Weary-Duplexer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$24

Unrealized P&L

-$4.26K

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

315

Trades

1,373

lifetime

Volume

$160.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

$2.29K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 09-01 09:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

42% 75% -$373

Other

36% 69% +$500

Crypto

15% 70% +$181

Sports

4% 76% -$319

Tech

3% 80% +$38

Pop-Culture

0% 67% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	Yes	+6,265	$2,256	18¢	$1.1K	-$1,160	08-23 05:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,268	$1,066	12¢	$606	-$460	08-21 01:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5,468	$2,806	6¢	$355	-$2,451	09-01 09:19
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	-6,111	-$290	1¢	$-86	+$205	06-16 09:12
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	-80	-$56	93¢	$-74	-$18	05-06 11:47
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,100	$198	3¢	$37	-$161	07-03 10:43
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+1,188	$243	3¢	$34	-$209	06-16 09:13
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+93	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	06-05 15:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	80	$21.1K	11,137	10,692	+445	No	+$30	02-28 09:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	49	$11.2K	14,218	8,951	+5,268	open	—	08-21 01:23
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	167	$7.7K	6,328	6,128	+200	Yes	-$577	02-28 19:12
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	8	$6.2K	3,569	2,700	+869	Yes	+$6	04-12 14:19
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	30	$4.7K	2,308	2,508	-200	Yes	-$43	02-03 18:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	16	$4.6K	10,569	5,101	+5,468	open	—	09-01 09:19
will trump talk to vladimir putin in march 827	11	$4.4K	1,958	2,466	-508	Yes	+$5	03-09 21:51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	27	$4.3K	3,031	3,031	+0	Yes	+$117	02-28 19:33
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	4	$4.3K	2,142	2,142	+0	Yes	+$4	03-09 15:31
ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	33	$4.2K	2,936	1,261	+1,675	No	+$26	03-10 21:52
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	4	$4.1K	2,703	1,431	+1,271	Yes	+$1	03-08 07:19
will trump talk to emmanuel macron in january	10	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	Yes	+$45	01-30 09:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$3.4K	3,106	303	+2,803	Yes	+$5	03-01 17:08
Will the US strike Somalia next?	10	$2.8K	1,858	938	+920	Yes	+$19	01-13 23:14
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$2.4K	2,405	0	+2,405	No	+$5	01-26 07:46
will zhipu robotics have robot dancers at the 2026 spring festival gala	2	$2.3K	2,300	0	+2,300	No	+$2	02-16 18:39
will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	3	$2.3K	6,265	0	+6,265	open	—	08-23 05:13
Will the US strike Syria next?	8	$2.2K	2,240	0	+2,240	Yes	+$8	01-10 21:16
ssc fcb atc 2026 01 07 fcb	2	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$2	01-07 20:10
khameneiq public appearance by friday	3	$2.0K	2,002	0	+2,002	Yes	+$4	01-09 09:43
will turnout in the first round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be less than 45	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$4	01-18 19:50
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	4	$2.0K	995	995	+0	Yes	-$2	02-13 18:47
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	4	$2.0K	1,761	209	+1,552	No	+$5	02-03 19:07
Will the US strike Somalia next?	11	$1.9K	1,873	0	+1,873	Yes	+$19	01-27 16:01
Will the US strike Somalia next?	5	$1.8K	903	903	+0	Yes	-$3	02-11 19:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$1.6K	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$3	04-08 01:13
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$1.5K	1,548	0	+1,548	No	+$3	02-19 18:53
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	No	+$1	03-24 09:21
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	16	$1.3K	2,466	2,466	+0	Yes	+$183	06-17 16:41
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 558 354 297 785 675	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	+$2	02-03 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-01 09:19:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,500	13¢	$585	0xe5ceef…
08-23 05:13:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	17¢	$57	0x3a3bf1…
08-23 05:13:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	Yes	BUY	800	37¢	$300	0xcf3085…
08-23 05:11:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	Yes	BUY	2,162	37¢	$800	0x44012b…
08-21 08:55:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from july 21	Yes	BUY	3,303	35¢	$1,156	0x07081a…
08-21 01:23:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,211	30¢	$1,263	0x1b0f4e…
08-20 18:31:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	22¢	$68	0xedd855…
08-19 19:21:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,786	43¢	$1,198	0x5ec437…
08-19 19:13:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xa590ae…
08-19 19:07:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	43¢	$48	0xd4866c…
08-19 18:26:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,000	27¢	$810	0x47c461…
08-19 15:08:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,700	50¢	$853	0x8b85eb…
08-19 15:06:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,800	52¢	$1,456	0x4b0b5c…
07-31 15:33:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x3640c6…
07-26 20:00:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,128	48¢	$542	0xd9e9ca…
07-25 12:48:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	35¢	$500	0xc12a29…
07-16 11:18:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	699	49¢	$343	0xd96407…
07-14 20:38:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	489	3¢	$13	0x06627f…
07-14 13:18:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x19b28d…
07-08 09:15:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x8c0ae8…
07-08 09:14:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,020	49¢	$500	0x991842…
07-07 22:57:23	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,131	19¢	$399	0x30394c…
07-06 22:20:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x6fd5bd…
07-06 21:31:34	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x28ff5d…
07-06 21:31:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0x0d34ea…
07-06 21:29:05	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x6e8915…
07-06 21:27:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	52	68¢	$35	0xb1e485…
07-06 21:26:46	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x5654b5…
07-06 21:25:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xa35ec5…
07-06 21:25:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	41	76¢	$31	0x319ca5…
07-06 21:25:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	38	76¢	$29	0x11d8bd…
07-06 21:22:31	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xa1ee1e…
07-06 21:22:07	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	59	75¢	$44	0x1389ae…
07-06 21:22:01	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf0ea79…
07-06 21:21:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	37	75¢	$28	0x4dd9d2…
07-06 21:19:58	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x1b769b…
07-06 21:17:43	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	236	27¢	$64	0x198d78…
07-06 21:08:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc2b0d9…
07-06 21:06:47	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xe4e1ec…
07-06 19:40:56	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	450	12¢	$52	0x00d9af…
07-03 10:43:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	704	18¢	$127	0xd96dda…
07-03 08:48:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xf48043…
07-03 02:06:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0x9071e3…
07-03 02:06:20	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	18¢	$17	0x827a58…
06-30 12:23:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	467	79¢	$369	0xc4a931…
06-30 11:57:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	233	79¢	$184	0x2968be…
06-30 11:28:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	78¢	$234	0xdf5bfb…
06-30 11:06:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,681	11¢	$190	0x6413ae…
06-30 11:05:25	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,299	4¢	$196	0x11ed97…
06-27 15:33:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	700	76¢	$531	0x45dd32…
06-18 17:26:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	56¢	$200	0xcef4c5…
06-17 20:01:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	153	53¢	$81	0x454477…
06-17 19:43:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xaa00bd…
06-17 19:43:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	371	68¢	$254	0x91e17f…
06-17 16:41:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	685	16¢	$110	0x07db66…
06-17 11:36:41	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xa1b761…
06-17 11:19:07	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x1f15ca…
06-17 11:18:55	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	320	20¢	$64	0x3be0cb…
06-17 11:17:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	69¢	$224	0xd06e3e…
06-17 09:13:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	662	68¢	$450	0x3c08af…
06-16 09:13:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,188	15¢	$181	0x8249f0…
06-16 09:12:49	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,044	6¢	$355	0x2d5e19…
06-14 10:16:10	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,174	2¢	$50	0xb6b3fc…
06-14 07:44:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	54¢	$54	0xcd01ea…
06-12 17:31:25	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	340	7¢	$24	0xe9b8e9…
06-12 11:05:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xe52f4f…
06-11 18:37:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	56¢	$281	0x8e8cf4…
06-11 06:48:25	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,125	2¢	$50	0xe5f34a…
06-10 22:13:21	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xca0de7…
06-10 22:12:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0xe05d6a…
06-10 22:02:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	SELL	350	55¢	$193	0xb40e0d…
06-10 18:41:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	18¢	$278	0x3d3ef5…
06-10 17:07:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	350	60¢	$210	0xe4d2c4…
06-10 11:50:01	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x8a074b…
06-09 16:21:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xca7e7a…
06-09 16:20:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	61¢	$60	0x2ec3a6…
06-07 09:41:22	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,280	42¢	$538	0xe36db4…
06-05 20:16:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	501	80¢	$399	0x67883f…
06-05 18:54:24	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,889	9¢	$170	0x447e49…
06-05 18:54:07	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	19¢	$43	0x2b9f22…
06-05 15:21:31	Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0xdaa3b1…
06-05 06:28:39	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x6d3cb7…
06-05 06:28:21	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0xcb7534…
06-04 09:27:03	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xa9f500…
06-04 08:16:46	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	761	7¢	$50	0x2bb16f…
06-04 08:15:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x85184d…
06-04 07:24:16	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	488	20¢	$100	0x6eefb1…
06-04 06:56:10	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xd3e815…
06-03 06:22:53	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	20¢	$101	0x11500a…
06-02 22:16:49	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x990f30…
06-02 21:26:55	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	522	16¢	$81	0xdd3ba2…
06-02 21:24:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0x06ea34…
06-02 14:33:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x83e783…
06-02 14:32:28	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,169	5¢	$58	0x28e68a…
06-01 13:14:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x1ad212…
06-01 11:49:56	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,837	6¢	$110	0x9dde1f…
05-23 12:33:12	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78ab72…
05-18 06:41:01	Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	5¢	$20	0x804e95…
05-15 11:48:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	229	46¢	$105	0xcd9f8c…
05-15 10:46:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0x6aef40…