Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

-$14

Unrealized P&L

+$29

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

29,275 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$10

$202.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$424

18 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 13:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 87% -$1,365

Other

4% 50% -$192

Sports

2% 24% +$211

Politics

1% 57% -$25

Tech

0% 50% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 2382 trades/day

Open positions (18) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	+121	$100	97¢	$117	+$17	06-18 17:24
will anthropic ipo by december 31 2026 546 128	Yes	+133	$100	87¢	$117	+$17	06-19 06:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+60	$30	63¢	$38	+$8	10-21 03:27
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	+70	$41	52¢	$36	-$5	11-06 14:05
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$3	99¢	$20	+$17	10-28 15:14
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+20	$15	98¢	$20	+$5	10-25 23:10
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+30	$15	50¢	$15	$0	11-05 09:47
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	+40	$22	32¢	$13	-$9	11-05 13:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+60	$16	22¢	$13	-$3	10-21 09:38
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+30	$8	40¢	$12	+$4	11-05 11:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	+50	$16	22¢	$11	-$6	11-05 14:33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+30	$10	19¢	$6	-$5	11-07 13:52
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$6	2¢	$2	-$4	10-20 00:09
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+30	$3	5¢	$1	-$2	11-05 19:50
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+30	$2	4¢	$1	$0	11-06 11:54
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	+30	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	11-05 16:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+6	$1	11¢	$1	-$1	06-17 08:24
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+111	$4	0¢	$0	-$3	06-18 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	15	$1.3K	1,262	1,262	+0	No	-$45	03-31 17:17
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	13	$1.0K	1,132	1,132	+0	No	-$5	03-08 01:15
will google have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	11	$781	808	807	+1	No	-$25	02-22 16:42
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$645	706	706	+0	Yes	+$23	02-27 08:16
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	2	$548	300	299	+2	JD Gaming	+$51	04-10 13:56
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	5	$505	406	300	+106	Yes	+$12	04-08 21:18
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	6	$467	423	423	+0	Yes	$0	04-10 08:36
nba den phx 2026 03 24	6	$453	602	137	+465	Nuggets	+$105	03-25 05:16
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	2	$451	235	234	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$9	04-13 16:43
will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	4	$399	337	327	+10	No	-$13	02-16 00:21
lol sk shft 2026 02 08	4	$387	417	417	+0	Shifters	-$8	02-08 15:03
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$386	330	330	+0	Yes	-$17	03-07 21:27
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	4	$381	384	384	+0	No	-$19	03-22 16:51
dota2 pari mouz 2026 02 27	4	$372	476	476	+0	PARIVISION	-$16	02-27 05:16
dota2 liquid bb4 2026 03 07	3	$370	415	415	+0	Team Liquid	+$19	03-07 16:14
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$323	303	303	+0	No	+$4	03-07 21:26
dota2 ill re 2026 04 15	2	$318	166	166	+0	Ilbirs eSports	+$10	04-15 14:12
lol foxy dkc 2026 04 14	2	$303	161	161	+1	Dplus KIA Challengers	+$16	04-14 13:28
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	3	$302	235	119	+116	Yes	+$17	03-26 12:17
val cgz ins1 2026 04 15	4	$297	157	157	+0	Crest Gaming Zst	+$5	04-15 08:39
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	16	$295	200	200	+0	Yes	+$3	08-25 15:26
dota2 mouz ave 2026 04 14	2	$279	144	144	+0	MOUZ	+$9	04-14 13:06
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 12pm et	2	$275	193	186	+7	Down	+$75	04-06 16:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:25 UTC	24	$263	532	0	+532	Down	+$3	08-25 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 09:55 UTC	17	$253	512	0	+512	Up	+$3	08-25 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 06:20 UTC	14	$253	512	0	+512	Down	+$3	08-25 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	32	$231	468	0	+468	Down	+$3	09-03 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	23	$231	468	0	+468	Up	+$3	09-04 03:05
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	3	$226	335	199	+136	Yes	-$31	02-28 00:38
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	7	$226	438	438	+0	No	-$6	02-10 21:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 13:52:12	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x915a00…
11-07 12:07:06	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	19	35¢	$7	0x166ebe…
11-06 14:05:31	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xe37c53…
11-06 11:54:54	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x99755d…
11-05 21:55:52	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	29	62¢	$18	0x557479…
11-05 20:26:00	Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0xd2357e…
11-05 19:50:39	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x2e6785…
11-05 16:08:54	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x107fd3…
11-05 14:33:24	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xdcc590…
11-05 13:58:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x084f87…
11-05 13:53:19	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x1296be…
11-05 11:40:04	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x406876…
11-05 09:54:37	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x38eb75…
11-05 09:47:07	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x4d9a78…
11-05 09:27:58	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x1aea32…
11-05 07:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbdba85…
11-05 07:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x98e8d9…
11-05 07:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xbbc526…
11-04 19:57:00	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	151	9¢	$14	0xffa815…
11-04 10:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb5ab3c…
11-04 10:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x16dde3…
11-04 10:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc26a42…
11-04 10:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xbde83f…
11-04 10:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5457dc…
11-03 18:25:16	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0xe4134d…
11-03 18:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2157a8…
11-03 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xf804af…
11-03 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x129efb…
11-03 17:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x187dcc…
11-03 17:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x429811…
11-03 17:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1c458d…
11-03 17:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5a1c19…
10-29 13:22:49	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x1e5034…
10-29 13:13:22	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x55581a…
10-29 11:19:52	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0xc956ea…
10-28 15:14:34	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x1532d0…
10-28 05:45:17	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa9d093…
10-28 05:35:07	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2cc953…
10-28 05:15:11	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x724ceb…
10-25 23:10:27	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe0ba0d…
10-21 23:56:11	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xb837d6…
10-21 09:38:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x659357…
10-21 03:27:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xcd8998…
10-21 03:27:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x862bc8…
10-21 03:26:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x8e89f5…
10-21 03:25:44	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xfef22e…
10-20 00:09:32	Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x32e539…
10-19 11:19:45	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x3fab43…
10-18 00:37:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x64770b…
10-16 13:07:51	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa99d25…
10-14 18:23:24	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x25c755…
10-05 18:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc96c9b…
10-05 18:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf4821…
10-05 18:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa02da2…
10-01 15:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xb2d570…
10-01 15:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xf1a589…
10-01 15:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x1a6f62…
10-01 06:55:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x01488c…
10-01 06:54:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x464b20…
10-01 06:54:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1e3a15…
10-01 06:54:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x10904b…
10-01 06:51:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xea7b08…
10-01 06:48:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1fd5e3…
09-23 03:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x987b0b…
09-23 03:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xd702a3…
09-23 03:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6fe56d…
09-23 03:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd6da8e…
09-23 03:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x81c671…
09-23 03:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa628e4…
09-23 03:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b1876…
09-23 03:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x726e7a…
09-23 03:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x258170…
09-23 03:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x54e990…
09-15 07:45:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x6a6c83…
09-15 07:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xea5e78…
09-15 07:45:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x01814c…
09-15 07:42:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xb6cf8f…
09-15 06:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x57beef…
09-15 06:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x46d96b…
09-15 02:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x5a76b7…
09-15 02:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x34b472…
09-15 02:09:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x09bb61…
09-15 02:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x266f8d…
09-14 17:34:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x360cd4…
09-14 17:33:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x50aabe…
09-14 16:14:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x60d3c0…
09-14 16:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x9b04c7…
09-14 16:04:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x6325e7…
09-14 16:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$6	0x5e3849…
09-14 16:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21b00e…
09-14 16:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2bb962…
09-14 15:59:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xd64e17…
09-14 15:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xa531f4…
09-14 15:59:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb731f1…
09-14 15:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x7f0a81…
09-14 13:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x439d92…
09-14 13:19:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x524a93…
09-14 12:39:10	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7aba06…
09-14 12:37:13	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9b3968…
09-14 12:37:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x03e971…