Personal-Exhaust — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.68K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

68.3%

Resolved

1,143

Trades

2,043

lifetime

Volume

$57.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-27 21:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

71% 41% -$1,714

Sports

29% 50% +$253

Politics

1% 0% -$215

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+48	$10	8¢	$4	-$6	10-19 23:13
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?	Yes		+128	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	10-19 23:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$684	3,880	3,880	+0	No	+$12	07-04 16:58
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	12	$650	2,266	2,266	+0	No	+$84	07-14 19:24
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$641	5,525	5,525	+0	No	+$1	06-22 21:59
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$615	1,760	1,760	+0	No	+$5	06-17 21:19
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	4	$521	303	303	+0	Over	+$79	06-17 21:49
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$477	3,258	2,108	+1,150	No	-$99	07-01 22:52
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	4	$461	291	291	+0	Over	+$115	06-15 00:56
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	13	$442	4,755	4,755	+0	No	+$12	06-22 21:59
lol gx shft 2026 04 13 game1	3	$430	253	251	+2	GIANTX	+$73	04-13 18:09
lol drx dk 2026 04 04 game handicap home 1pt5	4	$421	278	274	+4	Dplus KIA	+$125	04-04 12:08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	6	$414	291	291	+0	No	+$66	05-30 18:04
lol gx shft 2026 04 13 game2	3	$387	213	212	+1	GIANTX	+$38	04-13 19:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$378	315	315	+0	No	-$2	05-30 18:47
lol wb al 2026 04 14	3	$376	276	204	+73	Anyone's Legend	+$33	04-13 14:10
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	5	$366	250	250	+0	Yes	+$134	06-20 22:01
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	4	$359	241	241	+0	LYON	+$119	05-25 00:32
lol jdg blg 2026 04 05	2	$351	203	201	+2	Bilibili Gaming	+$53	04-05 11:49
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs	3	$340	220	220	+0	LGD Gaming	+$96	06-02 13:33
lol ktc dkc 2026 04 06 game handicap away 1pt5	2	$336	203	201	+2	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$67	04-06 12:43
nba sas den 2026 04 04 spread away 2pt5	5	$314	233	229	+4	Nuggets	+$148	04-04 22:02
lol tes jdg 2026 04 11	2	$302	193	191	+2	Top Esports	+$81	04-11 13:13
nba phx chi 2026 04 05 total 239pt5	2	$299	202	199	+3	Under	+$102	04-05 22:09
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$298	199	198	+0	Yes	+$98	05-30 19:19
fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts	4	$292	282	282	+0	No	-$8	06-23 18:59
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	3	$286	182	182	+0	LGD Gaming	+$74	05-24 15:44
nba uta okc 2026 04 05 total 238pt5	2	$282	185	182	+3	Over	+$85	04-06 01:07
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	2	$276	188	188	+0	Hanwha Life Esports	+$85	07-12 11:41
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$273	351	351	+0	Yes	+$193	05-16 22:54
lol g2 t1 2026 07 08 game3	3	$262	163	163	+0	T1	+$62	07-08 08:39
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 total 1pt5	2	$257	159	159	+0	Over	+$57	06-16 20:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:52:02	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xc5e39b…
10-27 20:41:33	Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x4c3089…
10-27 20:40:41	Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	39	57¢	$22	0x4ad076…
10-27 02:53:44	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x157eaa…
10-27 02:10:32	Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)	Nuggets	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x3868be…
10-27 02:09:32	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0x04fbff…
10-26 23:23:00	Spread: Cowboys (-3.5)	Cowboys	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x0f0cb2…
10-26 23:21:24	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xe7d886…
10-26 23:16:20	Ningbo: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Semen Pankin	Semen Pankin	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbeddca…
10-26 23:15:45	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-26?	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x80f0cc…
10-26 23:10:20	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xaf9a47…
10-26 21:29:57	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	109	55¢	$60	0x27286f…
10-26 21:27:11	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	719	12¢	$86	0x56ffbc…
10-26 21:12:20	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x7437c3…
10-26 21:12:05	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	SELL	215	12¢	$26	0x8a582d…
10-26 21:00:42	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	91	66¢	$60	0xed9d0f…
10-26 20:49:02	Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)	Anyone's Legend	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x8f6932…
10-26 20:32:09	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	SELL	59	74¢	$43	0x38f471…
10-26 20:05:29	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0x37cb8b…
10-26 20:02:56	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner	LOS	BUY	59	41¢	$24	0x78f840…
10-26 19:12:50	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xdfe48b…
10-26 19:03:26	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x0a2663…
10-26 18:36:53	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x114e47…
10-26 18:18:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x38354e…
10-26 17:27:44	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Under	SELL	58	52¢	$30	0x90d772…
10-26 17:26:59	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xf746b5…
10-26 17:13:17	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x979004…
10-26 14:09:26	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x35ff7e…
10-26 08:05:53	Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	933	12¢	$112	0xf17c57…
10-25 23:17:09	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xc016e7…
10-25 23:02:00	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0x97b689…
10-25 22:56:09	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x67068f…
10-25 22:15:21	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x0ed430…
10-25 19:01:38	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x704f59…
10-25 19:01:26	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	15¢	$8	0xef99a9…
10-25 18:30:14	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0x58290f…
10-25 18:19:15	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	G2 Esports	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x758634…
10-25 17:42:00	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	98	98¢	$96	0x811311…
10-25 17:40:17	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x9b76c6…
10-25 17:34:27	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1f0abb…
10-25 17:20:51	LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	54	47¢	$26	0x917e79…
10-25 17:01:54	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	98	64¢	$63	0x5a5f84…
10-25 14:56:03	Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x715f8d…
10-25 14:55:08	Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x9183e1…
10-25 01:40:30	lol tes g2 2026 10 25	Top Esports	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xe0b5c8…
10-25 00:58:44	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x57d9b0…
10-25 00:54:38	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	43	94¢	$41	0x491719…
10-25 00:49:11	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x833f63…
10-25 00:33:53	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	63	75¢	$47	0xe4bf7d…
10-25 00:12:21	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	48	76¢	$37	0xd932ee…
10-25 00:10:57	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	SELL	61	40¢	$24	0x794570…
10-25 00:10:42	Will Real Madrid finish first in UCL league phase?	Yes	SELL	48	28¢	$13	0xa41cd9…
10-25 00:09:53	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0x1d3202…
10-24 22:57:06	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x36cd91…
10-24 22:56:47	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x046b18…
10-24 22:51:17	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd4a8ef…
10-24 22:23:26	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xc26c06…
10-24 22:19:59	Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xe05af6…
10-24 21:50:42	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x7000a4…
10-24 21:40:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	SELL	57	19¢	$11	0x6d3086…
10-24 21:27:24	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x9a87cc…
10-24 21:26:14	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x72f1ab…
10-24 21:17:53	Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3ea05a…
10-24 21:15:29	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x0b3efb…
10-24 20:52:08	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xce79cf…
10-24 20:15:21	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x616b43…
10-24 19:43:53	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x7842ff…
10-24 19:42:59	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x523183…
10-24 19:06:23	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Over	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x3cd391…
10-24 18:54:50	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x870518…
10-24 18:09:18	Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?	Under	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4f7dea…
10-24 17:46:45	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x2561db…
10-24 17:13:59	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x3cf6f1…
10-24 16:44:51	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0xed4f61…
10-24 02:36:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xc20400…
10-23 23:24:39	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0x9cf5ef…
10-23 22:31:51	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xefe365…
10-23 22:28:33	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x8b17bb…
10-23 20:17:56	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x76cb14…
10-23 19:21:54	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x208bcb…
10-22 16:47:54	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x546382…
10-21 20:49:45	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	33	100¢	$32	0xfad21f…
10-21 20:49:15	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	SELL	89	93¢	$83	0xddaf9b…
10-21 20:46:05	Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	33	37¢	$12	0xf8f37e…
10-21 20:35:36	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x8b2db8…
10-21 20:14:12	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	Real Madrid CF	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x868da5…
10-20 22:47:59	Fort Worth: Braden Shick vs Gabriel Debru	Braden Shick	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x5ee1e3…
10-20 22:46:53	Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4c16ef…
10-20 20:53:41	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x17b18e…
10-20 20:44:47	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x44bf37…
10-20 20:37:51	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-20?	No	SELL	24	92¢	$22	0x5b39d6…
10-20 20:34:30	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9041ac…
10-20 19:04:26	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0xf41c69…
10-20 18:43:42	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	SK Slavia Praha	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4f11c6…
10-20 18:43:14	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xa1763b…
10-20 18:18:50	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	12	13¢	$1	0xb09f42…
10-20 18:09:20	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x5a886f…
10-20 18:00:41	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - 1win Private Club Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	16	44¢	$7	0x8fd38d…
10-20 16:54:27	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund leading at halftime?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe95b25…
10-20 16:53:39	Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)	SK Slavia Praha	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x7dcf6a…