $10.1K | 8,888 | 8,888 | +0 | Yes | +$7,701 | 06-15 20:10 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May? | 22 | $9.8K | 4,979 | 4,979 | +0 | No | +$97 | 05-28 18:48 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Sweden? | 23 | $9.7K | 4,907 | 4,907 | +0 | No | +$137 | 06-20 17:13 |
| Germany leading at halftime? | 7 | $9.2K | 11,110 | 0 | +11,110 | Yes | +$1,889 | 06-14 16:45 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 - Map 2 Winner | 29 | $9.1K | 13,466 | 9,837 | +3,630 | Legacy | +$1,182 | 05-12 01:15 |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 2 - 3 Colombia? | 14 | $8.8K | 9,027 | 0 | +9,027 | No | +$235 | 06-18 01:43 |
| cs2 m80 nrg 2026 06 04 | 14 | $8.5K | 14,710 | 0 | +14,710 | M80 | +$6,214 | 06-04 10:30 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | 19 | $8.3K | 4,671 | 4,671 | +0 | No | +$770 | 06-02 09:53 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 19 | $8.1K | 11,323 | 11,323 | +0 | open | — | 06-10 13:36 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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