Reliable-Silence 0x2f9b86…89a68c
hot 6W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$11.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.41K
Hit rate
76.8%
Resolved
246
Trades
602
lifetime
Volume
$28.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$6.98K
25 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 10-30 00:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
51% 62% +$6,700
Politics
25% 53% +$3,647
Tech
20% 51% +$484
Pop-Culture
2% 43% +$66
Crypto
2% 100% +$125
Sports
0% 0% -$50
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +1,016 $599 99¢ $1.0K +$408 10-27 22:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +937 $600 99¢ $930 +$331 10-28 00:19
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +888 $400 90¢ $804 +$404 10-30 00:11
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +813 $187 97¢ $787 +$600 10-25 17:41
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +8,333 $250 6¢ $542 +$292 08-26 02:21
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +434 -$434 96¢ $417 +$852 07-11 18:34
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +595 $250 59¢ $351 +$101 09-29 19:12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +362 $145 78¢ $281 +$136 10-29 22:47
Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? No +317 $143 84¢ $266 +$124 10-05 09:29
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +625 $250 40¢ $252 +$2 09-28 05:44
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +250 $165 97¢ $243 +$78 10-26 10:25
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +514 $288 41¢ $209 -$79 10-25 09:58
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +217 $59 95¢ $206 +$147 06-15 14:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +205 $74 98¢ $202 +$128 10-19 16:02
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +675 $250 21¢ $142 -$108 09-01 11:25
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +148 $33 64¢ $94 +$61 07-09 16:56
Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? No +82 $38 99¢ $81 +$44 10-28 09:27
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +235 $80 18¢ $43 -$36 08-16 18:36
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +223 $94 15¢ $34 -$59 07-15 14:18
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +47 $12 64¢ $30 +$18 10-26 13:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +28 $15 94¢ $26 +$12 10-29 22:47
houthis enter aden by december 31 2026 Yes +112 $13 16¢ $18 +$4 09-11 06:53
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +19 $8 58¢ $11 +$3 10-22 12:02
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +62 $32 2¢ $1 -$30 08-13 10:50
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +53 $24 1¢ $1 -$23 10-27 20:00