Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$49,388
Trades
3,546
Unique wallets
779
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
79¢
Latest NO mid
21¢
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-05 18:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.4¢
(top1%: 88% YES on $34.1K
vs crowd: 88% YES on $51.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 175 | $32.5K | $4.3K | +$28.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 219 | $8.6K | $1.0K | +$7.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 239 | $3.2K | $664 | +$2.5K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 146 | $731 | $342 | +$388 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 162 | $30.1K | $4.1K | +$26.0K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 89 | $2.8K | $141 | +$2.7K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 38 | $385 | $240 | +$144 |
| Median | 43 | $220 | $47 | +$173 |
| Below median | 152 | $1.7K | $286 | +$1.5K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 108 | $1.1K | $299 | +$839 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 136 | $3.9K | $621 | +$3.3K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 51 | $4.7K | $645 | +$4.1K |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x3108…4d7c | Down | +18,223 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 10-05 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | +8,925 | $8,844 | $8,844 | 13 | 10-05 18:19 |
| Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | +6,980 | $6,973 | $6,973 | 9 | 10-05 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xac43…7b8f | Up | +2,065 | $2,000 | $2,000 | 2 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | +1,600 | $1,591 | $1,591 | 9 | 10-05 18:19 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Down | +1,574 | $353 | $353 | 127 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6f27…42c2 | Down | +1,133 | $13 | $41 | 6 | 10-05 18:19 |
| Vague-Hourglass 0x21f4…691d | Up | +1,071 | $908 | $908 | 85 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Up | +1,021 | $692 | $692 | 45 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc36…ce29 | Up | +1,000 | $990 | $990 | 1 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Up | +865 | $682 | $682 | 34 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Up | +854 | $701 | $701 | 39 | 10-05 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6e3…8b84 | Up | +845 | $499 | $499 | 4 | 10-05 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | +840 | $77 | $77 | 16 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc4e2…fef6 | Up | +822 | $617 | $617 | 17 | 10-05 18:16 |
| Cloudy-Windchime 0x24cc…639f | Up | +815 | $813 | $813 | 2 | 10-05 18:19 |
| Illiterate-Pod 0x5e4a…be6b | Up | +758 | $750 | $750 | 1 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x41e2…a354 | Down | +750 | $149 | $149 | 45 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3244…3e5e | Down | +727 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x3048…7537 | Down | +696 | $208 | $208 | 34 | 10-05 18:17 |
| Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df | Down | +600 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 10-05 18:18 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | +575 | $534 | $534 | 36 | 10-05 18:19 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Down | +562 | $174 | $174 | 53 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad | Down | +560 | $205 | $205 | 27 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Up | +507 | $343 | $343 | 11 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Up | +499 | $404 | $404 | 29 | 10-05 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Down | +499 | $145 | $145 | 24 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa1a…0602 | Down | +467 | $69 | $69 | 25 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Down | +455 | $65 | $65 | 38 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x764f…c347 | Up | +452 | $356 | $356 | 23 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c | Down | +451 | $167 | $167 | 29 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b | Up | +442 | $366 | $366 | 21 | 10-05 18:18 |
| Traumatic-Heating 0xdf79…3dcd | Down | +439 | $106 | $106 | 18 | 10-05 18:18 |
| Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Down | +429 | $44 | $44 | 17 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xd855…a182 | Down | +401 | $4 | $4 | 12 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x485d…1fe5 | Down | +400 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3244…3e5e | Up | +400 | $258 | $258 | 5 | 10-05 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x855e…5189 | Up | +399 | $375 | $375 | 9 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf332…b1c0 | Up | +392 | $351 | $351 | 7 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bd7…7d93 | Up | +390 | $374 | $374 | 4 | 10-05 18:17 |
| Similar-Balcony 0x1c2e…d554 | Up | +376 | $200 | $200 | 4 | 10-05 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc533…69a9 | Down | +374 | $125 | $125 | 16 | 10-05 18:17 |
| Palatable-Patent 0x0c7c…e4cb | Down | +355 | $52 | $52 | 15 | 10-05 18:17 |
| Safe-Veldt 0x54c8…3b7e | Down | +355 | $56 | $56 | 12 | 10-05 18:17 |
| True-Jailhouse 0x6d5c…f7e9 | Up | +354 | $347 | $347 | 1 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x3708…daf9 | Down | +339 | $72 | $72 | 4 | 10-05 18:17 |
| Repentant-Confirmation 0x5195…d864 | Down | +338 | $108 | $108 | 15 | 10-05 18:16 |
| Deep-Sunbonnet 0x41b1…5fc0 | Down | +336 | $113 | $113 | 9 | 10-05 18:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x4fbc…5df1 | Down | +333 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-05 18:17 |
| Gloomy-Drawing 0x322b…aa0c | Down | +324 | $56 | $56 | 35 | 10-05 18:18 |
| Wooden-Hearsay 0x3139…9e2e | Up | +324 | $215 | $215 | 26 | 10-05 18:16 |
| Playful-Registry 0x631e…4cf0 | Up | +322 | $192 | $192 | 7 | 10-05 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3355…9b01 | Down | +313 | $152 | $152 | 1 | 10-05 18:14 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Down | +312 | $93 | $93 | 1 | 10-05 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0f8…cef5 | Down | +311 | $45 | $45 | 21 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7467…0168 | Up | +303 | $300 | $300 | 1 | 10-05 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x03f1…e633 | Down | +288 | $112 | $112 | 5 | 10-05 18:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x9417…6e5e | Up | +253 | $222 | $222 | 4 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0ca4…77a6 | Up | +249 | $163 | $163 | 7 | 10-05 18:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x239e…1c10 | Up | +239 | $211 | $211 | 8 | 10-05 18:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:21:28 | Mad-Marketer 0x3b1b…a50b | Up | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0xa0475e… |
| 10-05 18:21:28 | (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | BUY | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0xa0475e… |
| 10-05 18:20:28 | (anonymous) 0xc5b6…3740 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x156a7d… |
| 10-05 18:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x1f28…7590 | Up | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x156a7d… |
| 10-05 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0xccea…24b8 | Up | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x690a4d… |
| 10-05 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x690a4d… |
| 10-05 18:19:46 | (anonymous) 0x440b…6570 | Up | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x690a4d… |
| 10-05 18:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1403e3… |
| 10-05 18:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x3500…61b3 | Up | SELL | 81 | 100¢ | $81 | 0x1403e3… |
| 10-05 18:19:43 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 78 | 100¢ | $78 | 0x1403e3… |
| 10-05 18:19:38 | Athletic-Linguistics 0x72be…54e8 | Up | SELL | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2b46a1… |
| 10-05 18:19:38 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x98e241… |
| 10-05 18:19:38 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x98e241… |
| 10-05 18:19:38 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x2b46a1… |
| 10-05 18:19:35 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 110 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xe46cd6… |
| 10-05 18:19:35 | (anonymous) 0x7f7c…a772 | Up | SELL | 110 | 100¢ | $109 | 0xe46cd6… |
| 10-05 18:19:31 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 825 | 99¢ | $817 | 0x4a7123… |
| 10-05 18:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x3108…4d7c | Down | BUY | 3,500 | 1¢ | $25 | 0x4a7123… |
| 10-05 18:19:31 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 808 | 100¢ | $807 | 0x4a7123… |
| 10-05 18:19:31 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a7123… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x05a5…0b91 | Down | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x57e4cb… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 88 | 100¢ | $88 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 837 | 99¢ | $830 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 150 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x57e4cb… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x6b54…dc20 | Up | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | (anonymous) 0x3108…4d7c | Down | BUY | 3,051 | 1¢ | $25 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:29 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x70f459… |
| 10-05 18:19:28 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x9851ae… |
| 10-05 18:19:28 | Scared-Daikon 0x5751…3cb0 | Up | SELL | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x9851ae… |
| 10-05 18:19:25 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 858 | 100¢ | $857 | 0x59e99f… |
| 10-05 18:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x56f6…e251 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x59e99f… |
| 10-05 18:19:25 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 819 | 99¢ | $811 | 0x59e99f… |
| 10-05 18:19:25 | (anonymous) 0x3108…4d7c | Down | BUY | 3,545 | 1¢ | $25 | 0x59e99f… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9 | Up | BUY | 4,968 | 100¢ | $4,963 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xebb2…63ed | Up | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x20f2…784b | Up | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x38fa…dde1 | Up | BUY | 124 | 100¢ | $124 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x5bba…740e | Up | BUY | 47 | 99¢ | $46 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6 | Up | BUY | 56 | 99¢ | $56 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | Cloudy-Windchime 0x24cc…639f | Up | BUY | 165 | 99¢ | $164 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0xa5e9…74c6 | Up | BUY | 837 | 99¢ | $829 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | Supportive-Matchmaker 0x9d57…56ea | Up | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x3108…4d7c | Down | BUY | 8,126 | 0¢ | $25 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x5714…2d05 | Up | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $198 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:23 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xb835ab… |
| 10-05 18:19:20 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd42923… |
| 10-05 18:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x6f27…42c2 | Down | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xd42923… |
| 10-05 18:19:20 | Cloudy-Windchime 0x24cc…639f | Up | BUY | 650 | 100¢ | $649 | 0xd42923… |
| 10-05 18:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x4a3e…3319 | Up | BUY | 194 | 100¢ | $194 | 0xd42923… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 36 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9cf285… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcbca00… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4571f4… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xea92a8… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xcbca00… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x9cf285… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x4571f4… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x9cf285… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xea92a8… |
| 10-05 18:19:08 | Ragged-Rabbit 0x9c8f…2268 | Up | BUY | 45 | 100¢ | $45 | 0xea92a8… |
| 10-05 18:19:07 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbb139a… |
| 10-05 18:19:07 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x65ef48… |
| 10-05 18:19:07 | Jam-Packed-Recording 0xa560…9ccf | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbb139a… |
| 10-05 18:19:07 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65ef48… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x8d07…6d3b | Down | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd18d7… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0xd8df…c3dc | Up | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6d49e3… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xdd18d7… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | Periodic-Marketplace 0x31ae…ab5e | Up | BUY | 136 | 100¢ | $136 | 0xdd18d7… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0xdd18d7… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6d49e3… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xdd18d7… |
| 10-05 18:19:05 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xdd18d7… |
| 10-05 18:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x954260… |
| 10-05 18:19:04 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x954260… |
| 10-05 18:19:04 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe9856f… |
| 10-05 18:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xe9856f… |
| 10-05 18:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x5e47…7a96 | Up | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdd180e… |
| 10-05 18:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Up | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xdd180e… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x176773… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e4b07… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x546101… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x176773… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1bd080… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xa3db…924c | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x176773… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x3ee58e… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x720b…d2cd | Up | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x1bd080… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x462ffe… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x3d11…5349 | Up | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x176773… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d102f… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf6e227… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x462ffe… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x355d…1c50 | Up | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x3ee58e… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x546101… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6e227… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x124b94… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x9a18…bb54 | Up | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e4b07… |
| 10-05 18:19:02 | Stale-Larder 0x3281…8bc8 | Down | SELL | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x176773… |