Weary-Duplexer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,316

lifetime

Volume

$147.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$112

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-31 15:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

39% — —

Crypto

8% 50% $-17

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% 50% +$29

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	80	$21.1K	11,137	10,692	+445	open	—	02-28 09:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	167	$7.7K	6,328	6,128	+200	open	—	02-28 19:12
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	8	$6.2K	3,569	2,700	+869	open	—	04-12 14:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	30	$4.7K	2,308	2,508	-200	open	—	02-03 18:58
will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	11	$4.4K	1,958	2,466	-508	open	—	03-09 21:51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	27	$4.3K	3,031	3,031	+0	open	—	02-28 19:33
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	4	$4.3K	2,142	2,142	+0	open	—	03-09 15:31
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	33	$4.2K	2,936	1,261	+1,675	open	—	03-10 21:52
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	4	$4.1K	2,703	1,431	+1,271	open	—	03-08 07:19
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	10	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	01-30 09:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	13	$3.8K	3,689	2,201	+1,488	open	—	07-26 20:00
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$3.4K	3,106	303	+2,803	open	—	03-01 17:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$2.9K	6,244	601	+5,643	open	—	07-31 15:33
Will the US strike Somalia next?	10	$2.8K	1,858	938	+920	open	—	01-13 23:14
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$2.4K	2,405	0	+2,405	open	—	01-26 07:46
will zhipu robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	2	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	open	—	02-16 18:39
Will the US strike Syria next?	8	$2.2K	2,240	0	+2,240	open	—	01-10 21:16
ssc fcb atc 2026 01 07 fcb	2	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	01-07 20:10
khameneiq public appearance by friday	3	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	open	—	01-09 09:43
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be less than 45	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	01-18 19:50
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	4	$2.0K	995	995	+0	open	—	02-13 18:47
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	4	$2.0K	1,761	209	+1,552	open	—	02-03 19:07
Will the US strike Somalia next?	11	$1.9K	1,873	0	+1,873	open	—	01-27 16:01
Will the US strike Somalia next?	5	$1.8K	903	903	+0	open	—	02-11 19:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	open	—	04-08 01:13
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$1.5K	1,548	0	+1,548	open	—	02-19 18:53
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	03-24 09:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	16	$1.3K	2,466	2,466	+0	open	—	06-17 16:41
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	open	—	02-03 16:50
will russia capture hryshyne by march 15 2026 338	1	$1.2K	1,202	0	+1,202	open	—	03-14 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 15:33:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x3640c6…
07-26 20:00:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,128	48¢	$542	0xd9e9ca…
07-25 12:48:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0xc12a29…
07-16 11:18:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	699	49¢	$343	0xd96407…
07-14 13:18:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x19b28d…
07-08 09:15:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x8c0ae8…
07-08 09:14:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0x991842…
07-06 22:20:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6fd5bd…
07-06 21:31:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x28ff5d…
07-06 21:31:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x0d34ea…
07-06 21:29:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x6e8915…
07-06 21:27:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0xb1e485…
07-06 21:26:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x5654b5…
07-06 21:25:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xa35ec5…
07-06 21:25:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x319ca5…
07-06 21:25:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0x11d8bd…
07-06 21:22:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xa1ee1e…
07-06 21:22:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0x1389ae…
07-06 21:22:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf0ea79…
07-06 21:21:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x4dd9d2…
07-06 21:19:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x1b769b…
07-06 21:17:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	236	27¢	$64	0x198d78…
07-06 21:08:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc2b0d9…
07-06 21:06:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xe4e1ec…
07-03 10:43:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	18¢	$127	0xd96dda…
07-03 08:48:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xf48043…
07-03 02:06:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x9071e3…
07-03 02:06:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	18¢	$17	0x827a58…
06-30 12:23:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	467	79¢	$369	0xc4a931…
06-30 11:57:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	79¢	$184	0x2968be…
06-30 11:28:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	78¢	$234	0xdf5bfb…
06-27 15:33:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	76¢	$531	0x45dd32…
06-18 17:26:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xcef4c5…
06-17 20:01:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	53¢	$81	0x454477…
06-17 19:43:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xaa00bd…
06-17 19:43:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	68¢	$254	0x91e17f…
06-17 16:41:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	685	16¢	$110	0x07db66…
06-17 11:36:41	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xa1b761…
06-17 11:19:07	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1f15ca…
06-17 11:18:55	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	320	20¢	$64	0x3be0cb…
06-17 11:17:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	69¢	$224	0xd06e3e…
06-17 09:13:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	662	68¢	$450	0x3c08af…
06-16 09:13:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,188	15¢	$181	0x8249f0…
06-16 09:12:49	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,044	6¢	$355	0x2d5e19…
06-14 07:44:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	54¢	$54	0xcd01ea…
06-12 17:31:25	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	7¢	$24	0xe9b8e9…
06-12 11:05:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe52f4f…
06-11 18:37:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	56¢	$281	0x8e8cf4…
06-10 22:13:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xca0de7…
06-10 22:12:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xe05d6a…
06-10 22:02:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	350	55¢	$193	0xb40e0d…
06-10 18:41:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	18¢	$278	0x3d3ef5…
06-10 17:07:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	350	60¢	$210	0xe4d2c4…
06-10 11:50:01	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x8a074b…
06-09 16:21:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xca7e7a…
06-09 16:20:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0x2ec3a6…
06-07 09:41:22	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,280	42¢	$538	0xe36db4…
06-05 20:16:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	501	80¢	$399	0x67883f…
06-05 18:54:24	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,889	9¢	$170	0x447e49…
06-05 18:54:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	19¢	$43	0x2b9f22…
06-05 15:21:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xdaa3b1…
06-05 06:28:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x6d3cb7…
06-05 06:28:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0xcb7534…
06-04 09:27:03	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xa9f500…
06-04 08:16:46	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	7¢	$50	0x2bb16f…
06-04 08:15:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x85184d…
06-04 07:24:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	488	20¢	$100	0x6eefb1…
06-04 06:56:10	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd3e815…
06-03 06:22:53	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	20¢	$101	0x11500a…
06-02 22:16:49	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x990f30…
06-02 21:26:55	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	522	16¢	$81	0xdd3ba2…
06-02 21:24:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x06ea34…
06-01 13:14:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1ad212…
06-01 11:49:56	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,837	6¢	$110	0x9dde1f…
05-14 17:19:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	33¢	$35	0xa33a32…
05-06 13:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x610d9e…
05-06 12:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xb60e99…
05-06 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xddee1b…
05-06 12:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x29c9f8…
05-05 13:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x11b4d0…
05-05 13:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xdf8997…
05-05 13:08:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	107	15¢	$16	0x124d9c…
05-04 02:00:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xe39bb7…
05-01 16:44:34	Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x6fc1c5…
04-22 15:54:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0xcafe85…
04-22 15:53:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0x99ca78…
04-22 15:51:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0xa4a4d8…
04-22 15:42:00	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	54	5¢	$3	0x2c6ea5…
04-22 15:37:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x937a0f…
04-18 17:14:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	80¢	$91	0x26a30f…
04-18 11:34:06	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0x93374e…
04-18 08:28:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	85¢	$129	0xfa41d9…
04-17 18:54:18	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	88¢	$106	0x58a18b…
04-16 21:05:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xbc554d…
04-14 20:57:22	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x064928…
04-14 20:40:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	269	8¢	$21	0x6d1835…
04-14 19:25:02	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0xb9fe8c…
04-14 16:10:41	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x8e791a…
04-14 16:02:49	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x5f2b7c…
04-14 14:24:29	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	86¢	$133	0x350224…