Jumbo-Seminar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$634

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-26 15:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 57% $-8

Other

7% 46% $-3

Politics

3% 100% +$9

Sports

2% 60% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$268	164	164	+0	open	—	05-01 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$151	137	137	+0	open	—	05-01 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	5	$25	27	8	+19	Down	$-4	05-07 19:24
crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 26	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	06-26 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-30 21:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$12	19	9	+10	Up	$-0	05-08 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 12:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	04-30 07:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 16:51
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$10	19	0	+19	Yes	+$9	04-27 09:37
will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-27 09:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$7	24	0	+24	Down	$-7	05-10 15:08
fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners total 8pt5	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	06-20 22:56
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-09 18:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	2	$3	2	2	+0	Brandon Nakashima	+$1	05-09 18:49
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	2	$2	2	2	+0	Casper Ruud	+$0	05-10 09:57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane	2	$2	1	1	+0	Flavio Cobolli	+$0	05-09 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 12:29
T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs Hong Kong, China	2	$2	1	1	+0	Hong Kong, China	+$0	05-10 09:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	$-0	05-10 16:03
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	1	$1	2	0	+2	Roman Kopylov	$-1	05-09 12:56
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca	1	$1	2	0	+2	Hamad Medjedovic	$-1	05-09 13:06
Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-09 13:03
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	1	$1	2	0	+2	Gujarat Titans	$-1	05-09 13:22
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Franco Roncadelli	1	$1	2	0	+2	Franco Roncadelli	$-1	05-09 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-27 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 15:30:46	crint irl4 ind4 2026 06 26	India	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe5874d…
06-20 22:56:17	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8c9b7a…
05-10 16:03:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd9cee9…
05-10 15:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x24be24…
05-10 15:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x149daf…
05-10 15:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb39740…
05-10 14:46:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xad2faf…
05-10 09:58:04	T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs Hong Kong, China	Hong Kong, China	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xac5182…
05-10 09:57:47	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	Casper Ruud	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x75580f…
05-09 18:50:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x092eae…
05-09 18:49:51	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	Brandon Nakashima	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x55ab14…
05-09 18:49:41	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x781e62…
05-09 13:22:22	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xde604b…
05-09 13:06:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	Casper Ruud	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4d3165…
05-09 13:06:49	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik	Jakub Mensik	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9b2a1c…
05-09 13:06:42	Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Franco Roncadelli	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd70f7c…
05-09 13:06:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc30fd0…
05-09 13:06:18	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Roberto Bautista Agut	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x059437…
05-09 13:06:11	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1d9fb6…
05-09 13:06:02	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Etcheverry vs Mattia Bellucci	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8775f9…
05-09 13:04:45	ODI Series England vs. New Zealand, Women: England vs New Zealand	England	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbef1e1…
05-09 13:04:36	T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: Malaysia vs Hong Kong, China	Hong Kong, China	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xdc1d05…
05-09 13:03:04	Fulham FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x485a75…
05-09 13:02:20	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xefae2d…
05-09 12:57:17	UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)	Jose Ochoa	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x92c571…
05-09 12:57:05	UFC 328: Ozzy Diaz vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Prelims)	Ateba Gautier	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3b628b…
05-09 12:56:54	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x610d8d…
05-09 12:56:25	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbb61d6…
05-09 12:56:11	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6edc65…
05-09 12:56:04	UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)	Tatsuro Taira	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xca8110…
05-09 12:55:46	UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)	Jared Gordon	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xc8f05a…
05-09 12:55:29	UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Baisangur Susurkaev	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xddf2f9…
05-09 12:55:22	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	King Green	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x312e86…
05-09 12:55:15	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe51b65…
05-08 21:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfaf926…
05-08 21:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xba3ce8…
05-08 21:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf61d18…
05-07 19:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb14795…
05-07 19:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5ce6eb…
05-07 19:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$5	0xcce2ad…
05-07 19:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9133ba…
05-07 19:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x16e433…
05-07 17:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x64595d…
05-07 17:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd056ad…
05-07 17:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x5b02b1…
05-07 17:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0xeba4ab…
05-07 16:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x0e19c2…
05-07 16:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb89e39…
05-05 18:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xfc6139…
05-05 18:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8c62ab…
05-04 12:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x1fd9f6…
05-04 12:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfdbc09…
05-03 12:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xa3c8a9…
05-03 12:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x27671a…
05-01 17:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	137	37¢	$51	0x205b06…
05-01 17:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xe5fe2f…
05-01 16:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	128	89¢	$114	0x733328…
05-01 16:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xfdc0cf…
05-01 16:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	36	79¢	$29	0xbed74a…
05-01 16:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xfec311…
05-01 10:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x8d17ae…
05-01 10:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf39464…
04-30 21:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x728058…
04-30 21:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xce2181…
04-30 07:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x5a8d99…
04-30 07:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x79555b…
04-27 12:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x51f343…
04-27 09:40:28	will the communist party of india marxist cpim win the most seats in the 2026 kerala legislative assembly election	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xcde6d7…
04-27 09:37:48	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xbf1d0d…